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Nuclear Technology & Risks
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Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Germany
?
Finland
?
Poland
?
7 others
8
9 comments
9
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
Israel
13%
Ukraine
33%
China
?
5 others
13
11 comments
11
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Sudan
Yes
Libya
Annulled
Haiti
?
52 others
34
210 comments
210
How many wild polio cases will be detected by the World Health Organization in the following years?
2024
Above upper bound
2025
30
2027
22.3
3 others
3
11 comments
11
Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Venezuela
?
Russia
?
United States
?
70 others
30
82 comments
82
How many nuclear weapon states will there be in 2030?
7
?
0-6
?
11
13%
4 others
4
14 comments
14
Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?
1%
270 forecasters
24
13 comments
13
Will the banana plague reach Latin America?
Resolved :
No
68%
116 forecasters
15
4 comments
4
Ragnarรถk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%
250 forecasters
28
15 comments
15
Ragnarรถk Series
Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?
11%
226 forecasters
37
35 comments
35
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