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0 comments
13 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
17 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

45 comments
168 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
10 Jun 2029
1 comment
30 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?

97%chance
42% this week
0 comments
10 forecasters

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?

88%chance
51.9% this week
3 comments
34 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
15 Nov 2025 20:46
5 comments
8 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura99.8%
2 comments
8 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

40%chance
45% this week
40 comments
195 forecasters

Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?

19%chance
36% this week

Key Factors

1 comment
13 forecasters

Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

10%chance
40% this week