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12 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?

Current estimate

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:Oct 30, 2025
Closes:Nov 21, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Nov 21, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 4, 2025
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Politics
Economy & Business
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NBC logo
Government shutdown effects bear down on millions more people after a crucial Nov. 1 deadline passes
NBC•Nov 1, 2025
Atlantic logo
What If the Government Doesn’t Need to Be Shut Down?
Atlantic•Nov 1, 2025
Newsweek logo
Senator Predicts Deadline for Government Shutdown to End
Newsweek•Oct 31, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

19 Nov 2025
(11 Nov 2025 - 30 Nov 2025)
19 Nov 2025
(11 Nov 2025 - 30 Nov 2025)
18 forecasters

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10% chance
153

How many people will work for the US federal government in November 2026?

2710 thousand people
(2608 - 2819)
2710 thousand people
(2608 - 2819)
115 forecasters
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