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Ragnarök Series—results so far

31
3434 comments
Ragnarök Series
2 comments
161 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

8%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: overview

14
55 comments
Ragnarök Series
44 comments
433 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance
9 comments
77 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to naturally occuring pandemics?

9%chance
15 comments
282 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29%chance
9 comments
33 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due "other risks"?

20.6%chance
7 comments
194 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance
52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
17 comments
196 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

5%chance