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0 comments
13 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. presidentโ€™s net worth reach โ‰ฅ4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
15 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

45 comments
168 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
10 Jun 2029
0 comments
9 forecasters

Will Umaro Sissoco Embalรณ be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?

88%chance
51.9% this week
3 comments
34 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
16 Nov 2025 05:18
5 comments
8 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura99.8%
1 comment
29 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?

95%chance
40% this week
40 comments
195 forecasters

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

20%chance
35% this week

Key Factors

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

13
66 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
3 comments
4 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)

80%chance
14.9% today