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📈Market Pulse Q2 Winners: Evidence of Edge

5
1 comment1
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q2

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots

14
3 comments3
Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

What will be the ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?

Key Factor

amount of participating bots affects outcomes

48.8%
4.2 % this week

Key Factor

amount of participating bots affects outcomes

Important Updates to Prediction Auto-withdrawal

7
69 comments69

Platform feature suggestions

112
2960 comments2960
Metaculus Meta

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 80% accuracy be achieved on Cybench by a Claude Opus 4 scale model by Anthropic?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 80% accuracy be achieved on Cybench by a Claude Sonnet 4 scale model by Anthropic?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 80% accuracy be achieved on Cybench by a Llama 4 Behemoth scale model by Meta?

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will 75% accuracy be reached on LAB-Bench Cloning Scenarios by a Claude Sonnet 4 scale model by Anthropic?