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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?

30

How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?

Resolved :35.2k37k

5

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01?

Resolved :Yes82%

14

Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?

Resolved :No44%

22

Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11?

Resolved :Yes99%

163 forecasters

35

165 comments165

Will the Taliban capture downtown Kandahar before the start of Ramadan?

Resolved :Yes99%

16

When will the Taliban take Kabul?

Resolved :15 Aug 202116 Aug 2021

21

Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?

Resolved :No30%

8

Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul?

Resolved :No10%

135 forecasters

14

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

9