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Will humans go extinct before 2100?
0.5%
1439 forecasters
76
349 comments
349
Will a species extinct for > 1000 years be brought back by 2025?
Closed
40%
457 forecasters
127
29 comments
29
Playing God Series
A living thylacine (Tasmanian tiger) by 2020?
Resolved :
No
10%
136 forecasters
10
7 comments
7
When will the mammoth be revived?
2048
60 forecasters
26
20 comments
20
Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?
3%
92 forecasters
16
23 comments
23
Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?
20%
41 forecasters
9
7 comments
7
How does the level of existential risk posed by AGI depend on its arrival time?
2022-10-10 to 2024-12-31
50%
2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31
50%
2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31
30%
2 others
23
19 comments
19
Future of AI
Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years
26
16 comments
16
