composing precise futures predicting calibrated forecasts forecasting critical understanding exploring contingent predictions formulating accurate estimations mapping the future crowdsourcing calibrated estimations predicting predictive estimations calculating calibrated wisdom formulating predictive forecasts delivering calibrated insights generating probable estimations aggregating probable understanding assembling accurate contingencies

Rankings

RankPlayerLevelScore
1 traviswfisher 22: AIXI.1.0 24443
2 datscilly 22: AIXI.1.0 23993
3 James 21: AIXI.1.0 23028
4 bzial 20: AIXI.1.0 20568
5 gjm 18: Time Lord 15680
6 jzima 18: Time Lord 15304
7 Reprisal 18: Time Lord 15302
8 converse 17: Time Lord 14367
9 AngraMainyu 17: Time Lord 14023
10 PabloStafforini 16: Time Lord 13509
11 Barbarossa 16: Time Lord 12628
12 moons R us 16: Time Lord 12546
13 AndrewMcKnight 16: Time Lord 12429
14 r 16: Time Lord 12397
15 Jgalt 16: Time Lord 12099
16 jimrandomh 15: Time Lord 11895
17 Sylvain 15: Time Lord 11740
18 isinlor 15: Time Lord 11506
19 Zweihander 15: Time Lord 11203
20 v 15: Time Lord 10930
21 steven0461 14: Time Traveler 10298
22 shahar.avin 14: Time Traveler 10128
23 Bernhard 14: Time Traveler 10126
24 chris.j.cundy 14: Time Traveler 10109
25 frxtz 13: Oracle 8933
26 tragedyofthecomments 13: Oracle 8875
27 Jotto 13: Oracle 8786
28 darkives 13: Oracle 8439
29 DanielFilan 13: Oracle 8139
30 holomanga 13: Oracle 8114
31 gbear605 13: Oracle 8041
32 pranomostro 13: Oracle 7916
33 robert.spiker 12: Prophet 7671
34 foo 12: Prophet 7653
35 englisc aspyrgend 12: Prophet 7577
36 DanielG 12: Prophet 7264
37 aran 12: Prophet 7098
38 lukas.baker 12: Prophet 7029
39 Rogozjin 12: Prophet 6957
40 raven.kopelman 12: Prophet 6883
41 Vang 12: Prophet 6609
42 EvanHarper 11: Seer 6566
43 KrisMoore 11: Seer 6009
44 Random5 11: Seer 5842
45 muzzle 11: Seer 5712
46 lifi 11: Seer 5698
47 Pshyeah 10: Superpredictor 5300
48 jack 10: Superpredictor 5218
49 katifish 10: Superpredictor 5216
50 benelson7 10: Superpredictor 5207
51 PepeS 10: Superpredictor 5140
52 Morpheus 10: Superpredictor 5054
53 r.grannell2 10: Superpredictor 4979
54 elifland_ought 10: Superpredictor 4977
55 AABoyles 10: Superpredictor 4973
56 samlichtenstein 10: Superpredictor 4768
57 llamaquack1 10: Superpredictor 4763
58 Longeyes 10: Superpredictor 4542
59 babtras 10: Superpredictor 4506
60 Nichevo 9: Predictor 4436
61 pagouy 9: Predictor 4289
62 Nayrolf 9: Predictor 4287
63 Cory 9: Predictor 4269
64 alexrjl 9: Predictor 4246
65 Skj 9: Predictor 4188
66 fredrik.allenmark 9: Predictor 4112
67 jaketchm 9: Predictor 3983
68 rafiss 9: Predictor 3982
69 ninjaedit 9: Predictor 3911
70 cpt 9: Predictor 3896
71 edikatta 9: Predictor 3851
72 erik.bjareholt 9: Predictor 3797
73 jo 9: Predictor 3777
74 krtnu 9: Predictor 3749
75 ChristianKleineidam 9: Predictor 3710
76 postmort 9: Predictor 3683
77 DrMatt 9: Predictor 3660
78 underyx 8: Forecaster 3589
79 berekuk 8: Forecaster 3552
80 Spirit59 8: Forecaster 3515
81 felawinkelmolen 8: Forecaster 3495
82 NeoWeiSheng 8: Forecaster 3463
83 WhySpace 8: Forecaster 3409
84 jason_k 8: Forecaster 3334
85 Cloud breaker 8: Forecaster 3303
86 casens 8: Forecaster 3283
87 davidmanheim 8: Forecaster 3280
88 Linch 8: Forecaster 3247
89 jacobklagerros 8: Forecaster 3223
90 gdcs3 8: Forecaster 3205
91 CredibleHulk 8: Forecaster 3140
92 Uncle Jeff 8: Forecaster 3131
93 alexlyzhov 8: Forecaster 3090
94 NoUsernameSelected 8: Forecaster 2997
95 J08nY 8: Forecaster 2964
96 tom_sittler 8: Forecaster 2951
97 Mattperson 8: Forecaster 2939
98 John 8: Forecaster 2925
99 AlexRay 8: Forecaster 2849
100 SpazCadet 8: Forecaster 2828
Player scores include points for all questions in the last 30 days.
