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2025-12-02T18:38:29.385Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3205/what-will-the-upper-limit-in-the-ipccs-likely-range-of-its-climate-sensitivity-estimate-be-in-its-6th-assessment-report/ 2025-12-02T18:38:25.876Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3214/first-group-to-land-person-on-mars/ 2025-12-02T18:38:28.425Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3215/lossless-compression/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.970Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3216/citations-of-randell-mills-gut/ 2026-07-25T20:39:30.577Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3233/ipcc-ar7-climate-sensitivity-estimate/ 2025-12-02T18:38:28.957Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3234/will-the-saudi-arabian-oil-company-aramco-have-an-ipo-before-30-november-2019/ 2025-12-02T18:38:30.047Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3235/before-30-november-2019-will-it-be-announced-that-the-regional-comprehensive-economic-partnership-rcep-free-trade-agreement-negotiations-have-concluded/ 2025-12-02T18:38:11.544Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3247/how-many-billions-of-hen-eggs-will-be-produced-in-the-us-in-the-year-ending-in-november-2023/ 2026-07-26T18:58:41.224Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3248/us-average-broiler-chicks-hatched-2022-2024/ 2025-12-02T18:38:22.184Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3251/israel-fourth-to-land-on-moon-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:38:29.217Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3252/will-the-brexit-party-win-any-seats-at-the-next-uk-general-election/ 2025-12-02T18:38:38.827Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3253/what-will-virgin-galactic-be-worth-6-months-after-it-is-listed-on-the-stock-market/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.812Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3254/foresight-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:38:17.441Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3255/in-the-year-ending-in-november-2nd-2020-will-the-combined-us-investment-in-psychedelics-research-and-psychedelics-focused-startups-exceed-100m/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.475Z 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2025-12-02T18:38:37.553Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3345/will-the-animal-protection-index-award-either-the-usa-or-china-with-a-higher-grade-than-received-in-the-2014-index-for-farm-animal-welfare-by-the-end-2022/ 2025-12-02T18:38:07.465Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3348/how-large-will-the-largest-single-grant-made-by-open-philanthropy-in-2020-be/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.208Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3351/guinea-worm-eradication-before-2031/ 2026-07-19T21:39:38.854Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3353/date-of-worldwide-polio-eradication/ 2026-07-19T21:39:38.252Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3355/who-will-win-the-greatest-of-all-time-jeopardy-tournament-with-ken-jennings-brad-rutter-and-james-holzhauer/ 2025-12-02T18:37:34.104Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3357/what-will-the-mean-of-the-year-over-year-growth-rate-of-the-sum-of-teraflops-of-the-all-500-supercomputers-in-the-top500-be-in-the-three-year-period-ending-in-november-2023/ 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2025-12-02T18:38:16.602Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3366/spacex-valuation-in-2030/ 2026-09-02T00:29:55.692Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3369/track-record-page-improvement-suggestions/ 2025-12-02T18:38:16.149Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3371/eu-requires-fish-stunning-before-2030/ 2026-09-17T19:10:34.227Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3372/how-much-will-star-wars-the-rise-of-skywalker-make-in-its-opening-weekend/ 2025-12-02T18:38:39.856Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3373/how-many-countries-will-be-awarded-a-b-or-better-for-farm-animal-welfare-protection-by-to-the-animal-protection-index-by-end-of-2022/ 2025-12-02T18:37:36.962Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3374/will-the-either-the-usa-or-china-improve-on-their-score-on-an-the-animal-protection-index-indicator-for-recognition-of-animal-sentience-by-the-end-2022/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.110Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3375/when-will-a-company-in-any-country-generate-50m-revenue-from-edible-insect-product-sales-alone-in-a-single-year/ 2026-07-19T21:39:46.211Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3377/what-is-your-motivation-for-using-metaculus-how-do-you-see-the-range-of-motivations-among-metaculus-users-how-do-you-think-that-will-change-over-time/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.994Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3379/how-many-candidates-will-get-at-least-15-of-votes-in-the-2020-iowa-democratic-caucuses/ 2025-12-02T18:38:11.584Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3380/when-will-at-least-750-companies-pledge-to-maintain-a-supply-chain-consistent-with-the-current-basic-global-animal-partnership-standards-for-broiler-chickens-by-end-of-2030/ 2026-08-29T14:30:11.758Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3381/date-of-5000-egg-companies-cage-free/ 2026-09-17T08:17:46.767Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3382/what-will-the-earliest-preservation-date-of-any-resuscitated-cryonics-patient-be/ 2026-08-09T03:29:41.364Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3383/1-tb-microsd-cards-cost-100usd/ 2025-12-02T18:37:36.244Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3384/digits-of-pi-calculated-by-2026/ 2026-01-12T11:16:15.111Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3385/at-least-1-human-in-space-through-2050/ 2026-09-11T16:35:01.230Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3386/cavendish-bananas-available-on-2029-12-31/ 2026-01-01T05:00:07.392Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3388/what-percentage-of-us-adults-will-self-report-to-follow-a-vegan-diet-in-2028/ 2026-09-15T16:37:22.868Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3389/what-percentage-of-fish-produced-worldwide-will-be-stunned-prior-to-slaughter-in-the-first-year-in-which-credible-estimates-are-published-in-the-five-year-period-starting-in-2027/ 2026-09-23T02:27:13.697Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3393/will-a-dna-test-support-calments-age/ 2026-09-06T02:31:12.862Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3397/large-obesity-drop-in-oecd-country-by-2030/ 2026-09-22T16:04:03.297Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3398/will-no-evidence-for-a-new-light-17-mev-particle-be-independently-published-before-2021/ 2025-12-02T18:38:16.864Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3399/date-of-last-metaculus-resolution/ 2026-09-24T09:53:26.535Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3401/will-north-korea-fail-to-send-the-us-a-christmas-gift/ 2025-12-02T18:38:05.961Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3404/announcing-community-moderators/ 2025-12-02T18:38:38.234Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3409/global-co2-under-41452-ppm-from-2020-2023/ 2025-12-02T18:38:36.422Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3410/average-global-co2-2024-to-2027-42389-ppm/ 2026-07-22T19:04:00.290Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3414/how-many-millions-of-pigs-will-be-slaughtered-worldwide-in-the-calendar-year-2030/ 2026-07-19T21:39:40.829Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3416/alexei-navalny-presidency-of-russia/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.750Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3418/question-writing-checklist-obsolete/ 2025-12-02T18:38:11.903Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3419/joe-biden-impeached-by-house/ 2025-12-02T18:37:48.165Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3420/what-will-be-pantones-color-of-the-year-for-2021/ 2025-12-02T18:38:26.333Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3421/in-the-year-2028-how-many-tonnes-of-insect-protein-will-be-used-as-animal-feed-for-livestock-poultry-and-fish-in-europe/ 2026-07-19T21:40:07.221Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3422/companies-pledging-gap-standards-dec-2023/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.739Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3425/philpapers-survey-mini-series-impermissibility-of-eating-animals-and-animal-products/ 2025-12-02T18:38:30.244Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3426/philpapers-survey-mini-series-the-many-worlds-interpretation-of-quantum-mechanics/ 2025-12-02T18:37:29.787Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3427/philpapers-survey-mini-series-permissibility-of-genetic-engineering/ 2025-12-02T18:37:47.803Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3428/philpapers-survey-mini-series-consciousness-of-future-ai-systems/ 2025-12-02T18:37:37.775Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3429/sulphur-geoengineering-project-by-2024/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.844Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3430/platform-update-thread/ 2025-12-02T18:38:41.242Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3431/dai-remains-stable-until-july-2023/ 2025-12-02T18:38:06.949Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3432/philpapers-survey-mini-series-biological-ness-of-race/ 2025-12-02T18:38:39.896Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3433/ocean-fertilised-with-50t-of-iron-by-2024/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.028Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3434/philpapers-survey-mini-series-support-for-open-borders/ 2025-12-02T18:38:38.618Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3435/philpapers-survey-mini-series-immortality-would-philosophers-choose-it/ 2025-12-02T18:38:30.978Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3437/philpapers-survey-mini-series-is-mind-uploading-thought-to-amount-to-death/ 2025-12-02T18:37:56.113Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3439/will-the-conservative-party-form-the-first-government-after-the-next-uk-general-election/ 2025-12-02T18:38:16.515Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3440/will-the-democratic-candidate-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election-be-chosen-at-the-democratic-national-convention-after-only-one-round-of-voting/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.166Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3442/2030-challenge-for-fun-what-will-surprise-metaculus/ 2025-12-02T18:38:29.220Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3444/will-the-sp-500-index-end-2020-higher/ 2025-12-02T18:38:19.091Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3453/how-many-cyberattacks-by-iran-against-us-govt-systems-in-q1-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:38:34.763Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3457/what-is-the-largest-amount-of-iron-that-will-be-used-to-fertilise-an-ocean-as-part-of-a-single-geoengineering-effort-by-the-end-of-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:38:14.186Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3458/impactful-longevity-research-by-2030/ 2026-09-09T01:05:53.590Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3460/will-there-be-at-least-200-companies-developing-technologies-to-defeat-aging-by-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:38.231Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3461/at-what-point-will-at-least-ten-technologies-listed-on-the-rejuvenation-roadmap-be-released-to-the-public/ 2026-07-19T21:39:40.258Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3462/will-there-be-a-us-iran-war-in-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:38:33.900Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3469/will-the-united-states-institute-a-military-draft-by-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:26.668Z 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2025-12-02T18:38:15.937Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3531/will-the-star-betelgeuse-be-observed-to-go-supernova-before-2030/ 2026-07-19T21:39:52.958Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3532/how-many-total-confirmed-cases-of-coronavirus-will-be-reported-by-johns-hopkins-csse-on-february-3rd/ 2025-12-02T18:37:28.406Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3534/how-many-geoengineering-related-papers-will-be-published-in-the-year-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:38:13.710Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3535/how-many-geoengineering-international-treaties-will-be-listed-on-the-world-legal-information-institutes-database-at-the-end-of-2024/ 2025-12-02T18:38:36.304Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3538/how-many-contests-will-bernie-sanders-win-in-the-2020-democratic-primaries/ 2025-12-02T18:38:20.033Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3539/how-many-total-confirmed-cases-of-coronavirus-will-be-reported-by-johns-hopkins-csse-on-february-the-17th/ 2025-12-02T18:37:32.430Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3591/date-when-ev-battery-cost-below-75-per-kwh/ 2026-07-19T21:40:15.346Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3592/ev-battery-storage-costs/ 2025-12-02T18:37:31.635Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3593/renewables-25-of-global-electricity-in-2030/ 2026-09-22T15:23:05.826Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/3594/announcing-the-bentham-prize-winners/ 2025-12-02T18:38:14.432Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3595/new-covid-hotspot/ 2025-12-02T18:38:08.789Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3596/when-will-beyond-chicken-be-available-from-a-grocery-store/ 2025-12-02T18:38:34.913Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3597/covid-cases-march-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.775Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3598/covid-cases-march-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:37:55.331Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3600/iowa-hosts-first-caucus-by-2029/ 2026-09-01T07:04:48.192Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3605/medicare-for-all-if-dems-win-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:38:30.054Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3606/will-a-wealth-tax-be-passed-if-a-democrat-is-elected-president-in-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:38:16.192Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3607/will-michael-bloomberg-emerge-as-the-leading-moderate-candidate-after-super-tuesday/ 2025-12-02T18:38:26.056Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3608/cosmologists-favor-universe-acceleration/ 2026-07-25T00:44:27.419Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3611/if-trump-loses-the-election-in-2020-will-he-maintain-that-he-is-still-the-president-on-january-21st-2021/ 2025-12-02T18:38:33.894Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3612/elon-musk-richest-person-in-the-world/ 2025-12-02T18:37:38.754Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3613/how-many-posts-will-there-be-on-the-effective-altruism-forum-in-2020/ 2025-12-02T18:38:04.481Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3614/if-on-2020-june-7-no-democratic-candidate-has-a-majority-will-bernie-sanders-be-the-nominee/ 2025-12-02T18:38:24.099Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/30960/10000-h5-avian-influenza-cases-in-us-end-of-2025/ 2026-01-07T12:57:50.389Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/30965/withdrawal-of-russian-soldiers-in-syria-before-jan-5-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:23.478Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/30969/syria-partitioned-into-new-sovereign-states-before-2040/ 2026-09-03T04:06:43.942Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/31041/preco-medio-da-picanha-em-sp-em-marco-de-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:40.197Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31042/era-certified-before-end-of-biden-term/ 2025-12-02T18:38:19.982Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31044/us-congress-implements-trump-tariff-policies-2025/ 2026-01-05T22:41:10.980Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31045/powell-ceases-to-hold-fed-chair-before-2026/ 2026-01-06T00:31:23.802Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31068/will-evs-be-10-of-new-car-sales-in-us-before-oct-2025/ 2026-08-05T06:48:18.638Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31071/israel-guilty-in-icj-genocide-case-before-2027/ 2026-09-24T00:29:17.575Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31073/im-2-mission-successful-before-april-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:35.176Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/31075/epidemia-de-dengue-em-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:57.664Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31076/us-eliminates-department-of-education-before-2026/ 2026-01-06T00:30:43.524Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31079/date-of-first-muon-collider-before-2075/ 2026-07-19T21:35:49.909Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31089/trump-wins-peace-prize-before-2029/ 2026-09-25T05:52:08.061Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31098/donald-trump-positive-net-favorability-on-december-20-2025/ 2025-12-31T02:16:12.255Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31099/will-bitcoin-reach-200k-in-2025/ 2026-01-08T00:00:04.047Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31100/d-washington-wins-best-supporting-actor-for-gladiator-2/ 2025-12-02T18:37:47.970Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31106/all-star-bannedsuspended-for-betting-before-2026/ 2026-01-14T21:12:36.455Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31110/will-californias-2018-prop-12-be-in-effect-on-jan-1-2026/ 2026-01-03T01:00:39.404Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31111/number-of-trump-cabinet-appointments-not-confirmed/ 2025-12-02T18:38:21.543Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31112/will-an-additional-us-state-ban-lab-grown-meat-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:05.721Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31117/argentinas-yoy-inflation-below-30-for-december-2025/ 2026-01-14T18:10:29.848Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31118/netanyahu-remain-prime-minister-of-israel-throughout-2025/ 2026-01-06T20:31:43.359Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31121/ceasefire-in-the-russo-ukraine-conflict-before-2026/ 2026-01-02T18:30:56.470Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31123/will-iran-possess-a-nuclear-weapon-before-2026/ 2026-01-06T20:39:43.753Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31124/will-car-crash-deaths-in-the-us-be-below-40000-for-2024/ 2025-12-02T18:37:50.769Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31125/livestock-antibiotics-sales-increased-by-05-in-2024/ 2025-12-18T16:59:36.593Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31127/will-novak-djokovic-win-the-australian-open/ 2025-12-02T18:37:29.557Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31129/farmed-birds-killed-in-us-due-to-bird-flu-in-2025/ 2026-01-13T12:46:31.532Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31130/major-components-of-aca-repealed-before-2026/ 2026-01-06T00:27:15.002Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31131/pounds-of-chicken-per-capita-consumed-in-us-in-2025/ 2026-03-24T22:27:05.886Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31134/next-step-for-psychedelic-mental-health-us-approval-in-2025/ 2026-01-20T16:39:58.714Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31136/10000-h5-avian-influenza-cases-in-us-end-of-2025/ 2026-01-07T12:57:50.371Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/31137/forecast-2025-with-voxs-future-perfect-team/ 2026-03-28T00:01:27.564Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/nathanpmyoung/31138/ai-lab-nationalization-2030/ 2026-08-07T13:56:35.067Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31151/us-port-workers-strike-before-february-1-2025/ 2026-01-06T00:08:40.587Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31153/when-will-the-myanmar-military-junta-collapse/ 2026-01-02T21:35:17.565Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/ai-warning-signs/31176/realistic-deepfake-genai-videos-before-2030/ 2026-08-20T14:14:59.928Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31200/will-canada-become-a-us-state-before-jan-21-2033/ 2026-07-19T21:35:49.948Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/31213/marco-legal-de-ia-sera-aprovado-ate-marco-de-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.119Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/31214/o-que-a-anatel-decidira-sobre-a-faixa-de-6-ghz-em-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:31.004Z 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2026-01-06T20:00:05.472Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31253/us-unemployment-rate-in-nov-2025-below-nov-2024/ 2025-12-17T01:35:47.622Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31255/google-meta-amazon-tesla-or-x-accept-crypto-at-end-2025/ 2026-07-16T05:46:52.608Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31256/rationalist-ea-or-ai-safety-researcher-on-rogan-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:48.226Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31257/semaglutide-taken-off-fdas-drug-shortage-list-in-2025/ 2025-12-07T20:28:55.118Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31258/googles-search-market-share-below-85-in-2025/ 2026-01-07T16:29:55.779Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31261/afd-of-vote-in-german-election/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.915Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31271/us-housing-prices-increase-more-in-2025-compared-to-2024/ 2026-08-05T06:48:19.702Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31273/will-a-new-war-kill-at-least-5000-people-in-2025/ 2026-01-06T21:25:24.700Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31275/substantial-change-in-covid-origin-market-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:37.878Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31276/argentine-poverty-lower-in-early-2025-vs-late-2023/ 2025-12-07T20:36:42.963Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31277/will-maersk-resume-shipping-in-the-red-sea-in-2025/ 2026-01-07T06:00:40.830Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31279/doomsday-clock-seconds-til-midnight-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:28.904Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31280/us-initial-jobless-claims-january-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:57.180Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/31287/crescimento-do-pib-brasileiro-no-primeiro-trimestre-de-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:27.015Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/31288/bolsonaro-sera-denunciado-por-golpe-de-estado-em-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.303Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31294/greenland-independent-before-2035/ 2026-07-19T21:35:50.700Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31296/will-fy-2025-deportations-in-the-us-be-2x-those-of-fy-2024/ 2026-08-05T06:48:20.012Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31298/1000-deaths-due-to-israel-iran-conflict-in-2025/ 2025-12-07T20:35:46.601Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31303/inflation-adjusted-gas-prices-rise-in-2025/ 2026-01-14T18:09:28.568Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/31304/bridgewater-x-metaculus-forecasting-contest/ 2025-12-02T18:37:45.834Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31307/will-nvda-outperform-spy-in-2025/ 2026-01-06T20:08:46.662Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31308/netanyahus-situation-in-2032/ 2026-08-14T11:30:15.074Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31312/percentage-of-english-council-seats-won-by-each-party-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:14.463Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31315/will-inflation-be-lower-in-nov-2025-than-it-was-in-nov-2024/ 2025-12-18T20:34:25.058Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31316/spacex-f9-launch-failure-in-2025/ 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31367/finland-happiest-country-ranking-years/ 2026-09-07T03:43:38.727Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/31370/ai-forecasting-benchmark-q4-winners-q1-warmups/ 2026-07-27T07:05:00.582Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31372/estimated-number-of-average-viewers-of-super-bowl-lix/ 