| 104.865 | How many quantum computing patents will China have filed before 2024? | Continuous |
| 71.339 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 56.641 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 52.579 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 52.555 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 39.050 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 35.697 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| 32.537 | Will the UN open an investigation or otherwise intervene on the issue of the Xinjiang internment camps before 2024? | Binary |
| 29.144 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 21.628 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.849 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.231 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.495 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.549 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 12.795 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.650 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 10.718 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 9.862 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.434 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.897 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.379 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 5.742 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.570 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 5.205 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.117 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 4.908 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 3.605 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.196 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.060 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 1.354 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| -0.761 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| -1.216 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| -7.039 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| -16.577 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| -18.976 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| -50.280 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| -112.743 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| -114.225 | What rank will "Improving Sino-Western Coordination on Global Catastrophic Risk" be on 80,000 Hours's "highest-impact career paths" list on January 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| -141.759 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |