2 comments
37 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
95 comments
95 forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 19.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?"?
resultNo
Contributed by the AI Diffusion community.
0 comments
3 forecasters
What will be the total disclosed VC funding levels globally invested in AI startups during 2029?
Current estimate
924B $
5 comments
7 forecasters
When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?
Current estimate
24 May 2027