2025-12-02T18:38:33.351Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31373/greenland-announces-independence-referendum-by-apr-6-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:32.210Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31426/large-non-contained-california-fires-on-feb-15-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:58.814Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31427/damascus-international-airport-departures-in-february-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:26.181Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31460/us-name-change-of-the-gulf-of-mexico-before-apr-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:23.491Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31620/israel-establishes-government-control-of-gaza-in-2025/ 2026-01-06T18:05:41.100Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31709/difference-between-ai-models-from-authoritarian-and-non-a/ 2025-12-02T18:37:33.145Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31710/unemployed-citizens-given-1000-per-month-in-2030/ 2026-09-25T04:15:21.293Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31711/ai-system-beat-human-pros-in-forecasting-tournament-by-2030/ 2026-09-25T18:53:40.389Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31712/ai-labs-collaborate-at-least-a-little-on-safety-in-2030/ 2026-09-24T10:02:26.638Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31713/will-an-agi-be-trained-on-cheap-hardware-before-2040/ 2026-09-22T01:43:18.113Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Brasil/31714/qual-sera-a-aprovacao-de-lula-em-marco-de-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:38.446Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31723/japans-net-tourist-inflow-february-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:29.494Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/ai-warning-signs/31763/ai-warning-signs-question-suggestions/ 2025-12-02T18:38:32.620Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31875/ais-highest-score-in-humanitys-last-exam-in-2025/ 2026-01-12T12:24:48.560Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/31879/announcing-indexes/ 2026-07-11T21:32:56.787Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31881/when-will-starmer-cease-to-be-pm/ 2026-07-20T11:47:18.675Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31883/monster-hunter-wilds-simultaneous-players-march-21-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:28.887Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31884/will-brazils-unemployment-be-below-62-in-february-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:32.114Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34396/us-annex-canada-before-june-3-2072/ 2026-07-23T03:54:14.155Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34397/when-will-an-ai-gain-unauthorized-access-to-other-systems/ 2026-09-09T20:18:25.056Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34408/us-february-2025-southwest-land-border-encounters/ 2025-12-02T18:37:40.215Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34409/number-of-taiwan-adiz-violations-feb-15-to-mar-15-2025/ 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34474/eu-gas-storage-capacity-february-12-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:16.675Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34481/winner-of-bullwinkel-in-2025-australian-federal-election/ 2025-12-02T18:38:37.926Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34483/total-number-of-forecacsters-in-q1-2025-quarterly-cup/ 2025-12-02T18:37:40.823Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34484/us-congress-control-after-2026-midterms/ 2026-09-25T15:21:16.101Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34485/when-will-london-heathrow-get-a-third-runway/ 2026-07-19T21:35:42.829Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34490/deepseek-higher-than-chatgpt-on-the-appstore-on-apr-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:33.536Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34491/tesla-self-driving-in-austin-before-july-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:12.545Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34492/which-country-will-winner-of-2025-tokyo-marathon-be-from/ 2025-12-02T18:38:25.735Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34507/kash-patel-fbi-director-by-june-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:26.098Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34508/congress-to-approve-new-voting-restrictions-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.456Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34509/foia-exemption-for-department-or-agency-in-2025/ 2026-01-21T15:14:42.636Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34511/trump-to-adjourn-congress-in-2025/ 2026-01-19T16:39:54.062Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34512/trump-to-invoke-insurrection-act-in-2025/ 2026-01-16T13:59:02.257Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34514/doj-to-investigate-or-prosecute-top-democrat-before-2026/ 2026-01-20T19:41:08.675Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34515/macdonough-to-leave-senate-parliamentarian-role-before-july/ 2025-12-02T18:38:27.461Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34516/white-house-revoke-media-credentials-for-2-outlets-in-2025/ 2026-08-05T06:48:19.925Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34517/equal-rights-amendment-certified-before-july/ 2025-12-02T18:38:15.395Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34519/us-and-denmark-negotiate-greenland-transfer-in-2025/ 2026-01-06T23:01:55.596Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34521/doj-or-doe-investigate-harvard-diversity-programs-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:06.294Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/34747/the-state-of-metaculus/ 2025-12-02T18:38:27.154Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34751/home-battery-annual-frequency-imbalance-return/ 2026-09-16T09:45:26.536Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34769/mar-28-2025-what-will-be-the-fx-rate-of-the-usd-to-the-cad-mxn-cny/ 2025-12-02T18:37:45.064Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34775/dept-of-education-gone-soon/ 2026-09-09T01:16:56.487Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34819/when-will-an-ai-beat-warioware/ 2026-07-19T21:35:42.559Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34820/us-price-of-eggs-on-march-26-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:37.935Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34821/farmed-birds-killed-due-to-bird-flu-february-and-march-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:22.744Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34836/number-of-eos-signed-by-trump-in-february-and-march-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:14.226Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34838/will-us-announce-syria-troop-withdrawal-before-apr-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:12.399Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34840/2pp-vote-for-labor-in-2025-western-australian-election/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.238Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34841/number-of-active-us-drilling-rigs-on-mar-28-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:28.958Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34843/how-many-subscribers-will-mrbeast-have-on-mar-30-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.185Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/jetbrains/34850/proactive-automation-by-december25/ 2025-12-02T18:38:29.039Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/jetbrains/34851/proactive-optimization-by-december25/ 2025-12-02T18:38:19.678Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/jetbrains/34852/context-awareness-december25/ 2025-12-16T15:12:14.649Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/jetbrains/34853/bci-coding-by-december25/ 2025-12-16T15:12:42.901Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/jetbrains/34854/deveco25-future-of-ai/ 2025-12-02T18:38:35.874Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/jetbrains/34855/delegate-to-ai-in-25/ 2025-12-02T18:38:33.897Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34860/how-many-human-cases-of-h5-in-the-us-on-march-31-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:28.872Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34861/china-launch-antitrust-probe-into-intel-before-april-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:21.556Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34862/number-of-mag4-earthquakes-near-santorini-mar-1-7-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:28.779Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34863/2025-4-nations-face-off-winner/ 2025-12-02T18:37:31.024Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34864/change-in-average-inflation-rate-2028-pv-prediction/ 2026-04-17T01:06:41.750Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36363/gene-editing-of-human-embryos-approved-by-2035/ 2026-09-04T06:14:08.676Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36369/us-house-plurality-after-2026-midterms/ 2026-09-25T15:22:33.490Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36370/us-senate-plurality-after-2026-midterms/ 2026-09-25T16:14:40.120Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36372/will-the-indian-government-ban-youtube-before-july-2030/ 2026-09-24T21:11:28.973Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/36381/forecast-in-the-potus-predictions-tournament/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.875Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36383/when-will-autonomous-car-win-in-formula-1-race/ 2026-08-25T16:58:48.150Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36386/banksys-identity-revealed-before-2031/ 2026-09-15T03:16:43.197Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36389/us-no-longer-a-democracy-by-2030/ 2026-09-09T03:42:15.258Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36390/epigenome-editing-for-genetic-disease-prevention-in-embryos-by-2040/ 2026-07-19T21:35:33.701Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36391/major-platform-gnn-recommender-by-end-of-2025/ 2026-01-12T22:18:43.506Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36398/russias-population-less-than-140-million-before-2035/ 2026-08-29T14:09:28.053Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36399/revolut-fully-fledged-uk-banking-licence-before-july-26-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:31.621Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36401/will-russia-invade-another-european-country-before-the-following-years/ 2026-09-21T21:58:31.261Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36402/fridtjof-nansen-class-replacement-decision-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.521Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36403/2025-fia-f1-wdc-winner/ 2025-12-08T10:13:47.867Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36409/conditional-chinese-control-of-half-of-taiwan-by-2030/ 2026-07-15T13:12:23.485Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36416/will-the-us-strike-iran-by-the-end-of-may-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:32.010Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36427/will-erdogan-remain-president-of-turkey-until-the-next-elections/ 2026-09-22T00:04:28.633Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/36429/join-the-market-pulse-challenge-7500-in-prizes/ 2025-12-02T18:37:35.316Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36430/global-under-5-child-deaths-for-2024/ 2026-03-18T14:18:47.078Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36438/month-in-2025-where-trump-signs-a-reconciliation-bill-into-law/ 2025-12-02T18:37:52.623Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36439/pig-to-human-xenotransplantation-routine/ 2026-09-20T13:06:24.556Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36440/tour-de-france-2025-winner/ 2025-12-02T18:38:22.867Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36452/future-of-the-45v-hydrogen-tax-credit-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:11.014Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/36459/will-tcja-personal-tax-cuts-extend-via-senate-reconciliation-w-current-policy/ 2025-12-02T18:38:33.458Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37698/african-forest-elephant-extinct-by-2100/ 2026-04-17T08:53:14.064Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37699/sam-altman-elon-musk-together-at-yc-ai-startup-school/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.675Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37700/war-between-india-and-pakistan-before-2027/ 2026-09-16T09:45:24.014Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37708/what-will-be-the-estimated-wild-population-of-amur-tigers-in-2040/ 2026-07-19T21:35:24.571Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37737/id-bill-signed-by-2029/ 2026-09-24T17:14:20.962Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37738/youth-mobility-scheme-before-2030/ 