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Biden 2024 re-nomination


related question on Metaculus:

President-elect Joe Biden took office as the oldest president to serve in the position. Reporting in late 2019 indicated that Biden was signaling to aides that he would only serve one term as a "transition figure" between Trump and the next generation of Democratic leaders. However, following the 2020 Democratic convention, Biden said he was "absolutely" leaving open the possibility of running for a second term, and following the election, Biden's sister Valerie claimed he would "absolutely" run again.

Will Joe Biden be the Democratic nominee in 2024?

This question resolves positively if the 2024 Democratic National Convention nominates Joe Biden as its presidential nominee. It resolves negatively if Biden declines to run, dies in office, or is successfully challenged for the nomination. It resolves ambiguously if the 2024 Democratic National Convention does not occur, or if no nominee is selected at the 2024 DNC.

The number of delegates Biden wins in the primaries, or whether he remains the nominee on election day, is irrelevant to the resolution criteria.

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