Related Questions on Metaculus:

Republican Congresspeople Ted Cruz and Jim Jordan have both publicly discussed the possibility of impeaching President Joe Biden if Republicans win control of the House of Representatives following the 2022 midterm elections. Ted Cruz stated on his podcast in January 2022:

Democrats weaponized impeachment [...] they used it for partisan purposes to go after Trump because they disagreed with him. And one of the real disadvantages of doing that … is the more you weaponize it and turn it into a partisan cudgel, you know, what’s good for the goose is good for the gander.

Throughout his term, Biden has maintained that his plan is to run for re-election, as confirmed by Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre in June 2022.

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

This question will resolve as Yes if Joe Biden does not complete his full term as the 46th President of the United States from January 20, 2021 to January 20, 2025, as specified by the 20th Amendment of the US Constitution. This may be for any reason, for example, due to his resignation, death, impeachment and removal, or another cause.

This question will not resolve if the Vice President or another person takes the duties of the Acting President as specified in Sections 3 and 4 of the 25th Amendment (for example, in the case of an expected medical procedure); it will only resolve as Yes if Biden is fully removed from the office.

This question will also resolve as Yes if the President's term is legally determined to end prior to noon on January 20, 2025.