2026-09-02T17:42:13.801Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37740/g-20-country-fielding-fully-autonomous-lethal-weapons/ 2026-09-06T06:12:56.440Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37741/what-will-the-new-salt-deduction-cap-be/ 2025-12-02T18:38:14.896Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37867/will-there-be-a-ban-on-deployment-of-ai-agents-within-an-oecd-country-by-2030/ 2026-09-22T16:59:40.928Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37869/will-unemployment-for-recent-college-graduates-remain-at-20-before-2030/ 2026-09-13T05:26:44.826Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37870/what-will-the-new-standard-deduction-be-in-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:37:35.457Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37871/what-will-the-pass-through-deduction-be-in-the-us-in-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.516Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37872/will-the-us-pass-no-tax-on-tips/ 2025-12-02T18:37:44.539Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37873/will-no-tax-on-overtime-pass-in-the-us/ 2025-12-02T18:37:29.898Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37874/will-no-tax-on-social-security-pass/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.513Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37875/car-loan-interest-deductible-in-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:37:35.703Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37876/top-us-tax-rate-in-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:38:18.148Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37877/excise-tax-on-university-endowments/ 2025-12-02T18:38:19.793Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37878/remittances-tax-in-us/ 2025-12-02T18:38:17.157Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37879/ira-tax-credit-cuts/ 2025-12-02T18:37:38.449Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37880/gop-bill-health-coverage-reduction/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.141Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37881/medicaid-work-requirements/ 2025-12-02T18:38:25.492Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37882/food-stamp-cuts/ 2025-12-02T18:37:29.584Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37883/education-spending-cuts-in-us/ 2025-12-02T18:38:11.575Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37884/defense-spending-hike-in-us/ 2025-12-02T18:38:21.020Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37885/border-wall-funding/ 2025-12-02T18:38:38.570Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37887/17th-brics-summit-new-country/ 2026-08-05T06:48:19.124Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37893/initial-installation-size-of-gta-6/ 2026-05-27T18:34:13.470Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37902/euro-area-inflation-in-july-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.316Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37903/black-rhinoceros-extinct-by-2100/ 2026-09-07T04:25:00.985Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37905/legislation-before-29-reduces-long-term-capital-gains-rate-for-highest-bracket/ 2026-08-12T01:28:28.140Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37910/superman-2025-worldwide-opening-weekend-earnings/ 2025-12-02T18:38:15.425Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37913/what-percent-of-us-gdp-will-come-from-manufacturing-in-the-first-half-of-2028/ 2026-09-23T21:27:43.499Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37919/will-20-million-americans-be-laid-off-in-any-quarter-before-2030/ 2026-09-03T23:30:25.961Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/37920/will-harvards-sevp-certification-be-restored-by-july-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:31.514Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38141/what-will-be-us-democracy-index-for-2026/ 2026-09-23T21:27:37.223Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38142/us-government-shutdown-before-2028-election/ 2025-12-02T18:38:09.789Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38164/us-start-building-a-nuclear-powered-data-center-on-a-military-base-before-2029/ 2026-09-14T07:21:28.364Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38166/presidential-impoundment-authority-expanded-before-november-3-2026/ 2026-09-25T00:59:21.235Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38168/how-many-active-duty-us-troops-will-be-stationed-abroad-in-june-2028/ 2026-09-23T21:49:40.938Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38171/another-us-city-bans-factory-farms-by-end-of-2025/ 2026-01-01T05:59:00.345Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38177/will-the-us-senate-vote-on-a-rescission-proposal-from-potus-by-october-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:56.307Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38189/when-nvidias-market-cap-10t/ 2026-09-10T12:08:01.358Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38190/ai-safety-checks-mandated-before-jan-20-2029/ 2026-09-23T19:32:48.320Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38192/executive-branch-in-contempt-for-not-obeying-the-supreme-court-by-jan-20-2029/ 2026-09-23T19:32:44.118Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38195/will-the-trump-administration-announce-a-suspension-of-habeas-corpus-before-january-20-2029/ 2026-09-23T19:32:39.337Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38198/metaculus-and-markets-whats-the-difference/ 2026-05-27T16:26:24.139Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38209/will-the-doj-officially-remove-the-requirement-for-us-attorneys-to-consult-with-the-public-integrity-section-before-prosecuting-lawmakers-before-november-4-2026/ 2026-09-25T06:51:51.430Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38211/new-us-package-of-sanctions-against-russia-before-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:06.807Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38212/trump-pardons-politically-violent-offenders/ 2026-08-22T00:08:07.709Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38367/how-many-new-unesco-world-heritage-sites-after-2025-session/ 2025-12-02T18:37:38.440Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38391/when-will-an-ai-achieve-an-score-of-15-or-higher-in-the-re-bench-at-any-time-budget-between-8h-and-32h/ 2026-09-24T17:16:51.754Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38393/highest-percentage-of-compute-capacity-held-by-one-organisation-on-jan-1-2028/ 2026-09-22T09:00:51.109Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38399/will-the-yellowstones-supervolcano-erupt-before-2100/ 2026-09-22T01:57:31.639Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38400/will-donald-trump-publicly-criticize-amy-coney-barrett-before-july-15-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:45.002Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38403/ai-authored-paper-published-at-neurips-icml-or-iclr-before-2028/ 2026-09-25T18:54:25.472Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38404/before-july-15-2025-will-geert-wilders-party-for-freedom-be-the-highest-polling-party-in-the-netherlands-by-at-least-5-points-according-to-politico/ 2025-12-02T18:38:39.058Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38405/will-openai-deepmind-or-anthropic-have-revenue-of-at-least-100b-in-2027/ 2026-09-25T18:55:18.085Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38406/what-percentage-of-ai-computational-performance-in-the-us-on-jan-1-2028/ 2026-09-22T09:01:35.113Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38407/what-will-consider-aicomputerstech-to-be-most-important-problem-in-jan-28/ 2026-09-23T03:19:18.255Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38408/percentage-of-americans-that-disapprove-of-ai-labs-on-jan-1-2028/ 2026-09-24T07:30:12.326Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38413/us-ai-advantage-in-months-on-jan-1-2027/ 2026-09-18T18:23:26.849Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38416/will-a-vote-of-no-confidence-pass-the-french-national-assembly-before-july-14-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:19.657Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38417/will-the-us-government-mandate-security-clearance-from-the-employees-that-lead-the-research-and-development-of-the-top-models-at-openai-deepmind-or-anthropic-before-2028/ 2026-09-23T21:12:01.156Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38418/us-and-china-reach-an-agreement-to-limit-frontier-ai-development-before-2029/ 2026-09-23T08:24:08.178Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38419/what-will-be-the-total-ai-compute-capacity-on-january-1-2028/ 2026-08-09T20:52:22.756Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38420/techcom-services-sp-500-2027/ 2026-09-16T09:45:16.558Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38421/automated-prompt-engineering-for-forecasting/ 2025-12-02T18:38:11.263Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38428/will-south-korean-president-lee-jae-myung-complete-his-full-term/ 2026-09-10T04:45:51.549Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38435/country-most-medals-2025-world-games/ 2025-12-02T18:37:54.121Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38436/us-treasuries-held-by-china-in-june-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:40.547Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38440/china-ban-us-export-of-rare-earths-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:50.968Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38441/how-many-acres-will-be-burned-by-fires-in-the-us-from-january-to-august-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:06.382Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38443/will-cancelled-us-spacex-contracts-total-1-billion-before-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.934Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38444/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-gpt-45-scale-model-by-openai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:24.616Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38445/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-gpt-41-scale-model-by-openai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:24.553Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38446/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-claude-opus-4-scale-model-by-anthropic/ 2026-07-19T21:35:24.160Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38447/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-claude-sonnet-4-scale-model-by-anthropic/ 2026-07-19T21:35:24.254Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38448/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-gemini-25-pro-scale-model-by-google/ 2026-07-19T21:35:24.366Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38449/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-gemini-25-flash-scale-model-by-google/ 2026-07-19T21:35:24.302Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38450/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-grok-3-scale-model-by-xai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.347Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38451/when-will-80-accuracy-be-achieved-on-cybench-by-a-llama-4-behemoth-scale-model-by-meta/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.378Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38452/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-gpt-45-scale-model-by-openai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.383Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38453/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-gpt-41-scale-model-by-openai/ 