PepeS

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2021

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

12.61	Weighted Average Score
Score	Question	Question Type
174.505	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?	Continuous
140.478	When will the Novavax SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
133.576	How many successful test flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, complete within 31 days of its first flight attempt?	Continuous
123.516	What will the highest score be, on Atari 2600 Montezuma's Revenge, by any ML model that is un-augmented with domain knowledge on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
118.263	When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
98.262	When will a SpaceX Super Heavy Booster fly?	Continuous
90.215	When will the first successful launch of a Starship second stage that has been flown once before occur?	Continuous
89.007	What percentage of Virginia’s population will have received a booster dose as of 4 January 2022?	Continuous
87.641	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between Dec 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
84.638	What will the largest 7-day average number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK be, by June 1st, 2021	Continuous
81.369	What will be the average top price performance (in G3D Mark /$) of the best available GPU on the following dates? (Jan-2022)	Continuous
78.945	What will be the percentage of the population in Virginia indicating they are "vaccine accepting" on 14 January 2022?	Continuous
76.223	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's COVID-19 hospitalizations during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
72.714	How many of Virginia's 35 Local Health Districts will the UVA Biocomplexity Institute identify as being "In Surge" in the slide deck dated 16 June 2021?	Continuous
69.687	When will the US-EU border reopen?	Continuous
69.097	What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?	Continuous
64.512	What will the state-of-the-art object detection performance on COCO be, at 2022-01-14 in box average precision (box AP)?	Continuous
64.206	Will at least one SARS-CoV-2 vaccines be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old before 1 September 2021?	Binary
64.032	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
59.539	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
57.759	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
55.103	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between December 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
54.895	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 31st of December, 2021?	Continuous
53.286	What will be the percentage of the fully vaccinated population with booster/third dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
53.239	How much will the US market of plant-based meat grow in 2021 with respect to the previous year?	Continuous
53.091	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
52.373	When will the world pass 1 million daily COVID cases for the seven day moving average	Continuous
49.976	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between December 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
48.831	What will be the number of new confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?	Continuous
48.044	How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 2021–03-07?	Continuous
47.234	According to the Virginia Department of Education, how many Virginia school divisions will have "In Person" instructional schedules as of 15 September 2021?	Continuous
47.042	What will be the percent of B.1.1.7 among all S gene dropout SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted for genomic sequencing surveillance in the US between 2021-02-01 and 2021-02-15?	Continuous
46.904	What will the total retail sales including food services be for May 2021?	Continuous
46.432	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Hispanic Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous
46.064	When will government guidance allow indoor parties of any 100 people in England?	Continuous
45.741	How many excess deaths will the United States experience during COVID-19 (March 8th 2020 through December 31st 2021)?	Continuous
43.094	What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-02-28?	Continuous
40.418	Will Sweden have an extra election before 2022?	Binary
40.090	How many e-prints on multi-modal learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-12-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
39.726	When will most people in England be legally able to meet socially in a group of six in private indoor places?	Continuous
39.379	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
38.965	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the months of August to December 2021?	Continuous
38.951	What will the state-of-the-art performance on semantic segmentation on Cityscapes be at 2022-01-14 in mean IoU in percent (MIoU%)?	Continuous
38.633	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 deaths?	Continuous
38.437	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 14 January 2022?	Continuous
38.175	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 14 January 2022?	Continuous
37.532	What will be the % prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants thought to partially escape immunity for the two-week period 23 May - 05 June 2021?	Continuous
37.057	How many Natural Language Processing e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
36.524	What will be the sum of the performance (in exaFLOPS) of the top 500 supercomputers in the following dates? (November 2021)	Continuous
