Metaculus

Rankings Contests

All Time Opened within… Resolved within…

Last 30 days 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months

Rank	Player	Level	Score
1	traviswfisher	22: AIXI.1.0	24443
2	datscilly	22: AIXI.1.0	23993
3	James	21: AIXI.1.0	23028
4	bzial	20: AIXI.1.0	20568
5	gjm	18: Time Lord	15680
6	jzima	18: Time Lord	15304
7	Reprisal	18: Time Lord	15302
8	converse	17: Time Lord	14367
9	AngraMainyu	17: Time Lord	14023
10	PabloStafforini	16: Time Lord	13509
11	Barbarossa	16: Time Lord	12628
12	moons R us	16: Time Lord	12546
13	AndrewMcKnight	16: Time Lord	12429
14	r	16: Time Lord	12397
15	Jgalt	16: Time Lord	12099
16	jimrandomh	15: Time Lord	11895
17	Sylvain	15: Time Lord	11740
18	isinlor	15: Time Lord	11506
19	Zweihander	15: Time Lord	11203
20	v	15: Time Lord	10930
21	steven0461	14: Time Traveler	10298
22	shahar.avin	14: Time Traveler	10128
23	Bernhard	14: Time Traveler	10126
24	chris.j.cundy	14: Time Traveler	10109
25	frxtz	13: Oracle	8933
26	tragedyofthecomments	13: Oracle	8875
27	Jotto	13: Oracle	8786
28	darkives	13: Oracle	8439
29	DanielFilan	13: Oracle	8139
30	holomanga	13: Oracle	8114
31	gbear605	13: Oracle	8041
32	pranomostro	13: Oracle	7916
33	robert.spiker	12: Prophet	7671
34	foo	12: Prophet	7653
35	englisc aspyrgend	12: Prophet	7577
36	DanielG	12: Prophet	7264
37	aran	12: Prophet	7098
38	lukas.baker	12: Prophet	7029
39	Rogozjin	12: Prophet	6957
40	raven.kopelman	12: Prophet	6883
41	Vang	12: Prophet	6609
42	EvanHarper	11: Seer	6566
43	KrisMoore	11: Seer	6009
44	Random5	11: Seer	5842
45	muzzle	11: Seer	5712
46	lifi	11: Seer	5698
47	Pshyeah	10: Superpredictor	5300
48	jack	10: Superpredictor	5218
49	katifish	10: Superpredictor	5216
