Since 1993 and the First Nagorno-Karabakh War, which pitted Armenia against Turkey's close ally Azerbaijan, the land border between Armenia and Turkey has been closed. The 2009 Zurich Protocols envisioned reopening the border. However, the talks foundered, and the border remained closed

In December 2021, Armenia and Turkey initiated a normalization process. In July 2022, special Representatives for the normalization process between Turkey and Armenia "agreed to enable the crossing of the land border between Türkiye and Armenia by third-country citizens visiting Türkiye and Armenia respectively at the earliest date possible and decided to initiate the necessary process to that end."

However, as of early November, 2022, the land border was still closed.

When will the Armenia–Turkey border reopen?

This question resolves as the earliest establishable date when third-country citizens legally visiting Turkey and/or Armenia, and who would normally be eligible to enter the other country legally by some other route, are also allowed as a general rule to cross between via land. Metaculus admins will establish this date using credible published sources and their best considered judgment, disfavoring ambiguous resolution where possible. If such legal crossings remain closed continuously until midnight local time on July 1st, 2026, the question resolves as ">".