RankPlayerLevelScore
1Jgalt16: Time Lord2006
2datscilly22: AIXI.1.01952
3krtnu9: Predictor1899
4elifland_ought10: Superpredictor1781
5PabloStafforini16: Time Lord1713
6PepeS10: Superpredictor1638
7Vang12: Prophet1491
8mattvdm7: Prognosticator1482
9Bernhard14: Time Traveler1481
10Zweihander15: Time Lord1334
11Reprisal18: Time Lord1291
12steven046114: Time Traveler1273
13Cory9: Predictor1193
14JonathanShi6: Gambler1076
15Jotto13: Oracle1073
162e10e1225: Augur1003
17isinlor15: Time Lord971
18AvrahamEisenberg6: Gambler970
19Sylvain15: Time Lord858
20SimonM6: Gambler857
21Pazzaz4: Fortuneteller840
22galen7: Prognosticator836
23Alexander2306: Gambler715
24niklaswik6: Gambler691
25jack10: Superpredictor680
26alexrjl9: Predictor677
27hedonjon7: Prognosticator665
28randallburns7: Prognosticator631
29A_Guy6: Gambler571
30niplav8: Forecaster567
31onl5: Augur548
32helpermonkey4: Fortuneteller533
33AngraMainyu17: Time Lord507
34Longeyes10: Superpredictor479
35foo12: Prophet475
36borromini3: Guesstimator465
37Natalia_Mendonca5: Augur434
38casens8: Forecaster432
39Barbarossa16: Time Lord428
40lahwran5: Augur420
41isaacdunn5: Augur388
42Morpheus10: Superpredictor386
43wobblybobby5: Augur380
44nextbigfuture5: Augur377
45jzima18: Time Lord348
46lars3loff6: Gambler342
47deanhayes14: Fortuneteller330
48elspeth5: Augur328
49Nichevo9: Predictor325
50katifish10: Superpredictor311
51james.jj.barry6: Gambler307
52beala4: Fortuneteller301
53charlesd2: Guesser297
54TheBillby5: Augur296
55James21: AIXI.1.0294
56Uncle Jeff8: Forecaster291
57cibyr4: Fortuneteller291
58stupidme5: Augur288
59chris.j.cundy14: Time Traveler284
60traviswfisher22: AIXI.1.0281
61preskitt913: Guesstimator278
62Mazurkas4: Fortuneteller273
63frxtz13: Oracle270
64gjm18: Time Lord261
65Linch8: Forecaster248
66clearthis2: Guesser244
67zachary.john.miller3: Guesstimator237
68Matthew_Barnett3: Guesstimator237
69TSAstron3: Guesstimator234
70AABoyles10: Superpredictor231
71Danmv5: Augur231
72tragedyofthecomments13: Oracle230
73BrentR6: Gambler230
74NataliaMendonca2: Guesser226
75pagouy9: Predictor225
76EvanHarper11: Seer224
77oldwindways4: Fortuneteller224
78Fedop4: Fortuneteller219
79russp2: Guesser219
80Nayrolf9: Predictor214
81CrackpotRung4: Fortuneteller214
82pseudo2: Guesser214
83xenohunter3: Guesstimator212
84DanielFilan13: Oracle208
8592725: Augur205
86Lysander2: Guesser201
87deveauxlionel4: Fortuneteller200
88dkleeman922: Guesser199
89Mark_Xu4: Fortuneteller198
90jerelwade2: Guesser197
91Jrob61226: Gambler195
92shahar.avin14: Time Traveler193
93nathendersoncox3: Guesstimator191
94nostream3: Guesstimator190
95popplegg2: Guesser189
96ninjaspew6: Gambler187
97tylerdurden032: Guesser185
98sxqk4: Fortuneteller184
99elikoga2: Guesser183
100Pshyeah10: Superpredictor181
Player scores include points for all questions in the last 3 months.
