Related Question on Metaculus:

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Ukrainian President Zelensky urged the European Union to admit Ukraine as a member. Various news outlets have discussed the prospect of Ukrainian membership in the European Union, voicing some degree of skepticism that it will happen in the near term.

Will Ukraine join the European Union by 2024?

This question will resolve as Yes if Ukraine becomes a member state of the European Union at any time between March 1, 2022 to January 1, 2024. Official statements by the EU will be used for resolution.