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By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?
30%
113 forecasters
32
18 comments
18
When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?
2062-01-31
69 forecasters
19
12 comments
12
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
80%
92 forecasters
11
25 comments
25
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
66 forecasters
5
14 comments
14
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
40%
58 forecasters
8
9 comments
9
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
23%
221 forecasters
33
27 comments
27
Ragnarรถk Series
When will the first human be born on another world?
2075-02-23
142 forecasters
27
10 comments
10
When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
2029-05-11
118 forecasters
33
38 comments
38
When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?
2031-11-24
42 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Alt-Protein Tournament
When will we see the first live birth from human in vitro gametogenesis?
2032-09-15
46 forecasters
13
8 comments
8
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