106 forecasters

Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?

14.8%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

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Opened:

Oct 29, 2025

Closed:

Oct 29, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 29, 2025

Community Prediction Aggregation Method:Unweighted

Include Bots:Yes

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