0 comments
13 forecasters
In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?
0 comments
11 forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?
0 comments
15 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
0 comments
14 forecasters
Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?
0 comments
14 forecasters
Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?
45 comments
166 forecasters
When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?
Current estimate
18 Aug 2029
0 comments
46 forecasters
Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?
7 comments
12 forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Latest estimate
14.8 pp
This question is closed for forecasting.