36.196	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 17 September?	Continuous
35.631	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
35.442	Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021?	Binary
35.310	When will the cumulative number of COVID-19 vaccination doses administered per 100 people exceed 50 in The Netherlands?	Continuous
34.300	What will the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet be at 2022-01-14 in top-1 accuracy?	Continuous
33.638	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Private Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
32.956	How many of Virginia’s four-year public institutions will require that students get a COVID vaccine for the 2021-2022 academic year?	Continuous
32.833	When will the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
32.821	How much will the highest-paid dead celebrity earn in 2021, according to Forbes?	Continuous
32.758	How many UC Berkeley undergraduates will test positive for covid this semester?	Continuous
31.210	What will be the number of new U.S. adult and pediatric previous day admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?	Continuous
30.904	What will the monthly unemployment rate for December 2021 be?	Continuous
30.841	Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
30.526	What percentage of Virginia's overall population will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 on 1 October 2021?	Continuous
29.611	What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2022)	Continuous
29.584	When will most people in England be able to meet socially in a group of six in public outdoor places?	Continuous
28.620	Will all local health districts in Virginia either be in declining or plateau trajectories OR report fewer than 5 cases per 100k residents per week for 3 consecutive weeks prior to 1 September 2021?	Binary
27.448	When will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose reach 75%?	Continuous
26.884	If a minimum corporate tax law is approved at the G20 Conference in July, what will be the minimum corporate tax level applied to all G20 countries?	Continuous
26.698	What will be the lowest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
25.678	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in April 2021?	Continuous
25.601	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in June 2021?	Continuous
25.585	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
25.392	What will be the state-of-the-art language modelling performance (in perplexity) on WikiText-103 by the following dates? (Jan 14, 2022)	Continuous
25.349	What will be the cumulative number of deaths due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31 if less than 50% of Americans initiate vaccination (1st dose received) with a COVID-19 vaccine by 2021-03-01?	Continuous
24.670	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for April 2021?	Continuous
24.297	Which age group will have the highest share of Virginia's new COVID-19 cases during the week ending 1 August 2021?	Continuous
23.965	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for May 2021?	Continuous
23.562	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating?	Binary
23.399	When will Singapore reopen for quarantine-free international travel?	Continuous
23.390	Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021?	Binary
23.349	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides posted 10 September?	Continuous
23.118	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?	Continuous
22.866	When will 150 million Americans be vaccinated against COVID-19?	Continuous
22.184	When will 32 million people in the UK have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?	Continuous
22.010	Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021?	Binary
21.618	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
21.449	What will be the percent of S:N501 sequences in the U.S. among all positive SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted to the GISAID database of genetic sequences between 2021-03-29 and 2021-04-04 (inclusive)?	Continuous
21.405	Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections?	Binary
21.050	Will the US experience a 4th wave of COVID before June 1, 2021?	Binary
20.887	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
20.826	For the month of March 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
20.747	What will be the final asking price of Roblox stock at the end of its first trading day?	Continuous
20.615	How many Reinforcement Learning e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
20.581	For the month of May 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
20.358	When will Sabaton release their tenth album?	Continuous
20.256	What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 31st, 2021?	Continuous
20.218	When will the escaped Maryland Zebras be caught?	Continuous
19.976	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?	Continuous
19.963	Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021?	Binary
19.683	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 28th of January, 2022?	Continuous
19.678	Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021?	Binary
19.448	What percentage of Virginia’s 12-15 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	Continuous
19.424	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for March 2021?	Continuous
19.405	Will Rep Marjorie Taylor Greene (R, GA-14) be expelled or resign by 2022?	Binary
19.150	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for April 2021?	Continuous
19.065	How many million doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
18.867	How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April?	Continuous
