MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will molecular nanotechnology have been proven feasible by the following years?

6

by 2021, will SLAC complete an "accelerator-on-a-chip" prototype with an acceleration gradient of 1 GeV/meter?

132 forecasters

21

To the stars! #2: Mountaintop lasers, rockets, optics and wafers? Or something else?

132 forecasters

27

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

175 forecasters

12

Ragnarök Series

Will a von Neumann probe be launched before 2050?

12

Will functional respirocytes be used successfully in any mammal before 2035?

Resolved :Ambiguous

12

Ragnarök Series—results so far

31

Ragnarök Series

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

396 forecasters

34

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

6

Ragnarök Series

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

6