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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
80%
Haiti
70%
Mali
61%
70 others
30
82 comments
82
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
8.5%
372 forecasters
36
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Internationally recognized Kurdish state by 2030?
Closed
22%
177 forecasters
24
4 comments
4
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?
Resolved :
35.2k
37k
53 forecasters
5
24 comments
24
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?
80%
56 forecasters
9
22 comments
22
Will a civil war break out in a country with median age above 30 before 2070?
89%
59 forecasters
5
3 comments
3
When will Afghanistan allow same-sex marriage?
2091
47 forecasters
9
15 comments
15
What will be the number of conflicts with significant impacts on U.S. interests by 2023?
Resolved :
11
12.9
25 forecasters
3
8 comments
8
An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?
16
4 comments
4
How many countries will be in OPEC on December 31, 2025?
12.2
13 forecasters
4
3 comments
3
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