RankPlayerLevelScore
1datscilly22: AIXI.1.04178
2Jgalt16: Time Lord3584
3PabloStafforini16: Time Lord3274
4krtnu9: Predictor3189
5elifland_ought10: Superpredictor3076
6PepeS10: Superpredictor2914
7Vang12: Prophet2911
8Reprisal18: Time Lord2778
9steven046114: Time Traveler2697
10Zweihander15: Time Lord2537
11mattvdm7: Prognosticator2463
12Cory9: Predictor2419
13Bernhard14: Time Traveler2404
14Sylvain15: Time Lord2099
15isinlor15: Time Lord2077
16Jotto13: Oracle1955
17alexrjl9: Predictor1800
18AngraMainyu17: Time Lord1687
19jack10: Superpredictor1565
20foo12: Prophet1536
21galen7: Prognosticator1536
22JonathanShi6: Gambler1505
23James21: AIXI.1.01447
24niplav8: Forecaster1444
25hedonjon7: Prognosticator1422
262e10e1225: Augur1367
27traviswfisher22: AIXI.1.01355
28AvrahamEisenberg6: Gambler1310
29SimonM6: Gambler1299
30bzial20: AIXI.1.01216
31Alexander2306: Gambler1196
32A_Guy6: Gambler1174
33Nichevo9: Predictor1142
34gjm18: Time Lord1091
35DanielFilan13: Oracle1084
36Morpheus10: Superpredictor1078
37casens8: Forecaster1076
38chris.j.cundy14: Time Traveler1065
39katifish10: Superpredictor1015
40niklaswik6: Gambler997
41randallburns7: Prognosticator976
42Barbarossa16: Time Lord952
43isaacdunn5: Augur946
44onl5: Augur930
45EvanHarper11: Seer923
46Pazzaz4: Fortuneteller904
47Longeyes10: Superpredictor873
48jzima18: Time Lord861
49lahwran5: Augur831
50converse17: Time Lord827
51lars3loff6: Gambler812
52holomanga13: Oracle796
53Nayrolf9: Predictor727
54darkives13: Oracle724
55wobblybobby5: Augur718
56Uncle Jeff8: Forecaster713
57frxtz13: Oracle702
58Natalia_Mendonca5: Augur701
59helpermonkey4: Fortuneteller694
60pranomostro13: Oracle692
61oubus7: Prognosticator664
62Linch8: Forecaster635
63Danmv5: Augur617
64elspeth5: Augur609
65CredibleHulk8: Forecaster593
66berekuk8: Forecaster592
67AABoyles10: Superpredictor590
68underyx8: Forecaster587
69KrisMoore11: Seer585
701point7point43: Guesstimator584
71stupidme5: Augur573
72cpt9: Predictor571
73wurtis5: Augur566
74goodrich4: Fortuneteller566
75felawinkelmolen8: Forecaster562
76nextbigfuture5: Augur561
77sbares6: Gambler558
78TheBillby5: Augur558
79alexlyzhov8: Forecaster556
80thomasr756: Gambler556
81oldwindways4: Fortuneteller551
82DanielG12: Prophet550
83Pshyeah10: Superpredictor539
84Jrob61226: Gambler535
85gbear60513: Oracle531
86r16: Time Lord525
87Jim17764: Fortuneteller525
88moons R us16: Time Lord523
89tragedyofthecomments13: Oracle518
9092725: Augur518
91james.jj.barry6: Gambler513
92beala4: Fortuneteller505
93pagouy9: Predictor498
94robert.spiker12: Prophet490
95Mark_Xu4: Fortuneteller489
96jimrandomh15: Time Lord484
97deveauxlionel4: Fortuneteller483
98borromini3: Guesstimator482
99cibyr4: Fortuneteller463
100CrackpotRung4: Fortuneteller455
Player scores include points for all questions in the last 6 months.
