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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Libya
Annulled
Haiti
?
52 others
34
210 comments
210
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Venezuela
?
Russia
?
United States
?
70 others
30
82 comments
82
Will a 2-hour marathon be run in 2017?
Resolved :
No
3%
125 forecasters
6
7 comments
7
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?
Resolved :
2.42k
2.36k
57 forecasters
11
20 comments
20
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
When will at least 10 countries formally recognize Somaliland as an independent state?
Jul 2045
23 forecasters
5
6 comments
6
Verity
Explainable AI and Trust Issues
8
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
7
no comments
0
Metaculus Journal Archives
Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?
5%
62 forecasters
11
36 comments
36
East Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022?
Kenya
No
Djibouti
No
Eritrea
No
4 others
6
2 comments
2
Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Who will win the 2022 Kenyan Presidential election?
David Waihiga Mwaure
No
Raila Odinga
No
William Ruto
Yes
1 other
6
36 comments
36
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