18.784	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the month of July?	Continuous
18.660	What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
18.466	Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June?	Binary
18.363	What will be the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
18.313	What will be the UK’s peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations before 1 March 2022?	Continuous
18.215	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the U.S. FDA for children under 12 years old?	Continuous
18.031	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for March 2021?	Continuous
18.004	How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks in the next six months?	Continuous
17.756	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-07-01?	Continuous
17.731	For the month of April 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
17.182	What will the total retail sales including food services be for June 2021?	Continuous
17.176	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
17.171	When will the OSHA vaccine-or-test emergency temporary standard for private employers with 100+ employees take effect?	Continuous
17.005	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
16.975	How many e-prints on Few-Shot Learning will be published on ArXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
16.836	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 25 September?	Continuous
16.746	Maximum price of Bitcoin in 2021?	Continuous
16.669	What percentage of Virginia’s 18-24 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?	Continuous
16.522	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31?	Continuous
16.289	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in July 2021?	Continuous
15.728	What will the global average Democracy Index score be for 2021?	Continuous
15.597	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
15.382	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in April 2021?	Continuous
15.262	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable deaths occur?	Continuous
15.233	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
15.134	When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500?	Continuous
15.080	Will Median Bay Area House Prices decline by >= 5% in 2021?	Binary
15.022	What percentage of 5-11 year olds in Virginia will have received at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	Continuous
15.020	In Virginia, what will be the 7-day moving average of new COVID-19 testing encounters on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
14.900	When will another SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Delta as the dominant variant in Virginia?	Continuous
14.851	Will at least 3 Basic Income pilots be launched in 2021?	Binary
14.798	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for September 2021?	Continuous
14.678	Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?	Binary
14.561	Will the question asking whether Scott will mention it on Astral Codex Ten resolve ambiguously?	Binary
14.522	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
14.332	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 10th of December, 2021?	Continuous
14.252	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
14.242	Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021?	Binary
13.831	What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
13.765	Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?	Binary
13.737	What will the value of the herein defined Object Detection Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
13.718	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in August 2021?	Continuous
13.694	What will be the market capitalization for Astra Space (ASTR) two weeks after going public?	Continuous
13.690	How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2021?	Continuous
13.474	Will Apple fail to deliver a new Mac Pro based on Apple silicon in 2021?	Binary
13.467	When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available?	Continuous
13.214	How many new COVID-19 outbreaks will occur in Virginian long-term care facilities before 1 August 2022?	Continuous
13.214	What will be percentage of population will indicate they are "vaccine accepting" in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
13.153	When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
13.054	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of 9/5-9/11?	Continuous
12.958	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September 2021?	Continuous
12.863	[Short-fuse] Will Donald Trump cease to be President before the 2021/01/20 inauguration?	Binary
12.757	Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of homicide by June 1 2021?	Binary
12.626	Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before inauguration day?	Binary
12.555	Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in the US in before 1 March 2021?	Binary
12.261	Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021?	Binary
12.230	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for April 2021?	Continuous
12.068	How many e-prints on AI Safety, Interpretability or Explainability will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
12.016	Will medical practices overtake pharmacies in total vaccines administered by channel in Virginia prior to 1 July 2021?	Binary
11.993	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-01-24 and ending on 2021-01-30 (inclusive)?	Continuous
11.792	When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?	Continuous
11.777	Will the subreddit /r/wallstreetbets be banned before Jan 1st, 2022?	Binary
11.749	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 11 September?	Continuous