2026-08-05T11:01:09.068Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38454/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-claude-sonnet-4-scale-model-by-anthropic/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.434Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38455/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-claude-opus-4-scale-model-by-anthropic/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.405Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38456/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-gemini-25-pro-scale-model-by-google/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.425Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38457/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-gemini-25-flash-scale-model-by-google/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.565Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38458/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-grok-3-scale-model-by-xai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.458Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38459/when-will-an-8-hour-80-reliability-time-horizon-be-achieved-on-metrs-autonomy-tasks-by-a-llama-4-behemoth-scale-model-by-meta/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.486Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38502/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-gpt-45-scale-model-by-openai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.554Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38503/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-gpt-41-scale-model-by-openai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.589Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38504/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-claude-sonnet-4-scale-model-by-anthropic/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.430Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38505/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-claude-opus-4-scale-model-by-anthropic/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.562Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38506/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-gemini-25-pro-scale-model-by-google/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.466Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38507/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-gemini-25-flash-scale-model-by-google/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.434Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38508/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-grok-3-scale-model-by-xai/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.431Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38509/when-will-75-accuracy-be-reached-on-lab-bench-cloning-scenarios-by-a-llama-4-behemoth-scale-model-by-meta/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.567Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38576/date-that-google-reports-an-ai-reached-cbrn-uplift-level-1/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.327Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38578/will-donald-trump-sue-elon-musk-for-defamation-before-august-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:19.708Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38579/will-kizza-besigye-be-released-from-custody-before-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:38.013Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38580/what-will-be-the-highest-earthquake-magnitude-recorded-during-july-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.320Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38589/date-that-anthropic-reports-an-ai-reached-cbrn-level-4/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.504Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38590/date-anthropic-reaches-asl-4/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.500Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38596/us-government-control-of-any-us-ai-company-or-project-before-2029/ 2026-09-22T09:03:53.077Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38597/us-gov-veto-on-frontier-ai-deployment-by-2028/ 2026-09-22T09:03:05.516Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38598/when-will-an-ai-model-using-neuralese-recurrence-be-publicly-available/ 2026-09-25T17:17:33.604Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38601/year-openai-deepmind-or-anthropic-reach-valuation-of-1-trillion/ 2026-09-25T18:56:19.415Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38607/change-in-the-uk-payroll-jobs-data-revision-for-may-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.762Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38609/highest-score-among-a-selected-subset-of-videogamebench-on-jan-1-2028/ 2026-09-23T03:47:43.825Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38613/trump-cabinet-members-serving-continuously-until-january-20-2028/ 2026-09-23T21:27:46.961Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38615/will-israel-kill-50-people-in-iran-before-august-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:06.409Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38616/will-iran-attack-us-sites-in-iraq-before-august-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:47.661Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38617/will-iran-carry-out-an-attack-with-3-dead-within-israel-before-aug-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:14.415Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38621/short-fuse-will-4-million-or-more-people-participate-in-no-kings-rallies-in-the-united-states-on-june-14-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:08.853Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38624/how-many-protest-fatalities-in-the-us-from-june-14-to-july-7-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:36.668Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38629/when-will-a-new-enzyme-work-in-anhydrous-solvent/ 2026-09-20T05:49:00.241Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38632/when-will-a-synbio-platform-effectively-degrade-pesticides-in-field-conditions/ 2026-08-23T08:45:05.096Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38633/will-ali-khamenei-make-a-public-appearance-in-iran-before-july-14-2025/ 2026-08-05T06:48:18.399Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38634/when-will-opensource-earth-system-simulation-1-km-resolution-be-available/ 2026-07-19T21:35:15.477Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38639/will-the-united-states-strike-the-iranian-military-before-august-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.759Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38640/usa-gives-israel-bunker-busting-bombs/ 2025-12-02T18:37:38.736Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38644/beyond-meat-will-post-a-profit-for-which-of-the-following-quarters/ 2026-07-01T04:59:00.167Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38645/will-the-colorado-rockies-lose-122-or-more-games-in-the-2025-mlb-season/ 2025-12-02T18:38:15.833Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38646/somaliland-recognition-pre-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:54.273Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38648/pain-free-animal-based-product-will-be-sold-when/ 2026-03-05T03:35:49.871Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38649/when-will-the-usda-lift-their-ban-on-mexican-livestock/ 2025-12-02T18:37:39.100Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38650/will-the-us-or-israel-attack-the-fordow-enrichment-plant-before-january-1-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:38:35.354Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38653/percent-who-trust-ai-in-us-according-to-edelman/ 2026-09-24T02:32:08.261Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38654/when-will-we-achieve-5-gt-c-capture-in-a-year-at-less-than-10-per-ton/ 2026-08-23T08:46:03.882Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38657/announcing-prediction-auto-withdrawal/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.274Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38659/usda-releases-gene-drive-by-2029/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.598Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38661/will-tulsi-gabbard-be-out-as-dni-before-september-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.409Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38662/drc-controlling-goma-on-aug-25-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:57.904Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38663/next-german-governing-party/ 2026-09-03T21:11:08.306Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38664/lowest-of-tankers-passing-through-strait-of-hormuz-june-15-2025-sep-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:33.055Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38665/will-zohran-mamdani-be-elected-mayor-of-new-york-city-in-2025/ 2026-01-09T13:22:24.622Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38666/what-will-the-yoy-rent-increase-be-in-nyc-in-december-2026-according-to-zillow/ 2026-09-16T09:45:18.102Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38669/what-will-the-yoy-rent-increase-be-in-nyc-in-december-2027-according-to-zillow/ 2026-09-12T07:13:58.586Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38670/conditional-what-will-the-yoy-rent-increase-be-in-nyc-in-december-2027-according-to-zillow/ 2025-12-02T18:38:22.370Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38671/will-ali-khamenei-cease-to-be-supreme-leader-of-iran-in-2025/ 2026-01-12T20:57:16.556Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38675/what-will-be-the-yoy-growth-in-the-of-employees-in-nyc-for-these-years/ 2026-06-16T05:46:29.462Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38676/conditional-what-will-be-the-yoy-growth-in-the-of-employees-in-nyc-for-these-years/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.759Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38679/iaea-verifies-iran-uranium-location-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:29.734Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38680/will-the-un-security-council-reauthorize-the-mandate-of-the-unifil-mission/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.069Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38681/which-new-company-in-the-sp500-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:27.300Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38683/biweekly-maximum-intraday-vix-in-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:46.472Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38684/hy-oas-for-these-biweekly-periods-in-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.864Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38685/will-trump-appear-on-nyt-july-4th-cover/ 2025-12-02T18:37:50.655Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38687/will-the-us-strike-the-iranian-military-in-iran-again-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:58.402Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38688/lowest-of-tankers-passing-through-strait-of-hormuz-june-15-2025-sep-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:45.242Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38691/will-israel-strike-the-iranian-military-in-iran-again-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:42.444Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38692/will-new-york-city-hit-100-degrees-fahrenheit-before-august-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:47.457Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38693/will-faith-kipyegon-break-the-4-minute-mile-on-june-26-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.978Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38694/peak-respiratory-magnitudes-2025-2026/ 2026-07-30T13:36:27.491Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38696/peak-respiratory-timing-2025-2026/ 2026-07-30T19:15:18.497Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38697/us-measles-outbreak-2026/ 2026-04-23T22:00:00.739Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38699/how-much-will-nvda-outpeform-aapl-in-the-following-biweekly-periods-of-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:37.310Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38703/disneyuniversal-v-midjourney-lawsuit-outcome/ 2026-08-30T14:28:56.442Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38704/how-much-will-nvda-outpeform-msft-in-the-following-biweekly-periods-of-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:58.131Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38705/how-much-will-cl-outpeform-es-in-the-following-biweekly-periods-of-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:15.478Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38706/how-much-will-nq-outpeform-es-in-the-following-biweekly-periods-of-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:37.634Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38707/how-much-will-gc-outpeform-es-in-the-following-biweekly-periods-of-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:35.241Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38711/how-many-us-soldiers-will-be-killed-by-iran-or-its-proxies-before-2026/ 2026-01-13T16:04:22.032Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38712/will-any-new-country-attack-israel-or-iran-between-in-jun-dec-2025/ 2026-01-12T12:14:40.680Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38713/who-will-win-the-bet-gary-marcus-vs-nathan-young-on-waymo-vs-tesla-robotaxis/ 2026-09-16T09:45:19.570Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38714/vaquita-extinct-by-2100/ 