🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Before 2022-04-01, will martial law be on in any five federal subjects of Russia excluding all the territories annexed after 2013?

Resolved :No20%
11
13
Total Forecasters99
Community Prediction20% (10.6% - 28%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
21.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
CrabMan
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Russo-Ukrainian War
Martial law in Russia
Federal subjects of Russia
Russia

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