11.714	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in March 2021?	Continuous
11.679	Will the University of Pennsylvania send undergraduates back home this semester?	Binary
11.547	What will the US Q3 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
11.525	Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again?	Binary
11.506	When will COVID booster doses be available to all adults in the UK?	Continuous
11.483	Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021?	Binary
11.473	Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021?	Binary
11.218	What will the total retail sales including food services be for March 2021?	Continuous
11.209	When will the U.S. CDC recommend that at least some fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose?	Continuous
11.106	Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $70 in 2021?	Binary
11.080	Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?	Binary
10.939	By 31 December 2021 will any hospital in the US have an official policy to triage COVID patients based on vaccination status?	Binary
10.744	On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k?	Continuous
10.694	What will the US Q2 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
10.552	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in May 2021?	Continuous
10.420	Will the peak reported daily deaths per capita from the COVID Delta variant wave be worse in the UK than the US?	Binary
10.398	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
10.196	Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022?	Binary
10.159	[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?	Continuous
10.051	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for July 2021?	Continuous
9.906	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between December 3rd, 2021 and February 25th, 2022?	Continuous
9.871	What will be the case-to-hospitalization rate in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
9.790	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in July 2021?	Continuous
9.746	How many scheduled airline passengers in 2021 will verify their COVID-19 health statuses with CommonPass?	Continuous
9.744	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election?	Binary
9.687	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
9.586	When will the James Webb telescope be launched?	Continuous
9.577	What will be the percent of S:N501 sequences in the U.S. among all positive SARS-CoV-2 samples submitted to the GISAID database of genetic sequences between 2021-03-01 and 2021-03-07 (inclusive)?	Continuous
9.473	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 17th of December, 2021?	Continuous
9.292	Will the Democratic candidate win the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election?	Binary
9.286	Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day?	Binary
9.238	Will federal criminal charges be levied against Donald Trump within a month of the end of his presidency?	Binary
9.171	When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO?	Continuous
9.141	Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?	Binary
9.107	Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021?	Binary
9.002	Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 February 2022?	Binary
8.983	Will scientists conclude that delaying SARS-CoV2 vaccines second dose did or would have saved lives?	Binary
8.789	For the month of September 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
8.770	When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19?	Continuous
8.722	What will the state-of-the-art language modelling performance on One Billion Word be on 2022-01-14, in perplexity?	Continuous
8.576	Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021?	Binary
8.516	Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021?	Binary
8.465	Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022?	Binary
8.446	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 7th of January, 2022?	Continuous
8.362	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-10-01?	Continuous
8.360	Will there be a 7.0 or larger earthquake either somewhere under or within 81 Kilometres the Eastern Mediterranean Sea in 2021?	Binary
8.343	Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021?	Binary
8.291	When will Taiwan reduce COVID restrictions from Level 3?	Continuous
8.239	What will be the percentage of the 5-11 year olds vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
8.138	How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2022?	Continuous
7.963	What percentage of the US will be at least partially vaccinated against COVID-19 on March 1, 2022?	Continuous
7.897	When will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians reach 1.0?	Continuous
7.820	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
7.809	For the month of June 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
7.792	[Short Fuse] Will SpaceX's SN10 Starship prototype vehicle land successfully?	Binary
7.618	Will Tether collapse by the end of 2021?	Binary
7.612	In the March 2021 Knesset election, will Likud win a plurality of seats?	Binary
7.594	What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in April 2021?	Continuous
7.588	What percent of total GDP will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q3 of 2021?	Continuous
7.455	Short fuse: When will the Suez Canal blockage of March 2021 be cleared?	Continuous
7.345	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-06-30?	Continuous
7.332	In the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election, what will be the percentage difference of the vote for McAuliffe over Youngkin?	Continuous