RankPlayerLevelScore
1datscilly22: AIXI.1.06320
2PabloStafforini16: Time Lord5050
3PepeS10: Superpredictor4555
4Vang12: Prophet4503
5Zweihander15: Time Lord4342
6elifland_ought10: Superpredictor4336
7Jgalt16: Time Lord4278
8steven046114: Time Traveler4224
9Reprisal18: Time Lord3979
10krtnu9: Predictor3686
11Cory9: Predictor3640
12Bernhard14: Time Traveler3568
13isinlor15: Time Lord3404
14Sylvain15: Time Lord2965
15alexrjl9: Predictor2911
16jack10: Superpredictor2717
17traviswfisher22: AIXI.1.02714
18bzial20: AIXI.1.02623
19mattvdm7: Prognosticator2456
20James21: AIXI.1.02432
21foo12: Prophet2402
22niplav8: Forecaster2381
23AngraMainyu17: Time Lord2230
24AABoyles10: Superpredictor2139
25katifish10: Superpredictor2087
26Jotto13: Oracle2068
27Morpheus10: Superpredictor2068
28Nichevo9: Predictor2033
29galen7: Prognosticator1935
30randallburns7: Prognosticator1817
31hedonjon7: Prognosticator1763
32felawinkelmolen8: Forecaster1670
33JonathanShi6: Gambler1648
34casens8: Forecaster1612
35converse17: Time Lord1586
36KnowName6: Gambler1563
37gjm18: Time Lord1531
38Jrob61226: Gambler1515
39moons R us16: Time Lord1498
40chris.j.cundy14: Time Traveler1492
41NoUsernameSelected8: Forecaster1489
42A_Guy6: Gambler1462
43lars3loff6: Gambler1450
44EvanHarper11: Seer1448
45DanielFilan13: Oracle1436
46Linch8: Forecaster1432
47Nostradamnus6: Gambler1419
482e10e1225: Augur1400
49niklaswik6: Gambler1386
50KrisMoore11: Seer1359
51jonathanjouty6: Gambler1339
52berekuk8: Forecaster1311
53AvrahamEisenberg6: Gambler1310
54SimonM6: Gambler1302
55alexlyzhov8: Forecaster1262
56onl5: Augur1255
57Alexander2306: Gambler1236
58sbares6: Gambler1230
59NeoWeiSheng8: Forecaster1222
60qassiov6: Gambler1215
61darkives13: Oracle1187
62Barbarossa16: Time Lord1162
63Pshyeah10: Superpredictor1158
64holomanga13: Oracle1149
65isaacdunn5: Augur1135
66ninjaedit9: Predictor1106
67jzima18: Time Lord1101
68pranomostro13: Oracle1095
69oubus7: Prognosticator1094
70underyx8: Forecaster1076
71frxtz13: Oracle1063
72Uncle Jeff8: Forecaster1039
73wobblybobby5: Augur1028
74J08nY8: Forecaster1018
75OpulentDemigod6: Gambler979
76Random511: Seer969
77r16: Time Lord962
78thomasr756: Gambler959
79KnowThyself7: Prognosticator953
80Natalia_Mendonca5: Augur939
81Pazzaz4: Fortuneteller934
82cpt9: Predictor931
83elspeth5: Augur931
84stupidme5: Augur920
85notany6: Gambler906
86davidmanheim8: Forecaster889
87Danmv5: Augur886
88lahwran5: Augur884
89Nayrolf9: Predictor882
90HadiKhan5: Augur849
91m3t45: Augur843
92BrentR6: Gambler838
9392725: Augur831
94FranekŻak6: Gambler827
95gbear60513: Oracle826
96pagouy9: Predictor812
97james.jj.barry6: Gambler812
98Longeyes10: Superpredictor807
99fredrik.allenmark9: Predictor782
100ad42astra6: Gambler771
Player scores include points for all questions in the last year.
