The Small Arms Survey collects the number of civilian held small firearms per capita in a list of countries and territories. In the 2017 survey (published in 2018), the USA was #1, with ~1.2 guns per person.

How many small firearms per capita will there be in the US in 2029?

This question will resolve as the number of small firearms per person in the United States, according to the Small Arms Survey covering 2029 or any portion of 2029.

If the Small Arms Survey does not publish this data by December 2030, or if it fundamentally changes its methodology (e.g. by changing the class of weapons it counts) the question may resolve as Ambiguous, or a new source may be chosen at the discretion of Metaculus Admins.