7.319	On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%?	Binary
7.255	What will be the price of gas on Ethereum one week after EIP-1559?	Continuous
7.151	Will there be a bilateral cease-fire of at least 30 days in the Tigray war before 2022?	Binary
7.110	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
7.098	What will the highest Exact Match rate of the best-performing model on SQuAD2.0 be on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
7.065	Will Tesla become the world's most valuable publicly-traded company before 2023?	Binary
6.968	What will be the total number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths in Australia by the end of 2021?	Continuous
6.939	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
6.915	What will be the 7-day moving average of PCR percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 18 September?	Continuous
6.850	How many billions of dollars will wildfires in the US in 2021 cost?	Continuous
6.709	Will vaccinated American citizens be allowed to enter Canada for discretionary travel by June 1st, 2021?	Binary
6.633	Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021?	Binary
6.545	What will be the market capitalization of Robinhood 2 weeks after going public?	Continuous
6.464	In 2021 will the European Commission suspend all EU mink farming, including breeding, and all in-country and cross-border transportation of live mink and their raw pelts?	Binary
6.441	For the month of August 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly non-farm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
6.427	Will a new statewide indoor mask mandate for schools be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?	Binary
6.425	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 18 September?	Continuous
6.344	How many Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition e-prints will be published on arXiv over the 2021-01-14 to 2022-01-14 period?	Continuous
6.254	Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021?	Binary
6.223	Will Pedro Castillo win the second round of the Peru 2021 presidential election?	Binary
6.064	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in July 2021?	Continuous
6.061	Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022?	Binary
6.022	Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022?	Binary
5.993	Will Erin O'Toole win the 2021 Canadian federal election?	Binary
5.942	What will be the percentage of the population vaccinated with at least one dose of COVID-19 vaccine in Virginia on December 10th, 2021?	Continuous
5.884	Will Evergrande default on its debt before the end of 2021?	Binary
5.696	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in August 2021?	Continuous
5.678	How many countries will be considered "full democracies" (score higher than 8) by The Economist in 2021?	Continuous
5.670	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
5.667	Will San Francisco issue a health order banning all restaurant indoor dining anytime between 2021-07-01 and 2021-12-31?	Binary
5.626	Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022?	Binary
5.613	When will WeRide begin testing their autonomous and fully driverless taxis in California?	Continuous
5.545	Will a DNA-sequencing read-length record of over 5,000,000 bases be achieved before January 1st, 2022?	Binary
5.542	What will the percent of Virginia's population vaccinated with at least one dose be on 1 August 2021?	Continuous
5.540	How much interest will the 2021 US Government report on UAPs generate?	Continuous
5.535	Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021?	Binary
5.483	Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions?	Binary
5.464	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 21 August?	Continuous
5.411	How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates? (January 2022)	Continuous
5.260	Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021?	Binary
5.254	What will be percentage of population will indicate they are "vaccine accepting" in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
5.219	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for August 2021?	Continuous
5.205	What will be the total number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
5.185	When will the third SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
5.055	Will the Pentagon report on UAPs dispute secret technology or aliens as explanations?	Binary
4.979	What will the VIX Index be on July's Non-Farm Payroll release date after closing?	Continuous
4.876	Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries diplomatically boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics?	Binary
4.867	In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 cases?	Continuous
4.801	What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-05-31?	Continuous
4.795	Will Donald Trump be outside of the United States on 2021-01-20?	Binary
4.629	Short-fuse: Will Kyle Rittenhouse be convicted on any pending felony charges in connection to the 2020 Kenosha unrest before 2022?	Binary
4.580	When will the fifth SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
4.557	By 31 December 2021 will General Mark Milley stop serving as the 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff?	Binary
4.555	Will Silvio Berlusconi be elected to the Presidency of the Italian Republic in the next election?	Binary
4.442	Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01?	Binary
4.324	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
4.289	Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?	Binary
4.164	What will the total retail sales including food services be for April 2021?	Continuous
4.154	[short fuse] Will Trump be impeached and convicted by the Senate in 2021?	Binary
