🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

How many people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years?

11
9
71 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
<4.4B
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5B
1.5%
4.62B
4.669B
4.71B
2.5%

What was the final result?4.76B

Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
22.1
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Forecasting Our World in Data
Social Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Our World in Data
Purchasing power parity
World Bank

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