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Will the "silver" Turing Test be passed by 2026?
Closed
192
58 comments
58
Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?
Closed
59
38 comments
38
Will a rogue Artificial Intelligence system, acting autonomously, directly cause at least the following numbers of deaths before 2050?
100
?
1,000
?
10,000
?
2 others
8 comments
8
When will an AI achieve competency in the Atari classic Montezumaโs Revenge?
Closed
23
42 comments
42
What will be the largest customer base of a single romantic AI companion before 2025?
Closed
20
34 comments
34
AI Demonstrations
Reliable automatic coding of described rules by 2030?
Closed
17
8 comments
8
When will AI achieve superhuman few-shot performance on SuperGLUE?
Closed
15
16 comments
16
When will an agentized-LLM system like Auto-GPT be first reported to have been used to do significant real-world harm?
Closed
10
11 comments
11
AI Safety
How many customers will make up the biggest paying customer base of any AI assistant software in 2025?
Closed
8
11 comments
11
Business of AI
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
2039-10-29
2
15 comments
15
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