50	benelson7	10: Superpredictor	5207
51	PepeS	10: Superpredictor	5140
52	Morpheus	10: Superpredictor	5054
53	r.grannell2	10: Superpredictor	4979
54	elifland_ought	10: Superpredictor	4977
55	AABoyles	10: Superpredictor	4973
56	samlichtenstein	10: Superpredictor	4768
57	llamaquack1	10: Superpredictor	4763
58	Longeyes	10: Superpredictor	4542
59	babtras	10: Superpredictor	4506
60	Nichevo	9: Predictor	4436
61	pagouy	9: Predictor	4289
62	Nayrolf	9: Predictor	4287
63	Cory	9: Predictor	4269
64	alexrjl	9: Predictor	4246
65	Skj	9: Predictor	4188
66	fredrik.allenmark	9: Predictor	4112
67	jaketchm	9: Predictor	3983
68	rafiss	9: Predictor	3982
69	ninjaedit	9: Predictor	3911
70	cpt	9: Predictor	3896
71	edikatta	9: Predictor	3851
72	erik.bjareholt	9: Predictor	3797
73	jo	9: Predictor	3777
74	krtnu	9: Predictor	3749
75	ChristianKleineidam	9: Predictor	3710
76	postmort	9: Predictor	3683
77	DrMatt	9: Predictor	3660
78	underyx	8: Forecaster	3589
79	berekuk	8: Forecaster	3552
80	Spirit59	8: Forecaster	3515
81	felawinkelmolen	8: Forecaster	3495
82	NeoWeiSheng	8: Forecaster	3463
83	WhySpace	8: Forecaster	3409
84	jason_k	8: Forecaster	3334
85	Cloud breaker	8: Forecaster	3303
86	casens	8: Forecaster	3283
87	davidmanheim	8: Forecaster	3280
88	Linch	8: Forecaster	3247
89	jacobklagerros	8: Forecaster	3223
90	gdcs3	8: Forecaster	3205
91	CredibleHulk	8: Forecaster	3140
92	Uncle Jeff	8: Forecaster	3131
93	alexlyzhov	8: Forecaster	3090
94	NoUsernameSelected	8: Forecaster	2997
95	J08nY	8: Forecaster	2964
96	tom_sittler	8: Forecaster	2951
97	Mattperson	8: Forecaster	2939
98	John	8: Forecaster	2925
99	AlexRay	8: Forecaster	2849
100	SpazCadet	8: Forecaster	2828

