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Will humanity use a gene drive to wipe at least one species of mosquito off the face of the Earth by 2100?

156 forecasters

15

Playing God Series

What will be the percentage of the world population in $1.90-a-day (2011 PPP) poverty be in 2030?

11

How many species of pangolin will survive to 2050?

1

Before 2070, Will there be a civil war in a country that, in January 2022, had a median age above 30?

9

Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine

7

Metaculus Journal Archives

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in Europe as of July 1, 2022?

Resolved :4.87k4.42k

14

Mpox (Monkeypox)

How many estimated cases of Marburg virus (MARV) will occur globally in 2022?

Resolved :44.06

3

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26

Will PEPFAR be extended before it expires on September 30th, 2023?

Short-Term Extension (Less Than Five Years)

Full Extension (Five or More Years)

1