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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

When will Pope Benedict XVI be canonized?

Mar 2059

Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?

0.9%chance

When will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female clergy?

>2100

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

1%chance

Who will be the next Pope?

Otherresult: Yes
Pietro Parolinresult: No
Luis Antonio Tagleresult: No
and 17 others

When will the Catholic Church Elect a new Pope?

result08 May 2025 16:00

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

Who will be the next Pope?

Otherresult: Yes
Pietro Parolinresult: No
Luis Antonio Tagleresult: No
and 5 others

Will Pope Francis resign by the end of the year?

resultNo

Will German bishops break from the Catholic Church before 2035?

6%chance

Contributed by the Odborný Predikční Tým community.

What is the probability that a state of emergency, a state of danger, and a state of threat to the state will be declared in the Czech Republic by the end of 2025?

State of emergency20%
Danger status65%
State of emergency0.5%