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Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance

Will a species extinct for > 1000 years be brought back before May 1, 2026?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

40%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

2%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

23%chance

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

49%chance

When Will We See Real Nanotechnology?

20
1 comment1

Life on the Icy Moons and Ocean Worlds of the Outer Solar System

15
1 comment1

A brief but hopeful vignette

4
1 comment1
AI Progress Essay Contest

Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?

1%chance

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

60%chance
5% this week