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When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?
2113
191 forecasters
23
70 comments
70
What percentage of egg-laying hens will be cage-free, in the U.S., in June 2025?
43.4
55 forecasters
10
13 comments
13
Animal Welfare Series
Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?
54%
151 forecasters
41
34 comments
34
By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?
55%
56 forecasters
17
38 comments
38
Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?
Resolved :
No
17%
215 forecasters
8
8 comments
8
New ultrasound Alzheimer's treatment to clinical trial in humans by end of 2017?
Resolved :
No
55%
45 forecasters
10
1 comment
1
If you die today and get cryonically frozen, will you "wake up"?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
6%
437 forecasters
56
42 comments
42
Playing God Series
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
Resolved :
No
35%
118 forecasters
14
6 comments
6
Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will we see evidence that Piracetam is a more effective Alzheimer's treatment than Memantine by 2021?
Resolved :
No
40%
62 forecasters
9
10 comments
10
Playing God Question Series
7
no comments
0
Playing God Series
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