Player scores include points for all questions in the last 30 days.

Rank	Player	Level	Score
1	Jgalt	16: Time Lord	2006
2	datscilly	22: AIXI.1.0	1952
3	krtnu	9: Predictor	1899
4	elifland_ought	10: Superpredictor	1781
5	PabloStafforini	16: Time Lord	1713
6	PepeS	10: Superpredictor	1638
7	Vang	12: Prophet	1491
8	mattvdm	7: Prognosticator	1482
9	Bernhard	14: Time Traveler	1481
10	Zweihander	15: Time Lord	1334
11	Reprisal	18: Time Lord	1291
12	steven0461	14: Time Traveler	1273
13	Cory	9: Predictor	1193
14	JonathanShi	6: Gambler	1076
15	Jotto	13: Oracle	1073
16	2e10e122	5: Augur	1003
17	isinlor	15: Time Lord	971
18	AvrahamEisenberg	6: Gambler	970
19	Sylvain	15: Time Lord	858
20	SimonM	6: Gambler	857
21	Pazzaz	4: Fortuneteller	840
22	galen	7: Prognosticator	836
23	Alexander230	6: Gambler	715
24	niklaswik	6: Gambler	691
25	jack	10: Superpredictor	680
26	alexrjl	9: Predictor	677
27	hedonjon	7: Prognosticator	665
28	randallburns	7: Prognosticator	631
29	A_Guy	6: Gambler	571
30	niplav	8: Forecaster	567
31	onl	5: Augur	548
32	helpermonkey	4: Fortuneteller	533
33	AngraMainyu	17: Time Lord	507
34	Longeyes	10: Superpredictor	479
35	foo	12: Prophet	475
36	borromini	3: Guesstimator	465
37	Natalia_Mendonca	5: Augur	434
38	casens	8: Forecaster	432
39	Barbarossa	16: Time Lord	428
40	lahwran	5: Augur	420
41	isaacdunn	5: Augur	388
42	Morpheus	10: Superpredictor	386
43	wobblybobby	5: Augur	380
44	nextbigfuture	5: Augur	377
45	jzima	18: Time Lord	348
46	lars3loff	6: Gambler	342
47	deanhayes1	4: Fortuneteller	330
48	elspeth	5: Augur	328
49	Nichevo	9: Predictor	325
50	katifish	10: Superpredictor	311
51	james.jj.barry	6: Gambler	307
52	beala	4: Fortuneteller	301
53	charlesd	2: Guesser	297
54	TheBillby	5: Augur	296
55	James	21: AIXI.1.0	294
56	Uncle Jeff	8: Forecaster	291
57	cibyr	4: Fortuneteller	291
58	stupidme	5: Augur	288
59	chris.j.cundy	14: Time Traveler	284
60	traviswfisher	22: AIXI.1.0	281
61	preskitt91	3: Guesstimator	278
62	Mazurkas	4: Fortuneteller	273
63	frxtz	13: Oracle	270
64	gjm	18: Time Lord	261
65	Linch	8: Forecaster	248
66	clearthis	2: Guesser	244
67	zachary.john.miller	3: Guesstimator	237
68	Matthew_Barnett	3: Guesstimator	237
69	TSAstron	3: Guesstimator	234
70	AABoyles	10: Superpredictor	231
71	Danmv	5: Augur	231
72	tragedyofthecomments	13: Oracle	230
73	BrentR	6: Gambler	230
74	NataliaMendonca	2: Guesser	226
75	pagouy	9: Predictor	225
76	EvanHarper	11: Seer	224
77	oldwindways	4: Fortuneteller	224
78	Fedop	4: Fortuneteller	219
79	russp	2: Guesser	219
80	Nayrolf	9: Predictor	214
81	CrackpotRung	4: Fortuneteller	214
82	pseudo	2: Guesser	214
83	xenohunter	3: Guesstimator	212
84	DanielFilan	13: Oracle	208
85	9272	5: Augur	205
86	Lysander	2: Guesser	201
87	deveauxlionel	4: Fortuneteller	200
88	dkleeman92	2: Guesser	199
89	Mark_Xu	4: Fortuneteller	198
90	jerelwade	2: Guesser	197
91	Jrob6122	6: Gambler	195
92	shahar.avin	14: Time Traveler	193
93	nathendersoncox	3: Guesstimator	191
94	nostream	3: Guesstimator	190
95	popplegg	2: Guesser	189
96	ninjaspew	6: Gambler	187
97	tylerdurden03	2: Guesser	185
98	sxqk	4: Fortuneteller	184
99	elikoga	2: Guesser	183
100	Pshyeah	10: Superpredictor	181

