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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

14
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4 comments
6 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura99%
0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years?

0 comments
5 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

4
1515 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
9 comments
48 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

0 comments
4 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

2 comments
12 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

24 comments
252 forecasters

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

60%chance
51% this week