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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season
4
0
comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
10
2
2
comments
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
7
comments
123
forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
2 or 3
48.8%
0 or 1
31.7%
4 or 5
13.4%
3 others
6%
0
comments
98
forecasters
What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?
Latest estimate
46.3%
This question is closed for forecasting.
5
comments
7
forecasters
When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?
Current estimate
24 May 2027
3
comments
17
forecasters
How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?
0
comments
53
forecasters
#23 - Will the new recreation software system be up and running before the end of 2025?
39.5%
chance
24.5%
this week
0
comments
100
forecasters
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
35%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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