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Predictions as Public Works Project โย What Metaculus Is Building Next
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A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source
26
312 comments
312
Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024?
60%
11
28 comments
28
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
What will be the largest customer base of a single romantic AI companion before 2025?
Closed
20
34 comments
34
AI Demonstrations
What will be the flu vaccine coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?
Children 6 months to 17 years
53.3
Adults 65+
73.9
Adults 18+
48.7
2
12 comments
12
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
The Top500's total sum in 2030 as a multiple of the total sum in 2015
Closed
7
3 comments
3
Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?
5.11
4
3 comments
3
Five Years After AGI
Q3 AI Benchmarking Results
11
14 comments
14
What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?
Adults 65+
39.3
Adults 18+
21.5
Children 6 months to 17 years
12.9
2
9 comments
9
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?
Closed
4
12 comments
12
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