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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

4
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

When will a global sensing system be operational that enables real-time, 3D atmospheric tomography at a resolution sufficient to model small-scale convective processes?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will an OpenAI model be ranked #1 overall on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of the 2nd Quarter of 2025?

resultNo

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic reach or surpass ASL-4?

06 Jun 2030
14.1 months this week

What will be the CDC's In-Season Flu Severity Assessment for 2025-2026?

Moderate57.9%
High23.2%
Low (or lower)15.8%
and 1 other

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, what will be the index value for Labor Productivity for the "Information" sector for the fourth quarter of 2028?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

14
3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

What proportion of tested influenza sequences will CDC report as influenza A during the 2025-26 season through the end of April 2026?

82.7%
7 % this week

What will RSV immunization coverage for the 2025-26 season be among the following groups in the US?

Infants < 8 months37.2
Eligible pregnant women36.7
Adults 75+56.2