Player scores include points for all questions in the last 3 months.

Rank	Player	Level	Score
1	datscilly	22: AIXI.1.0	4178
2	Jgalt	16: Time Lord	3584
3	PabloStafforini	16: Time Lord	3274
4	krtnu	9: Predictor	3189
5	elifland_ought	10: Superpredictor	3076
6	PepeS	10: Superpredictor	2914
7	Vang	12: Prophet	2911
8	Reprisal	18: Time Lord	2778
9	steven0461	14: Time Traveler	2697
10	Zweihander	15: Time Lord	2537
11	mattvdm	7: Prognosticator	2463
12	Cory	9: Predictor	2419
13	Bernhard	14: Time Traveler	2404
14	Sylvain	15: Time Lord	2099
15	isinlor	15: Time Lord	2077
16	Jotto	13: Oracle	1955
17	alexrjl	9: Predictor	1800
18	AngraMainyu	17: Time Lord	1687
19	jack	10: Superpredictor	1565
20	foo	12: Prophet	1536
21	galen	7: Prognosticator	1536
22	JonathanShi	6: Gambler	1505
23	James	21: AIXI.1.0	1447
24	niplav	8: Forecaster	1444
25	hedonjon	7: Prognosticator	1422
26	2e10e122	5: Augur	1367
27	traviswfisher	22: AIXI.1.0	1355
28	AvrahamEisenberg	6: Gambler	1310
29	SimonM	6: Gambler	1299
30	bzial	20: AIXI.1.0	1216
31	Alexander230	6: Gambler	1196
32	A_Guy	6: Gambler	1174
33	Nichevo	9: Predictor	1142
34	gjm	18: Time Lord	1091
35	DanielFilan	13: Oracle	1084
36	Morpheus	10: Superpredictor	1078
37	casens	8: Forecaster	1076
38	chris.j.cundy	14: Time Traveler	1065
39	katifish	10: Superpredictor	1015
40	niklaswik	6: Gambler	997
41	randallburns	7: Prognosticator	976
42	Barbarossa	16: Time Lord	952
43	isaacdunn	5: Augur	946
44	onl	5: Augur	930
45	EvanHarper	11: Seer	923
46	Pazzaz	4: Fortuneteller	904
47	Longeyes	10: Superpredictor	873
48	jzima	18: Time Lord	861
49	lahwran	5: Augur	831
50	converse	17: Time Lord	827
51	lars3loff	6: Gambler	812
52	holomanga	13: Oracle	796
53	Nayrolf	9: Predictor	727
54	darkives	13: Oracle	724
55	wobblybobby	5: Augur	718
56	Uncle Jeff	8: Forecaster	713
57	frxtz	13: Oracle	702
58	Natalia_Mendonca	5: Augur	701
59	helpermonkey	4: Fortuneteller	694
60	pranomostro	13: Oracle	692
61	oubus	7: Prognosticator	664
62	Linch	8: Forecaster	635
63	Danmv	5: Augur	617
64	elspeth	5: Augur	609
65	CredibleHulk	8: Forecaster	593
66	berekuk	8: Forecaster	592
67	AABoyles	10: Superpredictor	590
68	underyx	8: Forecaster	587
69	KrisMoore	11: Seer	585
70	1point7point4	3: Guesstimator	584
71	stupidme	5: Augur	573
72	cpt	9: Predictor	571
73	wurtis	5: Augur	566
74	goodrich	4: Fortuneteller	566
75	felawinkelmolen	8: Forecaster	562
76	nextbigfuture	5: Augur	561
77	sbares	6: Gambler	558
78	TheBillby	5: Augur	558
79	alexlyzhov	8: Forecaster	556
80	thomasr75	6: Gambler	556
81	oldwindways	4: Fortuneteller	551
82	DanielG	12: Prophet	550
83	Pshyeah	10: Superpredictor	539
84	Jrob6122	6: Gambler	535
85	gbear605	13: Oracle	531
86	r	16: Time Lord	525
87	Jim1776	4: Fortuneteller	525
88	moons R us	16: Time Lord	523
89	tragedyofthecomments	13: Oracle	518
90	9272	5: Augur	518
91	james.jj.barry	6: Gambler	513
92	beala	4: Fortuneteller	505
93	pagouy	9: Predictor	498
94	robert.spiker	12: Prophet	490
95	Mark_Xu	4: Fortuneteller	489
96	jimrandomh	15: Time Lord	484
97	deveauxlionel	4: Fortuneteller	483
98	borromini	3: Guesstimator	482
99	cibyr	4: Fortuneteller	463
100	CrackpotRung	4: Fortuneteller	455

Player scores include points for all questions in the last 6 months.

