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5 comments
12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
0 comments
3 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara25%
Josรฉ Antonio Kast38%
Evelyn Matthei15%
5 comments
9 forecasters

Will Yuma, Arizona receive any rain in November 2025?

80%chance
47% this week
1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

33%chance
1 comment
20 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

2 comments
10 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

40%chance
45% this week
4 comments
1 forecaster

How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?

Current estimate
3.41%
0 comments
19 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. presidentโ€™s net worth reach โ‰ฅ4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

128 comments
291 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

48%chance

Key Factors

1 comment
7 forecasters

Will an AI created song chart on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

85%chance
5% today