2026-04-10T12:56:34.428Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38715/when-will-protein-fiber-spinning-be-competitive-with-sythetic-fibers/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.447Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38716/patriot-missiles-to-ukraine-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:34.024Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38717/net-portfolio-change-of-brka-in-q2-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:22.008Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38721/when-will-high-res-3d-atmospheric-tomography-become-operational/ 2026-08-23T08:45:51.526Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38723/ust-10y-for-the-following-periods-in-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:34.744Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38724/nvda-earnings-guidance-for-q3-fy2026/ 2025-12-02T18:38:25.910Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38725/ex-vivo-human-brain-tissue-used-in-10-studies-in-one-year-for-1st-time-when/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.599Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38726/what-will-us-covid-19-booster-coverage-be-in-2025-26/ 2026-09-16T13:27:56.363Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38727/flu-us-vaccine-coverage-2025-26/ 2026-07-24T17:03:10.372Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38728/when-will-users-reliably-program-dna-assembly-robots-via-natural-language/ 2026-07-19T21:35:14.649Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38730/will-small-boat-crossings-drop-by-at-least-half-during-the-59th-parliament-term/ 2026-09-05T03:33:06.137Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38731/uk-economy-grow-by-at-least-2-in-any-year-of-the-59th-parliament/ 2026-09-11T08:26:39.484Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38762/what-of-tested-flu-sequences-type-a-during-by-apr-2026/ 2026-05-12T15:59:29.049Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38763/what-proportions-of-influenza-a-subtype-sequences-will-cdc-report-during-the-2025-2026-season/ 2026-05-12T17:45:29.432Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38764/2025-26-rsv-immunization-coverage-for-the-following-groups-in-the-us/ 2026-09-18T13:17:37.612Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38765/what-will-be-the-maximum-weekly-rate-of-new-hospital-admissions-per-100000-people-for-rsv-for-the-following-age-groups-in-the-2025-2026-season/ 2026-07-30T13:44:15.218Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38766/ai-moratorium-bbb/ 2026-07-01T15:27:02.097Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38768/will-the-united-states-conduct-a-ground-invasion-of-iran-before-2027/ 2026-09-25T05:28:09.269Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38769/strait-of-hormuz-closed-2025/ 2026-01-01T01:48:05.631Z 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2026-08-10T01:38:06.140Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38786/dates-that-openai-reports-an-ai-reached-these-biological-chemical-risk-levels/ 2026-08-27T13:49:56.178Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38787/dates-that-openai-reports-an-ai-reached-these-self-improvement-risk-levels/ 2026-09-25T17:17:35.072Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/risk/38788/dates-that-google-reports-an-ai-reached-these-cyber-risk-levels/ 2025-12-02T18:37:51.224Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38789/dates-that-google-reports-an-ai-reached-these-machine-learning-rd-risk-levels/ 2026-07-21T00:27:33.710Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38790/dates-that-google-reports-ai-reached-these-instrumental-reasoning-risk-levels/ 2026-02-02T17:00:36.619Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38791/dates-that-anthropic-reports-an-ai-reached-these-ai-rd-risk-levels/ 2026-02-06T03:36:41.808Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38792/number-of-large-us-msas-with-non-routine-military-deployment-by-nov-2-2026/ 2026-09-25T16:13:24.853Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38796/will-openai-release-a-powerful-open-source-ai-model-before-october-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:34.834Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38797/employment-decline-in-naics-5254-1-in-any-month-2025-2029/ 2026-08-27T04:54:37.890Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38798/jul-aug-2025-eps-for-the-following-companies/ 2025-12-02T18:37:36.311Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38799/jul-aug-2025-revenues-for-the-following-companies/ 2025-12-02T18:38:08.537Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38800/market-pulse-25q3-opens/ 2025-12-02T18:37:55.781Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38802/taiwan-legislative-recall-sucesses-on-july-26-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:18.045Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38804/gov-lose-majority-in-2025-japanese-hoc/ 2025-12-02T18:38:14.161Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38806/china-new-photovoltaic-capacity-in-july-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:20.656Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38807/state-bans-factory-farming-by-2030/ 2026-08-20T05:10:24.112Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38808/how-many-pro-animal-future-city-chapters-will-there-be-by-the-end-of-2026/ 2026-09-16T09:45:19.480Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38809/of-state-ballots-with-a-factory-farm-ban-on-them-by-the-end-of-2030/ 2026-07-19T21:35:07.810Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38812/will-russia-capture-any-of-the-following-cities-before-september-2025/ 2026-08-05T06:48:18.086Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38813/major-atlantic-hurricane-landfall-2025-before-sep/ 2025-12-02T18:38:30.062Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/unjournal/38815/average-production-cost-of-cultured-chicken/ 2026-06-01T21:44:00.129Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38822/will-there-be-an-fec-form-1-filed-for-elon-musks-party-before-2026/ 2026-01-14T12:51:21.402Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38825/will-russia-attack-a-european-nato-member-before-2035/ 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https://www.metaculus.com/c/diffusion-community/38870/how-many-of-these-countries-will-restrict-high-risk-ai-deployment-before-2030/ 2026-08-27T05:10:46.984Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/diffusion-community/38871/what-will-be-the-total-vc-funding-for-ai-startups-in-2029/ 2026-08-27T05:05:06.553Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38872/of-global-electricity-consumption-attributed-to-data-centers-in-2029/ 2026-09-20T08:22:54.506Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38873/will-a-company-with-1-employee-achieve-a-1-billion-valuation-before-2030/ 2026-09-11T13:05:32.697Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/diffusion-community/38874/share-of-2025-human-tasks-automated-in-2029/ 2026-08-13T02:22:26.172Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/diffusion-community/38875/total-us-public-spending-on-ai-related-contracts-in-2029/ 2026-08-27T04:55:38.443Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38877/dpa-re-authorization-before-oct-25/ 2025-12-02T18:38:07.308Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38880/how-many-us-labor-strikes-due-to-ai-in-2029/ 2026-09-07T20:02:28.941Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38881/monitor-ai-societal-impact-with-the-ai-diffusion-index/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.896Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38884/will-resident-doctors-in-england-receive-a-further-pay-increase-before-2026/ 2026-01-16T14:38:50.009Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/38885/usda-lifts-mexican-livestock-ban-when/ 2026-07-19T21:35:07.832Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38886/will-the-next-ceo-of-xtwitter-last-until-2027/ 2026-01-12T11:38:03.902Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38890/will-the-wto-appellate-body-have-any-new-members-before-2035/ 2026-07-19T21:35:07.824Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/diffusion-community/38891/of-companies-with-11-of-ebit-due-to-gen-ai-in-2029/ 2026-08-13T02:33:56.301Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38892/metop-sg-orbit-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:27.800Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38893/kim-keon-hee-charged-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:32.303Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38894/2025-samoan-election-winner/ 2025-12-02T18:38:25.984Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38895/when-will-the-term-of-israels-25th-knesset-end/ 2026-07-20T11:45:35.659Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38896/taiwan-nuclear-referendum-passes/ 2025-12-02T18:38:07.526Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38897/when-will-menards-allow-rebates-to-be-submitted-online/ 2026-07-19T21:35:11.560Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38898/will-musk-or-trump-publically-disparage-each-other-before-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:45.188Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38899/who-will-be-the-israeli-prime-minister-following-the-election-for-the-26th-knesset/ 2026-09-24T23:46:56.331Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38900/israeli-government-member-parties-following-2025-2026-election/ 2026-09-24T21:26:21.514Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38908/will-donald-j-trump-vacate-the-us-presidency-before-noon-eastern-time-on-january-20-2029/ 2026-09-22T05:17:31.347Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38913/will-ishiba-stop-being-pm-before-sep-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:30.460Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38914/aisis-in-germany-italy-and-australia/ 2026-09-24T21:26:10.502Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38916/will-maxwell-testify-on-the-epstein-files-or-trumpin-congress-before-2026/ 2026-01-08T20:40:42.630Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38917/will-barack-obama-be-arrested-before-july-2026/ 2026-07-03T08:15:35.026Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38918/will-us-imports-from-brazil-in-november-2025-exceed-those-of-november-2024/ 2026-01-30T14:12:15.059Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38921/will-the-eu-suspend-visa-liberalisation-for-georgia-before-march-2026/ 2026-03-09T01:26:03.693Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38922/will-omar-fateh-be-elected-mayor-of-minneapolis-in-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:29.401Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38928/bot-tournament-resources-page/ 2026-09-23T17:29:47.485Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38932/will-the-h-1b-lottery-system-be-changed-for-fy2027/ 2026-04-30T11:47:28.217Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38935/bolsonaro-imprisoned-before-september-2025/ 2026-08-05T06:48:18.552Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38936/will-thailand-and-cambodia-announce-a-ceasefire-before-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:36.881Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38938/will-conflict-bt-thailand-cambodia-result-in-500-deaths-thru-dec-31-2025/ 2026-01-03T15:10:55.401Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38939/will-australia-recognize-palestine-before-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:37:38.074Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38940/will-over-23-of-the-eu-recognize-palestine-before-july-2026/ 2026-07-20T16:35:12.582Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38941/when-will-most-g7-members-recognize-palestine/ 2026-09-19T04:37:25.749Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38943/will-fews-net-declare-a-famine-in-any-part-of-gaza-before-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:38:05.982Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38944/will-any-of-these-7-taiwan-kmt-legislators-lose-their-recall-on-aug-23-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:38.565Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/38945/sharpen-the-respiratory-outlook-for-202526/ 2025-12-02T18:38:07.043Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38982/will-the-white-rhinoceros-ceratotherium-simum-become-extinct-before-2100/ 2026-04-28T18:07:00.169Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38985/will-spacex-launch-the-starship-three-or-more-times-in-the-second-half-of-2025/ 2026-01-12T12:13:00.440Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38995/prop-12-nullified-by-jan-20th-2029/ 