4.109	What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 October 2021?	Continuous
4.003	By 1 November 2021 will the US Senate pass a bill extending the Child Tax Credit?	Binary
3.853	What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-04-30?	Continuous
3.817	Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021?	Binary
3.810	Will the Fed raise the RRR this year?	Binary
3.754	[Short-fuse] Before 16 December 2021, will the U.S. reimpose a Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the European Schengen Area?	Binary
3.549	What will Elon Musk's total net worth be at the end of 2021?	Continuous
3.491	Will the PlayStation 5 sell more units than the Nintendo Switch in 2021?	Binary
3.478	Will a member of Congress be charged during 2021 with a felony in connection with the Capitol riot?	Binary
3.476	What will be the peak in weekly CLI visits (count) in Virginia before 1 August 2022?	Continuous
3.469	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?	Continuous
3.417	Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer?	Binary
3.411	What will the total retail sales including food services be for July 2021?	Continuous
3.381	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in August 2021?	Continuous
3.337	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 28 August?	Continuous
3.111	[Short fuse] How many new coronavirus cases will the United States report for the week ending August 14th?	Continuous
3.093	What will the average travel nurse salary in Virginia be for the 90-day period ending 31 March 2022?	Continuous
3.059	When will the highest 7-day average number of daily new cases be reported in Virginia between November 12th, 2021 and February 4th, 2022?	Continuous
3.028	[Short-Fuse] What proportion of last-round votes will Eric Adams get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election?	Continuous
2.970	When will a SpaceX Starship be intact 24 hours after flying?	Continuous
2.882	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-06-27 and ending on 2021-07-03 (inclusive)?	Continuous
2.719	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in September 2021?	Continuous
2.622	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims (in thousands) filed in September 2021?	Continuous
2.532	[Short-fuse] Will implementation of measures more severe than those in “Plan B” be announced in the UK before 1 January 2022?	Binary
2.460	By 2021-11-01 will the US FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5-11?	Binary
2.398	When will 30 Kalshi markets be open to the general public for trading?	Continuous
2.366	When will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA?	Continuous
2.347	When will 100M people in the US have received at least one dose of COVID vaccine?	Continuous
2.252	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides dated 27 August?	Continuous
2.251	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 26th of November, 2021?	Continuous
2.208	When will Paxlovid be given an EUA from the FDA?	Continuous
2.193	When will the UK’s pre-March 2022 peak 7-day moving average of current COVID hospitalizations occur?	Continuous
2.163	What will be the lowest closing value for the E-Mini S&P 500 Future Continuous Contract in September?	Continuous
2.102	Will there be a cease-fire or peace agreement in the Yemeni Civil War in 2021?	Binary
2.062	Will Boris Johnson be UK Prime Minister in January 2022?	Binary
2.038	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in April 2021?	Continuous
2.019	Will the MOVE Index breach 70 before 11-01-21?	Binary
2.002	Will the United States boycott the 2022 Beijing Olympics?	Binary
1.981	Will the Substack Slow Boring exceed 10,000 paid subscribers in 2021?	Binary
1.947	Will Andrew M. Cuomo still be governor of New York on 31 December 2021?	Binary
1.946	Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
1.774	Will Sci-Hub be adding new articles again before the end of 2021?	Binary
1.733	Will more than 2,500 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
1.628	Will the Fed announce a slow-down in bond purchases from the current $120 billion per month before Jan. 1, 2022?	Binary
1.584	What will be the 7-day moving average of percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 11 September?	Continuous
1.540	Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021?	Binary
1.480	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in July 2021?	Continuous
1.418	Will Magnus Carlsen retain the Chess World Championship for a fifth time?	Binary
1.354	Will Stripe be the largest public offering worldwide in 2021 by valuation?	Binary
1.272	Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?	Binary
1.241	By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?	Binary
1.209	What will Trump's approval rating be on 18-Jan-2021?	Continuous
1.151	When will there be a verdict in the Derek Chauvin trial?	Continuous
1.100	[short-fuse] By 2022, will the US Senate confirm Biden's nominees for Treasury Secretary, Secretary of State, Defense Secretary, and Attorney General?	Binary
1.052	Will the VIX Index reach 15 or below before 9-01-21?	Binary
1.044	Will LDP continue to govern Japan after the 2021 general election?	Binary
1.016	What will be the case-to-hospitalization rate in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
0.995	What will be the total number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
0.990	Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?	Binary
0.939	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2021 NBA championship?	Binary
0.929	Will the US Supreme Court rule the vaccine and testing mandate for companies larger than 100 employees unconstitutional before the end of 2021?	Binary
