391 forecasters

What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026?

Current estimate

9.34%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 28, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 15, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 2, 2025

POTUS Predictions

Economy & Business

Supreme Court could blow up Trump’s tariff agenda in biggest case of his second term: ‘It’s very uncertain’

New York Post•Nov 4, 2025

What to watch for as the Supreme Court reviews Trump’s sweeping global tariffs

CNN•Nov 4, 2025

China’s Global Exports Continue to Grow Despite Trump Tariffs

New York Times•Nov 4, 2025

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