Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?
0.8%
133 forecasters
8
1 comment
1
Biosecurity Tournament
Will a European Union member state be one of the first 10 countries to select 10% of its population for IQ?
22%
48 forecasters
9
14 comments
14
How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?
8.08
127 forecasters
7
37 comments
37
Biosecurity Tournament
Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025?
0.1%
73 forecasters
9
45 comments
45
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome fall below $500 by mid 2016?
Resolved :
No
79 forecasters
35
10 comments
10
By July 1, 2016 will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem?
Resolved :
No
98 forecasters
19
15 comments
15
Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?
Resolved :
Yes
167 forecasters
53
22 comments
22
Playing God Series
By the end of 2017 will a gene drive targeting malaria be initiated?
Resolved :
No
86 forecasters
27
8 comments
8
Playing God Series
Will the US restore funding for research that creates more dangerous versions of Influenza, MERS and SARS?
Resolved :
No
46 forecasters
12
7 comments
7
Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
50 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
Load More