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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

7
33 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
2 comments
40 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 12:45
33 comments
164 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

75%chance
20% this week
1 comment
72 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

4%chance
42% this week

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
12 comments
112 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi73.5%
Qatar25.4%
Las Vegas1%
9 comments
56 forecasters

Will Beyond Meat hit $12 a share before November 1, 2025?

0.8%chance
2.2% today
4 comments
93 forecasters

How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025?