0.901	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for September 2021?	Continuous
0.843	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
0.831	Will the Israeli Knesset pass a budget by November 30th?	Binary
0.800	Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?	Binary
0.755	Will Próspera's population in 2021 be larger than 1,000?	Binary
0.711	Will debris from the Long March 5B core stage cause injuries or property damage?	Binary
0.694	Will Fluvoxamine receive authorization for treatment of Covid by the United States FDA before 2022?	Binary
0.690	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for June 2021?	Continuous
0.678	Will more than 10,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
0.661	Will the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the European Union exceed that for the United States in 2021?	Binary
0.642	On what date will the New York Times COVID-19 tracker for New York City assess the risk as "medium"?	Continuous
0.641	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on May 1st in the United States?	Continuous
0.591	Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021?	Binary
0.544	What will be the 7-day moving average of percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
0.467	Will the US have more than 6000 daily COVID-19 hospitalizations (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022?	Binary
0.442	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting?	Binary
0.438	Will the U.S. Federal government declare a water shortage in the U.S. in 2021?	Binary
0.295	Will Biden pass an infrastructure package in 2021?	Binary
0.239	Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023?	Binary
0.224	By 23 November 2021 will the US Supreme Court overturn any part of President Biden's executive order requiring federal workers to be vaccinated against COVID-19?	Binary
0.223	When will the second SpaceX Starship flight be?	Continuous
0.131	Will restaurant reservations and consumer spending outside the home go back to normal in the US in 2021?	Binary
0.092	When will Virginia’s pre-October peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable cases occur?	Continuous
0.091	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in May 2021?	Continuous
0.025	How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-04-01?	Continuous
-0.061	Will restrictions on household mixing be in effect in England on 25 December 2021?	Binary
-0.065	Will more than half of the remaining trades in the Trade Signal tournament make money?	Binary
-0.115	What will be the 7-day moving average of vaccine doses administered in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
-0.117	By 31 December 2021, will any Chinese People's Liberation Army Air Force aircraft enter Taiwan's airspace without authorization?	Binary
-0.146	Will Aubrey de Grey be terminated or resign from the SENS Research Foundation by 2022?	Binary
-0.153	When will the Taliban take Kabul?	Continuous
-0.161	Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA before 2022?	Binary
-0.295	What percentage of Virginians will have received a booster dose for COVID-19 vaccine by end of 2021?	Continuous
-0.307	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 11 September?	Continuous
-0.351	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for July 2021?	Continuous
-0.443	What will be the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 variants thought to partially escape immunity for the two-week period 20 June - 03 July 2021?	Continuous
-0.462	Short Fuse: How much will the winning bidder pay to go to space with Jeff Bezos?	Continuous
-0.567	What will be the 7-day rolling average of the % B.1.1.7 in the US on 27 March 2021 (between 21 March 2021 and 27 March 2021)?	Continuous
-0.635	What will be the 7-day moving average of percent positivity by lab report date in Virginia on 28 August?	Continuous
-0.698	For the month of July 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)?	Continuous
-0.792	Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel following the Israeli legislative election of 2021?	Binary
-0.829	How many members will the next Bundestag have?	Continuous
-1.082	Will Brazil have a 7-day rolling average above 2,000 COVID-19 deaths before 1 June 2021?	Binary
-1.089	Will the UK Conservative Party win the 2021 Batley and Spen by-election?	Binary
-1.098	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 18 September?	Continuous
-1.221	How many people will be employed in the US healthcare/social assistance industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
-1.224	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in May 2021?	Continuous
-1.238	What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 21 August?	Continuous
-1.246	Will NASA issue a second fully-funded award for its Human Landing System contract before 2022?	Binary
-1.260	How big will the Trade Signal Tournament prize pool be on 2021-09-30?	Continuous
-1.382	Will the Trade Signal tournament prize pool increase as a result of trading?	Binary
-1.474	Will more than 10,000 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021?	Binary
-1.571	What will be the 7-day moving average of daily new reported cases in Virginia on the 7th of January, 2022?	Continuous
-1.576	Will GameStop (GME) reach a stock price of $1000 by 11:59 pm, 20 February 2021?	Binary
-1.621	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in August 2021?	Continuous
-1.723	How many of Virginia's 35 local health districts will be described as being "in surge" in UVA modeling slides dated 20 August?	Continuous
-1.726	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in June 2021?	Continuous
