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0 comments
13 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. presidentโ€™s net worth reach โ‰ฅ4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

1 comment
17 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

1 comment
30 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?

97%chance
42% this week
3 comments
34 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
14 Nov 2025 21:51
45 comments
169 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
10 Jun 2029
5 comments
8 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura99.8%
2 comments
8 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

40%chance
45% this week
40 comments
195 forecasters

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

19%chance
33% this week

Key Factors

4 comments
47 forecasters

How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?

Current estimate
75.5 People

Key Factors

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

13
66 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2