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Oct 17 Update: Bot Templates & Tutorials Available for the Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark
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Predictions as Public Works Project โย What Metaculus Is Building Next
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Winners of the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup!
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๐ Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup ๐
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
Closed
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46 comments
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Pandemic Series (2018)
How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?
Closed
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78 comments
78
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024?
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28
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Pandemic series: a significant bioterror attack by 2025?
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29
6 comments
6
Pandemic Series (2018)
When will 1bn people have been vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 with any vaccine candidate(s) that have demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
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24 comments
24
How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?
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18
20 comments
20
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?
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15
8 comments
8
Pandemic Series (2018)
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