Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
ๆ
Feed Home
๐ฅ
Communities
๐ญ
Bridgewater 2025
๐ค
AI Benchmarking
๐
USAID Outlook
Topics
โจ๐
Top Questions
๐ฆ๐ฆ
H5N1 Bird Flu
๐๏ธ๐
Global Elections
โณ๐
5 Years After AGI
๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ
Gaza Conflict
๐ฆ ๐ฉบ
Mpox outbreak
๐บ๐ฆโ๏ธ
Ukraine Conflict
categories
๐ค
Artificial Intelligence
๐งฌ
Health & Pandemics
๐
Environment & Climate
โฃ๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome in 2031 be less than the value of one hour of US labor productivity?
70.5%
14 forecasters
1
8 comments
8
When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
2134
192 forecasters
23
70 comments
70
Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
21%
165 forecasters
8
7 comments
7
By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?
59%
242 forecasters
49
86 comments
86
Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?
40%
12 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
220 forecasters
33
27 comments
27
Ragnarรถk Series
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
2%
275 forecasters
36
26 comments
26
When will the first successful entirely artificial extracorporeal human pregnancy conclude?
2043
93 forecasters
27
34 comments
34
When will Elon Musk have any device, such as a brain-machine interface, surgically implanted into his brain?
Nov 2037
164 forecasters
36
35 comments
35
Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?
50%
73 forecasters
16
no comments
0
Load More