Rank	Player	Level	Score
1	datscilly	22: AIXI.1.0	6320
2	PabloStafforini	16: Time Lord	5050
3	PepeS	10: Superpredictor	4555
4	Vang	12: Prophet	4503
5	Zweihander	15: Time Lord	4342
6	elifland_ought	10: Superpredictor	4336
7	Jgalt	16: Time Lord	4278
8	steven0461	14: Time Traveler	4224
9	Reprisal	18: Time Lord	3979
10	krtnu	9: Predictor	3686
11	Cory	9: Predictor	3640
12	Bernhard	14: Time Traveler	3568
13	isinlor	15: Time Lord	3404
14	Sylvain	15: Time Lord	2965
15	alexrjl	9: Predictor	2911
16	jack	10: Superpredictor	2717
17	traviswfisher	22: AIXI.1.0	2714
18	bzial	20: AIXI.1.0	2623
19	mattvdm	7: Prognosticator	2456
20	James	21: AIXI.1.0	2432
21	foo	12: Prophet	2402
22	niplav	8: Forecaster	2381
23	AngraMainyu	17: Time Lord	2230
24	AABoyles	10: Superpredictor	2139
25	katifish	10: Superpredictor	2087
26	Jotto	13: Oracle	2068
27	Morpheus	10: Superpredictor	2068
28	Nichevo	9: Predictor	2033
29	galen	7: Prognosticator	1935
30	randallburns	7: Prognosticator	1817
31	hedonjon	7: Prognosticator	1763
32	felawinkelmolen	8: Forecaster	1670
33	JonathanShi	6: Gambler	1648
34	casens	8: Forecaster	1612
35	converse	17: Time Lord	1586
36	KnowName	6: Gambler	1563
37	gjm	18: Time Lord	1531
38	Jrob6122	6: Gambler	1515
39	moons R us	16: Time Lord	1498
40	chris.j.cundy	14: Time Traveler	1492
41	NoUsernameSelected	8: Forecaster	1489
42	A_Guy	6: Gambler	1462
43	lars3loff	6: Gambler	1450
44	EvanHarper	11: Seer	1448
45	DanielFilan	13: Oracle	1436
46	Linch	8: Forecaster	1432
47	Nostradamnus	6: Gambler	1419
48	2e10e122	5: Augur	1400
49	niklaswik	6: Gambler	1386
50	KrisMoore	11: Seer	1359
51	jonathanjouty	6: Gambler	1339
52	berekuk	8: Forecaster	1311
53	AvrahamEisenberg	6: Gambler	1310
54	SimonM	6: Gambler	1302
55	alexlyzhov	8: Forecaster	1262
56	onl	5: Augur	1255
57	Alexander230	6: Gambler	1236
58	sbares	6: Gambler	1230
59	NeoWeiSheng	8: Forecaster	1222
60	qassiov	6: Gambler	1215
61	darkives	13: Oracle	1187
62	Barbarossa	16: Time Lord	1162
63	Pshyeah	10: Superpredictor	1158
64	holomanga	13: Oracle	1149
65	isaacdunn	5: Augur	1135
66	ninjaedit	9: Predictor	1106
67	jzima	18: Time Lord	1101
68	pranomostro	13: Oracle	1095
69	oubus	7: Prognosticator	1094
70	underyx	8: Forecaster	1076
71	frxtz	13: Oracle	1063
72	Uncle Jeff	8: Forecaster	1039
73	wobblybobby	5: Augur	1028
74	J08nY	8: Forecaster	1018
75	OpulentDemigod	6: Gambler	979
76	Random5	11: Seer	969
77	r	16: Time Lord	962
78	thomasr75	6: Gambler	959
79	KnowThyself	7: Prognosticator	953
80	Natalia_Mendonca	5: Augur	939
81	Pazzaz	4: Fortuneteller	934
82	cpt	9: Predictor	931
83	elspeth	5: Augur	931
84	stupidme	5: Augur	920
85	notany	6: Gambler	906
86	davidmanheim	8: Forecaster	889
87	Danmv	5: Augur	886
88	lahwran	5: Augur	884
89	Nayrolf	9: Predictor	882
90	HadiKhan	5: Augur	849
91	m3t4	5: Augur	843
92	BrentR	6: Gambler	838
93	9272	5: Augur	831
94	FranekŻak	6: Gambler	827
95	gbear605	13: Oracle	826
96	pagouy	9: Predictor	812
97	james.jj.barry	6: Gambler	812
98	Longeyes	10: Superpredictor	807
99	fredrik.allenmark	9: Predictor	782
100	ad42astra	6: Gambler	771

Player scores include points for all questions in the last year.

