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By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?
Resolved :
No
1%
352 forecasters
40
109 comments
109
What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?
Adults 65+
47.4
Adults 18+
24.1
Children 6 months to 17 years
13.4
2
18 comments
18
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?
Resolved :
81.1k
98.7k
59 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will the WHO announce that the COVID-19 pandemic has ended?
Nov 2026
95 forecasters
24
26 comments
26
Will the next COVID VOC be milder than Omicron?
Resolved :
Annulled
70%
74 forecasters
5
16 comments
16
Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?
Resolved :
No
3%
204 forecasters
16
42 comments
42
How many reported COVID-19 deaths will occur (globally) in 2025?
148k
36 forecasters
11
8 comments
8
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.93k
2.92k
50 forecasters
6
16 comments
16
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?
Orthomyxoviridae
58%
Other 24 known HIVF
25%
Coronaviridae
15%
1 other
20
7 comments
7
Biosecurity Tournament
The Salk Tournament for coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Vaccine R&D
24
34 comments
34
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