• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

12
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4 comments
6 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura99%

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

4
1010 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
9 comments
46 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

0 comments
7 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?

0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

11 comments
30 forecasters

When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
9 comments
69 forecasters

How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
1 comment
36 forecasters

Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days