2026-09-06T10:24:29.483Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/38998/how-many-trillion-dollar-companies-august-31-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:36.632Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39001/2025-tasmanian-gov-formation/ 2025-12-02T18:37:47.821Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39002/will-there-be-a-deadly-clash-between-thailand-and-cambodia-before-2026/ 2025-12-10T01:13:01.168Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39003/will-tampa-florida-hit-100f-in-august-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:32.027Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39005/developed-country-20-gdp-growth-before-2031/ 2025-12-31T23:00:02.390Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39006/will-north-korea-conduct-a-nuclear-test-before-2026/ 2026-01-09T16:31:11.392Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39009/who-will-win-the-2025-2026-premier-league/ 2026-05-19T21:50:13.985Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39011/when-will-google-first-release-gemini-30/ 2025-12-02T18:38:29.799Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39045/will-any-us-state-experience-10-permanent-population-loss-2025-to-2035/ 2026-09-10T10:46:06.302Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39047/when-will-pope-leo-xiv-cease-to-be-pope/ 2026-09-17T12:56:53.908Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39054/when-will-moral-patienthood-of-ai-systems-be-acknowledged/ 2026-09-23T01:35:27.295Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39058/who-will-develop-the-first-agi/ 2026-09-24T15:41:24.532Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39073/date-mars-population-100/ 2026-08-18T08:19:09.636Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39075/coalition-wins-next-australian-federal-election-2028/ 2026-08-25T19:39:53.675Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/39076/experimental-feature-question-links/ 2026-03-24T18:49:29.886Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/39111/percentage-of-us-farms-having-used-precision-agriculture-by-2027/ 2026-08-06T06:18:04.081Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39112/will-cuomo-adams-or-sliwa-drop-out-of-the-2025-mayoral-race/ 2025-12-02T18:37:54.467Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39113/will-new-f-1-visas-issued-in-china-or-india-decrease-by-10-in-fy2025/ 2026-04-15T18:06:54.248Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39114/2025-uk-green-leader/ 2025-12-02T18:37:44.687Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39115/will-the-us-national-debt-be-under-38-trillion-on-september-30-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:55.244Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39120/what-will-the-national-institutes-of-healths-budget-be-in-these-fiscal-years/ 2026-06-30T01:47:45.443Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39121/what-will-the-national-science-foundations-budget-be-in-these-fiscal-years/ 2026-07-13T01:23:49.458Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39122/nih-actual-obligations-in-these-fiscal-years/ 2026-06-30T01:47:49.308Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39123/nsfs-actual-obligations-in-these-fiscal-years/ 2026-06-30T01:47:53.643Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39125/major-atlantic-hurricanes-in-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:34.879Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39127/will-cs-engineering-intl-student-numbers-decline-more-than-other-fields/ 2026-09-24T21:25:36.564Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39128/will-intl-graduate-students-decrease-more-or-increase-less-than-undergrads/ 2026-09-24T21:25:01.709Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39129/by-2030-will-general-purpose-robot-learning-new-tasks-be-20k/ 2026-09-25T18:26:32.013Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39134/will-there-be-a-major-ai-related-healthcare-class-action-lawsuit-before-2028/ 2026-09-21T12:38:57.898Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39135/before-2032-will-central-bank-or-finance-ministry-credit-an-ai-forecast/ 2026-09-25T18:26:30.197Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39136/will-cyberattack-targeting-ai-cause-power-blackout-in-the-us-before-2028/ 2026-09-22T05:39:44.927Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39138/magic-the-gathering-date-of-card-bans/ 2026-08-21T18:05:38.330Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39142/will-scotus-grant-cert-on-a-case-that-would-overturn-obergell/ 2026-07-27T22:30:56.387Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39147/will-scotus-grant-cert-in-davis-v-ermold-before-january-15-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:38:29.861Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39149/us-china-agi-limiting-treaty-signed-before-2030/ 2026-09-23T13:18:29.243Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39159/will-openai-meta-or-alphabet-ceo-pledge-ai-autonomy-limits-before-2027/ 2026-09-24T17:14:00.649Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39160/will-the-next-us-president-have-a-beard-or-mustache/ 2026-08-27T00:36:59.239Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39162/by-202829-will-most-of-the-20-largest-us-school-districts-adopt-ai-tutoring/ 2026-09-25T02:20:24.512Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39163/before-2029-will-a-new-ai-safety-org-form-with-3-g7-members/ 2026-09-22T01:52:32.354Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39164/by-2031-will-a-g7-country-have-ubi-pilot-program-covering-at-least-25k-ppl/ 2026-09-24T18:58:29.574Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39165/will-us-microgrid-as-a-service-maas-market-exceed-15-billion-by-2030/ 2026-09-25T09:32:00.137Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39166/before-2028-will-a-top-5-us-insurer-exclude-ai-lacking-human-override/ 2026-09-24T03:44:40.556Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39167/by-2027-how-many-countries-will-courts-enforce-decentralized-arbitration/ 2026-09-19T03:36:57.000Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39168/which-year-will-ai-infrastructure-be-10-or-more-of-global-electricity-use/ 2026-09-19T01:33:47.509Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39169/will-city-with-a-pop-1-mil-use-quadratic-funding-for-infrastructure-by-2031/ 2026-09-22T08:10:48.302Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39170/before-jan-1-2031-will-one-digital-id-work-for-finance-legal-and-civic-use/ 2026-09-24T17:14:29.155Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39171/by-2030-will-banks-offer-10b-regulated-defi-yields-with-protections/ 2026-09-23T17:02:13.593Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39172/by-2029-what-of-tsmc-employees-will-be-outside-taiwanchina/ 2026-09-23T03:29:15.548Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39173/by-2035-will-nih-erc-nsf-or-horizon-require-ai-use-reporting-in-grants/ 2026-09-25T02:23:22.103Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39268/saf-rsf-face-to-face-peace-talks-by-end-of-2025/ 2026-01-03T12:18:11.028Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Sudan/39270/sudan-idps-in-jan-2026/ 2026-05-03T08:57:09.584Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/39273/ai-pathways-tournament-5000-comment-prize/ 2025-12-02T18:37:35.069Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/39274/warmup-minibench-is-live/ 2025-12-02T18:37:45.331Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39276/time-spent-on-activities-in-the-us-in-2029/ 2026-09-23T06:39:54.309Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/39290/introducing-comments-of-the-week/ 2025-12-08T22:54:10.127Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39292/will-there-be-a-successful-coup-in-africa-or-latin-america-by-january-1-2026/ 2025-12-02T18:37:47.475Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39297/gpt-6-release-date/ 2026-09-10T22:22:11.076Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39303/will-cracker-barrel-have-falling-sales-for-its-q1-fy2026-august-october-2025/ 2025-12-15T20:36:01.139Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39304/claude-5-release-date/ 2026-06-09T17:51:51.130Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39305/pope-leo-xiv-state-visits-in-2025/ 2026-01-12T22:24:26.736Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/39306/gras-changed-by-jan-2029/ 2026-07-19T21:34:47.761Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39307/which-countries-will-vladimir-putin-visit-before-july-1-2026/ 2026-07-01T15:44:58.252Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39312/will-the-number-of-ufo-sightings-exceed-350-for-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:44.063Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39313/when-will-polymarket-launch-a-token/ 2026-09-25T17:17:37.647Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39314/us-undergraduate-enrollment-decline-by-10-from-2024-to-2030/ 2026-08-05T20:43:49.074Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39315/how-many-days-will-donald-trump-spend-golfing-in-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:08.479Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39316/where-will-kilmar-abrego-garcia-be-on-october-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:55.669Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/unjournal/39317/predict-the-experts-beliefs-over-cost-of-cultured-meat-by-2051/ 2026-09-18T03:14:18.382Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Sudan/39319/cholera-cases-in-next-who-sudan-bulletin/ 2026-05-03T08:56:05.165Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39322/will-russia-test-a-nuclear-device-before-january-1-2026/ 2026-01-04T15:58:00.295Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39323/how-many-incidents-of-unruly-passengers-will-the-faa-report-for-september-2025/ 2025-12-15T15:41:12.698Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39324/will-the-us-national-guard-shoot-a-civilian/ 2026-07-28T06:24:35.701Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39326/fide-grand-swiss-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:38:06.442Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39327/how-many-total-points-in-the-202526-premier-league/ 2026-05-27T12:39:36.106Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39329/how-many-vehicle-deliveries-will-tesla-report-for-q3-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.195Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39330/what-will-be-the-percentage-increase-for-the-minimum-wage-in-colombia-for-2026/ 2026-01-15T20:08:18.045Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39331/paul-biya-reelected-in-2025/ 2026-08-05T06:48:18.786Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39334/what-will-be-the-result-of-levy-rozman-vs-the-world/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.291Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39336/us-attacks-venezuela-before-2026/ 2026-08-05T06:48:17.181Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39337/fastest-rubiks-cube-time-nov-2025/ 2025-12-02T20:39:32.437Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/39338/forecast-the-minimum-wage-in-colombia-1000-prize-pool/ 2026-01-05T15:43:24.829Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39340/how-many-runs-in-2025-world-series/ 2025-12-02T18:37:55.234Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39341/winning-times-for-2025-nyc-marathon/ 2025-12-02T18:37:40.827Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39342/number-of-new-political-prisoners-in-belarus-in-september-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:49.243Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39343/spirit-airlines-emerge-from-bankruptcy-before-2026/ 2026-08-05T06:48:18.697Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39344/what-percentage-of-the-project-2025-tracker-will-be-complete-on-october-1-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:28.857Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39636/big-brother-27-winner/ 2026-08-05T06:48:19.243Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/dorsalheart/39637/first-eu-cultivated-meat-approval-by-when/ 2026-07-19T21:34:47.925Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39699/will-china-and-india-ratify-a-bilateral-treaty-before-2029/ 2026-09-08T04:21:34.654Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39700/french-pms-grouping-on-december-31-2025/ 2026-01-07T03:22:25.618Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/39703/now-open-the-fall-ai-benchmark-minibench/ 2025-12-02T18:37:45.317Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39706/us-government-stock-in-semiconductor-companies-in-2025/ 