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Will the UK elections lead to an absolute majority for one party in parliament?
The Conservative party headed by Prime Minister May called a snap election for June 8 and initially were predicted to win in a landslide as polls showed them getting a share of the votes 20 to 25 percent higher than the Labour party.
This has changed in the last few weeks with the most recent polls showing the percentage difference narrowing to the single digits. One poll even predicted a "hung parliament" where no party has an absolute majority.
Will a single political party win an absolute majority in parliament when the votes are finished counted on June 9 ?
Resolution is positive if official results are announced giving any political particle an absolute majority in the UK elections of June 8. In the case of contested seats as of June 10, resolution will be delayed if and only if those contested seats would affect whether a majority is achieved.
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The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.
Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.