151.784 | How much additional aid for Ukraine will the US Congress approve before October 1, 2023? | Continuous |
94.210 | Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution related to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
93.200 | Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023? | Binary |
92.982 | When will the second Starship test flight occur? | Continuous |
90.786 | Will Mohamed Bazoum, Nigerien President, return to power before August 31, 2023? | Binary |
89.732 | Will the extent of Antarctic sea ice for every day in September 2023 be the lowest in recorded history? | Binary |
88.191 | Will Stepanakert / Khankendi be under de facto Azerbaijani control on September 30, 2023? | Binary |
86.766 | Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
84.876 | Will Putin attend the G20 summit in India? | Binary |
80.603 | Will the U2 concert at The Sphere on September 29, 2023 take place? | Binary |
80.574 | Will any of the listed alleged co-conspirators of Donald Trump be indicted for a federal felony before August 11, 2023? | Binary |
79.993 | Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
77.522 | Will Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg engage in a cage fight at any point before 2024? | Binary |
76.687 | Before October 1, 2023, will US Senator Bob Menendez announce that he is resigning? | Binary |
73.021 | How much money (in US dollars) will GlobalGiving's Morocco Earthquake Relief Fund have raised on September 21, 2023? | Continuous |
64.954 | Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
60.900 | Will a bill be introduced in the Indian Parliament to change the official name of the country to Bharat before September 23, 2023? | Binary |
60.196 | Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023? | Binary |
58.889 | Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023? | Binary |
57.007 | Will a nationwide UPS strike be underway in the United States on August 4, 2023? | Binary |
52.076 | Trump participates in first debate? (No) → Trump Polling Change Two Weeks After Debate? | Continuous |
52.008 | Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
46.444 | Will a non-proprietary LLM be in the top 5 of the chat.lmsys.org leaderboard on September 30, 2023? | Binary |
46.357 | Will Donald Trump participate in the first Republican presidential debate? | Binary |
46.092 | Will Luisa González receive the most votes in the first round of the Ecuadorian election? | Binary |
44.377 | Will there be more than 10 ministerial resignations in Rishi Sunak’s government before 2024? | Binary |
43.728 | Will the US pass the Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) Disclosure Act of 2023 before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
40.524 | Will the House Oversight Committee receive access to requested Joe Biden records related to Hunter Biden’s Ukraine dealings before September 1st? | Binary |
40.496 | Will there be a confirmed case of Marburg virus in Algeria by July 28th? | Binary |
39.707 | How much will Donald Trump's Republican primary polling average change two weeks after the first debate? | Continuous |
34.621 | Will the UK Labour Party have a polling lead of at least 10% on 1 January 2024? | Binary |
31.839 | What will the price of November 2023 Dutch TTF natural gas futures (in Euros per megawatt-hour) be on September 29, 2023? | Continuous |
28.796 | Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023? | Binary |
28.403 | Will Samsung make Bing the default search provider on Galaxy phones before October 1st, 2023? | Binary |
28.197 | Will Ohio Issue 1 pass in the August 2023 election? | Binary |
24.119 | Will India's Chandrayaan-3 mission successfully land a rover on the moon? | Binary |
22.641 | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on September 30, 2023? | Continuous |
16.641 | Will the United Auto Workers call a strike against any of the Big Three Detroit automakers before September 19, 2023? | Binary |
16.065 | What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023? | Continuous |
6.982 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023? | Binary |
5.476 | Will Stockholm see more than 500 hours of sun in the summer of 2023? | Binary |
-4.781 | Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023? | Binary |
-5.265 | When will Browse with Bing be reintroduced on ChatGPT? | Continuous |
-32.905 | What percentage of the vote will presidential candidate candidate Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Open Primaries Elections? | Continuous |
-44.070 | Will Chevron reach an agreement with the Offshore Alliance to end or prevent industrial actions before September 25, 2023? | Binary |