343 forecasters

Will the US Senate weaken or eliminate the filibuster before January 3, 2029?

20%chance

20%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Authors:

johnnycaffeine jack.andolina

Opened:

Mar 28, 2025

Closes:

Jan 3, 2029

Resolved:

Sep 11, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 2, 2025

POTUS Predictions

Full-Term Phase

BLW POTUS Questions

Trump admits Republicans ‘likely’ to lose midterm elections unless they go ‘nuclear’ and end Senate filibuster

Independent•Nov 4, 2025

Donald Trump Issues Midterms Warning: ‘Nuclear Option!’

Newsweek•Nov 4, 2025

Senate majority leader says he doesn’t have the votes to eliminate filibuster despite Trump’s wishes

New York Post•Nov 4, 2025

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