🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

7
6
64 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<50
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
0.1%
1.17k
2.049k
3.659k

What was the final result?1.25k

Community Baseline Score
58.5
Community Peer Score
18.1
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting Our World in Data
Environment & Climate
Natural Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Our World in Data
EM Data Bank
Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters
International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies

Comments

? comments