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0 comments
18 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

1 comment
19 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

5 comments
8 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
26 comments
66 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.831 °C

Key Factors

45 comments
170 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
16 Mar 2029
6 comments
1 forecaster

Will Russia have an AI data center with >10,000 H100e before 2027?

20%chance
1 comment
15 forecasters

Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

11%chance
39% this week
2 comments
9 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

44%chance
41% this week
26 comments
17 forecasters

What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months?

25 comments
8 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months?

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