composing definitive insights composing predictive contingencies mapping calibrated contingencies aggregating probable contingencies composing quantitative futures mapping the future crowdsourcing intelligent futures formulating quantitative insights predicting critical contingencies aggregating probable insights generating quantitative estimations mapping predictive contingencies exploring calibrated estimations mapping definitive contingencies

News

Lots of predictions from Fortune that could be Metaculized

By Anthony on Nov. 25, 2017, 8:37 p.m. GMT

Fortune mag just came out with a big list of predictions. These lists are often hopelessly vague and generally unaccountable, but this one is a bit less hopelessly vague than most, and it seems there are a good number of questions that could be turned into well-defined predictables. Everyone feel very invited to submit any of these, and if we get enough perhaps we could make a "Fortune" series, or even contest. And if we assume that when Fortune "predicts" something they are giving it > 50%, it would be fun to compare Metaculus predictions to theirs!