RankPlayerLevelScore
1datscilly22: AIXI.1.013831
2PabloStafforini16: Time Lord11139
3Zweihander15: Time Lord9328
4Jgalt16: Time Lord9010
5bzial20: AIXI.1.09004
6steven046114: Time Traveler8887
7Reprisal18: Time Lord8760
8Sylvain15: Time Lord8275
9James21: AIXI.1.08221
10isinlor15: Time Lord7990
11traviswfisher22: AIXI.1.07212
12Bernhard14: Time Traveler6830
13Vang12: Prophet6609
14AngraMainyu17: Time Lord5946
15converse17: Time Lord5728
16DanielFilan13: Oracle5694
17jzima18: Time Lord5553
18foo12: Prophet5497
19gjm18: Time Lord5276
20jack10: Superpredictor5218
21PepeS10: Superpredictor5140
22Jotto13: Oracle5131
23pranomostro13: Oracle5104
24katifish10: Superpredictor5060
25elifland_ought10: Superpredictor4977
26AABoyles10: Superpredictor4973
27darkives13: Oracle4751
28Morpheus10: Superpredictor4570
29Cory9: Predictor4269
30alexrjl9: Predictor4246
31Nichevo9: Predictor3928
32ninjaedit9: Predictor3899
33r16: Time Lord3878
34krtnu9: Predictor3686
35Barbarossa16: Time Lord3656
36underyx8: Forecaster3589
37berekuk8: Forecaster3552
38felawinkelmolen8: Forecaster3495
39holomanga13: Oracle3492
40Pshyeah10: Superpredictor3348
41frxtz13: Oracle3285
42Linch8: Forecaster3247
43moons R us16: Time Lord3218
44KrisMoore11: Seer3046
45EvanHarper11: Seer3032
46NoUsernameSelected8: Forecaster2997
47casens8: Forecaster2947
48alexlyzhov8: Forecaster2897
49niplav8: Forecaster2756
50KnowThyself7: Prognosticator2669
51hedonjon7: Prognosticator2585
52chris.j.cundy14: Time Traveler2513
53galen7: Prognosticator2475
54mattvdm7: Prognosticator2456
55fredrik.allenmark9: Predictor2426
56pagouy9: Predictor2407
57samlichtenstein10: Superpredictor2382
58J08nY8: Forecaster2363
59Nayrolf9: Predictor2323
60randallburns7: Prognosticator2286
61cpt9: Predictor2276
62Random511: Seer2244
63aran12: Prophet2232
64raven.kopelman12: Prophet2195
65NeoWeiSheng8: Forecaster2132
66englisc aspyrgend12: Prophet2115
67KnowName6: Gambler2078
68qassiov6: Gambler2074
69sebk7: Prognosticator2043
70gbear60513: Oracle2031
71james.jj.barry6: Gambler2017
72OpulentDemigod6: Gambler1950
73oubus7: Prognosticator1945
74lukas.baker12: Prophet1925
75Longeyes10: Superpredictor1916
76AndrewMcKnight16: Time Lord1913
77edikatta9: Predictor1905
78jimrandomh15: Time Lord1890
79jonathanjouty6: Gambler1873
80A_Guy6: Gambler1853
81ad42astra6: Gambler1834
82DrMatt9: Predictor1793
83davidmanheim8: Forecaster1789
84sbares6: Gambler1787
85BrentR6: Gambler1764
86r.grannell210: Superpredictor1761
87JonathanShi6: Gambler1703
88thomasr756: Gambler1703
89niklaswik6: Gambler1697
90lars3loff6: Gambler1687
91jo9: Predictor1667
92gdcs38: Forecaster1659
93Uncle Jeff8: Forecaster1656
94FranekŻak6: Gambler1644
95CredibleHulk8: Forecaster1624
96StevenLochner6: Gambler1591
97robert.spiker12: Prophet1584
98j.m.6: Gambler1521
99Jrob61226: Gambler1515
100shahar.avin14: Time Traveler1510