-1.823	Will more than half of the remaining forecasts in the Trade Signal tournament that correspond to trades be on the correct side of the consensus?	Binary
-1.864	Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020?	Binary
-1.876	Will the publicly-traded company GameStop (GME) reach a $420.69 stock price by the end of 2021?	Binary
-1.977	How many people will be employed in the US manufacturing industry in 2021 (in thousands)?	Continuous
-2.036	How many Virginians (thousands) will be employed in leisure and hospitality services in December 2021?	Continuous
-2.072	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on March 1st in the United States?	Continuous
-2.147	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in June 2021?	Continuous
-2.231	[short fuse] Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LV?	Binary
-2.401	Will Biden’s Build Back Better Budget include a requirement for banks to report financial data on accounts receiving sufficiently large deposits?	Binary
-2.616	What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-2.789	What will be the % change in the Industrial Production Index for August 2021?	Continuous
-3.583	Will the 7-day rolling average of COVID vaccine doses administered in the US exceed 3M in 2021?	Binary
-3.590	What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in June 2021?	Continuous
-4.018	How many US southwest land border encounters will be reported by CBP for the month of May?	Continuous
-4.065	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-4.283	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for March 2021?	Continuous
-4.307	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in July 2021?	Continuous
-4.343	What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in September 2021?	Continuous
-4.524	What will the total retail sales including food services be for August 2021?	Continuous
-4.765	Will Apple release a new iMac based on Apple silicon in 2021?	Binary
-5.304	When will the US-Canada border reopen?	Continuous
-5.630	What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election?	Continuous
-5.685	Will more than 1,000 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
-5.843	Will more than 400 Palestinians in 2021 be killed in the context of the occupation and conflict?	Binary
-5.979	What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on April 1st in the United States?	Continuous
-6.107	Will Taipei enter Level 4 restrictions by May 31st?	Binary
-6.596	What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-7.525	What will the value of the herein defined Image Classification Performance Index be on 2022-01-14?	Continuous
-7.531	According to COVIDcast survey results reported by the UVA Biocomplexity Institute on 1 October 2021, what percentage of Virginians will be “vaccine accepting”?	Continuous
-7.876	Will US real GDP growth in 2021 set a new record for any previous year in the 21st century?	Binary
-8.053	What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-05-30 and ending on 2021-06-05 (inclusive)?	Continuous
-8.504	What factor should the median 4-week-ahead COVIDhub Ensemble forecast made on 4 Jan(a forecast for the 24-30 Jan week) be multiplied by so that it equals the reported number of new US incident deaths?	Continuous
-8.564	Will there be at least 1,000 Ebola deaths in 2021?	Binary
-11.154	How many emoji related court cases in 2021?	Continuous
-12.051	When will the U.S. lift its Presidential Proclamation restricting travel from the U.K.?	Continuous
-12.433	How many billions of dollars will hurricanes in 2021 cost the US?	Continuous
-12.894	What will the total retail sales including food services be for September 2021?	Continuous
-14.677	What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in June 2021?	Continuous
-14.834	How much will Open Philanthropy grant in their focus area of Potential Risks from Advanced Artificial Intelligence in 2021?	Continuous
-15.597	Will Tigrayan-aligned forces cut off the A1 trunk route (Addis Ababa to Djibouti) by year's end?	Binary
-16.946	What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2022-01-14 in accuracy?	Continuous
-17.507	What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in August 2021?	Continuous
-17.540	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q3 2021?	Continuous
-17.817	Will Charity Entrepreneurship launch a charity fortifying feed for hens as part of its 2021 incubation program?	Binary
-18.764	What will be the number of K-12 outbreaks in Virginia for the week of 9/12-9/18?	Continuous
-19.502	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for May 2021?	Continuous
-20.520	What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 18 September?	Continuous
-22.077	What will the % change of sexually transmitted infections diagnoses in England from 2019 to 2020 be?	Continuous
-24.308	How many people in the UK will have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by 15th February?	Continuous
-25.022	What will be the percentage change of Australia's seasonally-adjusted Public Sector WPI for Q2 2021?	Continuous
-25.860	What will be official attendance at the 2021 University of Virginia vs Virginia Tech football game?	Continuous
-30.207	Will EU Member States or the Members of the European Parliament reject the ratification of EU-Mercosur agreement in 2021?	Binary
-30.562	What will be the cumulative number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 on 2021-12-31?	Continuous
-45.982	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (with food and energy) for June 2021?	Continuous
-58.926	Will there be an episode of The Simpsons with an IMDb rating ≥ 8/10 before 2022?	Binary
-107.201	What will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Asian and Pacific Islander Virginians be in July 2021?	Continuous