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US Democracy Index

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When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Current estimate

Dec 2039

11 comments

22 forecasters

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

80%chance

condition

7 forecasters

2024 Electoral Consequences

1 comment

19 forecasters

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

20284.97B

20264.97B

condition

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

3 forecasters

if yes

if no

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

67%

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

25%

5 5 comments

3 forecasters

condition

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

5 forecasters

if yes

if no

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

55%

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

22%

0 comments

5 forecasters

6 comments

28 forecasters

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%chance

5 comments

15 forecasters

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

18%chance

5 comments

3 forecasters

When will these countries have operational high-speed rail?

2 comments

24 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

Current estimate

33.8B billion tonnes

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

US Annual CO2 Emissions With Land Use Change? (2028)

US Annual CO2 Emissions With Land Use Change? (2028)

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

When will these countries have operational high-speed rail?

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

US Annual CO2 Emissions With Land Use Change? (2028)

US Annual CO2 Emissions With Land Use Change? (2028)

What will annual CO₂ emissions in the United States be (in tonnes, and including land use change) in the following years?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US Electric Vehicle Sales Share >35% in 2030?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

US 2030 Electricity Below 11 cents per kWh?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

Will the retail price of electricity in the US in 2030 be below 11 cents USD (2023 dollars)?

When will these countries have operational high-speed rail?

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?