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How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?
68 to 70
57.45%
71 to 75
41.14%
76 to 85
1.01%
4 others
4
26 comments
26
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
4%
62 forecasters
6
17 comments
17
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
13%
184 forecasters
7
22 comments
22
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?
Flu
06 Feb 2025
Combined
03 Feb 2025
COVID-19
06 Jan 2025
1 other
3
19 comments
19
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
19%
143 forecasters
20
35 comments
35
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
168
39 forecasters
3
20 comments
20
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?
Combined
19.3
Flu
12
COVID-19
4.32
1 other
3
31 comments
31
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Five years after AGI, what will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease?
62.1
13 forecasters
4
no comments
0
Five Years After AGI
condition
Will the USDA's Center for Veterinary Biologics grant a license for a highly pathogenic avian influenza H5 vaccine in dairy cattle before July 1, 2025?
11 forecasters
if yes
if no
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
210
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
177
1
13 comments
13
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?
0.8%
39 forecasters
8
39 comments
39
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
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