Rank	Player	Level	Score
1	datscilly	22: AIXI.1.0	13831
2	PabloStafforini	16: Time Lord	11139
3	Zweihander	15: Time Lord	9328
4	Jgalt	16: Time Lord	9010
5	bzial	20: AIXI.1.0	9004
6	steven0461	14: Time Traveler	8887
7	Reprisal	18: Time Lord	8760
8	Sylvain	15: Time Lord	8275
9	James	21: AIXI.1.0	8221
10	isinlor	15: Time Lord	7990
11	traviswfisher	22: AIXI.1.0	7212
12	Bernhard	14: Time Traveler	6830
13	Vang	12: Prophet	6609
14	AngraMainyu	17: Time Lord	5946
15	converse	17: Time Lord	5728
16	DanielFilan	13: Oracle	5694
17	jzima	18: Time Lord	5553
18	foo	12: Prophet	5497
19	gjm	18: Time Lord	5276
20	jack	10: Superpredictor	5218
21	PepeS	10: Superpredictor	5140
22	Jotto	13: Oracle	5131
23	pranomostro	13: Oracle	5104
24	katifish	10: Superpredictor	5060
25	elifland_ought	10: Superpredictor	4977
26	AABoyles	10: Superpredictor	4973
27	darkives	13: Oracle	4751
28	Morpheus	10: Superpredictor	4570
29	Cory	9: Predictor	4269
30	alexrjl	9: Predictor	4246
31	Nichevo	9: Predictor	3928
32	ninjaedit	9: Predictor	3899
33	r	16: Time Lord	3878
34	krtnu	9: Predictor	3686
35	Barbarossa	16: Time Lord	3656
36	underyx	8: Forecaster	3589
37	berekuk	8: Forecaster	3552
38	felawinkelmolen	8: Forecaster	3495
39	holomanga	13: Oracle	3492
40	Pshyeah	10: Superpredictor	3348
41	frxtz	13: Oracle	3285
42	Linch	8: Forecaster	3247
43	moons R us	16: Time Lord	3218
44	KrisMoore	11: Seer	3046
45	EvanHarper	11: Seer	3032
46	NoUsernameSelected	8: Forecaster	2997
47	casens	8: Forecaster	2947
48	alexlyzhov	8: Forecaster	2897
49	niplav	8: Forecaster	2756
50	KnowThyself	7: Prognosticator	2669
51	hedonjon	7: Prognosticator	2585
52	chris.j.cundy	14: Time Traveler	2513
53	galen	7: Prognosticator	2475
54	mattvdm	7: Prognosticator	2456
55	fredrik.allenmark	9: Predictor	2426
56	pagouy	9: Predictor	2407
57	samlichtenstein	10: Superpredictor	2382
58	J08nY	8: Forecaster	2363
59	Nayrolf	9: Predictor	2323
60	randallburns	7: Prognosticator	2286
61	cpt	9: Predictor	2276
62	Random5	11: Seer	2244
63	aran	12: Prophet	2232
64	raven.kopelman	12: Prophet	2195
65	NeoWeiSheng	8: Forecaster	2132
66	englisc aspyrgend	12: Prophet	2115
67	KnowName	6: Gambler	2078
68	qassiov	6: Gambler	2074
69	sebk	7: Prognosticator	2043
70	gbear605	13: Oracle	2031
71	james.jj.barry	6: Gambler	2017
72	OpulentDemigod	6: Gambler	1950
73	oubus	7: Prognosticator	1945
74	lukas.baker	12: Prophet	1925
75	Longeyes	10: Superpredictor	1916
76	AndrewMcKnight	16: Time Lord	1913
77	edikatta	9: Predictor	1905
78	jimrandomh	15: Time Lord	1890
79	jonathanjouty	6: Gambler	1873
80	A_Guy	6: Gambler	1853
81	ad42astra	6: Gambler	1834
82	DrMatt	9: Predictor	1793
83	davidmanheim	8: Forecaster	1789
84	sbares	6: Gambler	1787
85	BrentR	6: Gambler	1764
86	r.grannell2	10: Superpredictor	1761
87	JonathanShi	6: Gambler	1703
88	thomasr75	6: Gambler	1703
89	niklaswik	6: Gambler	1697
90	lars3loff	6: Gambler	1687
91	jo	9: Predictor	1667
92	gdcs3	8: Forecaster	1659
93	Uncle Jeff	8: Forecaster	1656
94	FranekŻak	6: Gambler	1644
95	CredibleHulk	8: Forecaster	1624
96	StevenLochner	6: Gambler	1591
97	robert.spiker	12: Prophet	1584
98	j.m.	6: Gambler	1521
99	Jrob6122	6: Gambler	1515
100	shahar.avin	14: Time Traveler	1510