2026-01-06T01:05:11.485Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39709/2029-south-african-general-election-results/ 2025-12-02T18:38:05.660Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39710/what-will-afds-vote-share-be-in-the-2025-north-rhine-westphalia-local-election/ 2025-12-02T18:37:56.009Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39711/lisa-cook-not-a-member-of-the-federal-reserve-board-before-nov-3-2026/ 2026-09-25T17:46:37.932Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39712/south-africa-removed-from-fatf-grey-list-in-fall-2025/ 2025-12-02T18:37:41.793Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43344/will-a-2026-world-cup-match-be-delayed-due-to-heat/ 2026-07-19T22:16:37.647Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43345/2026-colombian-presidential-election-winner/ 2026-06-22T14:00:36.746Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43347/how-many-gold-medals-for-australia-at-2026-commonwealth-games/ 2026-08-07T04:47:24.532Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43351/beyond-good-and-evil-2-when/ 2026-07-19T21:31:20.708Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43353/eu-chemicals-plastics-50-bio-based-pre-2034/ 2026-09-23T10:04:44.479Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43354/which-approach-will-first-mass-produce-three-commodity-chemicals/ 2026-07-19T21:31:20.711Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43355/us-vs-iran-fifa-world-cup-2026/ 2026-06-28T15:21:47.314Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43356/calibration-adjustment-analysis/ 2026-05-01T22:41:58.815Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43359/metaculus-cup-summer-2026-with-dylan-matthews/ 2026-06-01T21:44:45.954Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43360/uk-threat-level-reduce-from-severe-before-sept-2026/ 2026-09-02T10:02:10.986Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43362/automated-forecast-prompting-pt-2/ 2026-07-23T16:46:25.397Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43363/ai-forecasting-in-2026/ 2026-09-10T05:32:24.785Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43364/will-the-who-announce-a-non-h5n1-pandemic-before-2040/ 2026-08-17T06:59:46.752Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43367/community-beats-dylan-matthews-in-summer-2026-cup/ 2026-09-05T00:50:38.344Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43368/major-atlantic-hurricanes-before-sept-26/ 2026-09-03T12:16:54.546Z https://www.metaculus.com/c/Sudan/43431/rsf-captures-el-obeid-by-date/ 2026-09-18T03:36:20.258Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43435/will-pope-leo-xiv-visit-another-country-before-sept-2026/ 2026-08-23T20:00:15.689Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43684/which-scotus-justices-will-side-with-monsanto-in-monsanto-co-v-durnell/ 2026-06-25T17:46:46.341Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43685/which-justice-will-write-the-majority-opinion-in-monsanto-v-durnell/ 2026-06-25T17:56:32.723Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43686/bayer-single-day-stock-price-move-following-monsanto-scotus-decision/ 2026-06-29T19:53:33.000Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43688/will-the-federal-reserve-raise-the-federal-funds-target-range-by-july-30-2026/ 2026-07-30T12:11:53.825Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43692/conditional-bayer-single-day-stock-price-move-following-monsanto-scotus-decision/ 2026-06-29T19:53:32.982Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43703/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-continental-usa-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-09T14:37:46.918Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43704/will-the-june-2026-u-of-mi-consumer-sentiment-be-than-it-was-for-may-2026/ 2026-06-16T13:42:14.317Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43705/what-will-be-the-avg-30-yr-fixed-rate-mortgage-for-the-week-ending-aug-27-2026/ 2026-08-31T14:14:17.377Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43706/will-trump-putin-speak-on-the-phone-with-each-other-before-august-1-2026/ 2026-07-08T09:38:37.338Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43707/will-the-peoples-republic-of-china-blockade-taiwan-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-01T13:45:37.080Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43708/will-starlinks-website-show-south-africa-having-starlink-by-sep-1-2026/ 2026-09-08T11:58:34.219Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43709/will-starlinks-website-show-india-as-having-starlink-available-before-sep-2026/ 2026-09-02T09:57:33.748Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43726/how-many-confirmed-cases-in-the-2026-ebola-outbreak/ 2026-09-22T08:20:55.216Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43727/what-will-total-enacted-us-foreign-aid-appropriations-be-for-fy2028/ 2026-09-24T18:14:11.296Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43824/nysearca-ils-two-day-loss-025-before-sep-2026/ 2026-09-02T10:28:35.133Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43829/time-between-the-factoring-of-the-1024-bit-and-2048-bit-rsa-challenge-numbers/ 2026-09-02T20:29:49.848Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43830/when-will-a-logical-qubit-with-error-rate-106-be-demonstrated/ 2026-09-02T20:29:44.275Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43831/when-will-cnot-be-demonstrated-with-error-106/ 2026-08-31T16:48:17.635Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43832/when-will-a-system-with-100-accurate-logical-qubits-be-demonstrated/ 2026-09-20T13:11:38.932Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43833/when-will-a-system-with-1000-highly-accurate-logical-qubits-be-demonstrated/ 2026-09-20T13:09:03.778Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43835/will-discovery-of-room-temperature-superconductor-use-quantum-computing/ 2026-09-20T13:09:57.642Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43838/announcing-the-metaculus-cup-spring-2026-winners/ 2026-06-24T12:26:34.872Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43839/will-paypals-proposed-bank-receive-fdic-approval-before-july-1-2027/ 2026-09-25T19:02:59.011Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43840/will-the-120th-congress-restore-enhanced-aca-credits/ 2026-09-24T17:48:31.123Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43841/will-openai-file-an-s-1-with-the-sec-to-launch-an-ipo-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-08T11:11:58.274Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43842/what-percentage-of-votes-will-be-for-yes-in-icelands-august-2026-eu-referendum/ 2026-08-30T15:08:12.694Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43844/hakainde-hichilema-receives-65-in-zambias-2026-presidential-election-round-1/ 2026-08-24T18:43:05.963Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43853/will-george-santos-be-arrested-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-08T20:06:43.403Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43855/2026-us-midterms-tracker/ 2026-06-11T14:35:52.615Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43865/will-the-us-senate-pass-an-iran-war-powers-resolution-before-august-1-2026/ 2026-08-01T15:05:02.039Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43869/how-many-screwworm-animal-cases-will-there-be-in-the-us-before-2026/ 2026-09-24T20:25:36.124Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43870/uk-parliament-approve-greenhouse-gas-emissions-target-by-2040/ 2026-07-08T09:34:52.272Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43881/will-zelenskyy-putin-meet-in-person-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-08T20:07:55.418Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43885/general-elections-in-spain-before-may-2027/ 2026-09-23T08:03:10.545Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43895/forecasting-tips-tricks-lessons-learned/ 2026-06-10T11:46:55.101Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43898/what-will-happen-in-the-russiaukraine-war-in-late-summer-2026/ 2026-09-03T20:38:26.158Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43899/will-prabowo-subianto-be-re-elected-in-2029/ 2026-09-05T01:01:55.079Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43900/bot-superiority-in-summer-2026-metaculus-cup/ 2026-09-08T13:34:35.619Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43910/what-wil-the-sulphur-price-be-in-q3-2026/ 2026-07-14T09:31:17.710Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43911/will-the-us-and-india-finalise-a-trade-agreement-before-aug-2026/ 2026-08-05T06:48:17.142Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43912/will-a-cjp-protest-gather-20k-participants-before-2027/ 2026-09-24T20:25:23.908Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43939/spacex-last-closing-price-at-end-of-august-2026/ 2026-09-01T06:08:51.363Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43941/will-bass-be-reelected-la-mayor-in-2026/ 2026-09-24T20:25:02.632Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43942/which-partys-candidate-will-win-the-2026-saalekreis-landrat-election/ 2026-06-30T02:27:59.793Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43978/forecasting-the-future-of-animals-3400-in-prizes/ 2026-09-01T12:10:04.154Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/43979/frontiers-in-disease-prevention-findings/ 2026-06-19T20:12:11.060Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43980/us-district-judge-e-ross-leave-office-before-2027/ 2026-09-24T20:24:52.037Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43984/will-the-liberal-party-nominate-flavio-bolsonaro-before-august-15-2026/ 2026-07-27T14:58:55.332Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43985/before-september-1-2026-will-erdogan-be-permitted-to-run-for-another-term/ 2026-09-08T13:25:59.444Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43986/will-ukraine-announce-a-presidential-election-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-02T10:21:23.717Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43987/will-the-us-withdraw-from-usmca-before-september-2026/ 2026-09-04T18:41:03.308Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43991/on-july-8-2026-will-marine-le-pen-be-ineligible-to-run-in-2027/ 2026-07-09T13:19:07.478Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43992/will-copernicus-report-july-2026-as-the-warmest-july-on-record/ 2026-08-10T15:23:34.047Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43993/will-donald-trumps-name-be-removed-from-the-kennedy-center-before-july-1-2026/ 2026-06-13T17:55:55.634Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44041/when-will-ai-research-and-development-be-fully-automated/ 2026-09-23T08:14:29.971Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44115/ags-on-cdc-nndss-list-before-jan-3-2029/ 2026-09-10T01:01:52.014Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44117/will-mcdonald-be-sworn-in-as-sdny-us-attorney-before-aug-22-2026/ 2026-08-05T06:48:17.108Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44151/what-will-be-the-access-of-claude-fablemythos-on-sept-1-2026/ 2026-09-17T11:40:05.297Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44153/will-qatarenergy-restore-full-lng-production-capacity-before-2027/ 2026-09-24T20:24:40.908Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44156/what-will-dems-lead-be-in-the-congressional-generic-ballot-on-july-14-2026/ 2026-07-16T13:12:04.152Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44157/what-will-be-donald-trumps-approval-rating-on-july-14-2026/ 2026-07-16T00:50:07.102Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44159/when-will-claude-fable-5-next-be-publicly-accessible/ 2026-07-08T12:38:10.647Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44160/how-many-active-us-drilling-rigs-will-there-be-for-the-week-of-july-31-2026/ 2026-08-15T08:49:47.053Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44163/spacex-make-acquisition-at-100b-before-2028/ 2026-09-24T17:13:57.534Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44165/how-many-foreign-visitors-will-fly-to-the-united-states-in-july-2026/ 2026-08-14T21:24:47.957Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44166/how-many-mj-songs-will-be-on-spotify-top-30-at-the-end-of-july/ 2026-08-01T14:45:52.197Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/44167/occupation-forecast-pages/ 2026-07-20T02:00:46.986Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44168/what-will-be-the-highest-stock-price-of-spacex-in-july-2026/ 2026-08-02T09:07:10.435Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/44169/next-spot-scoring-date-for-the-us-democracy-threat-index-july-15/ 2026-07-15T23:53:11.380Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/44170/respiratory-outlook-june-update/ 2026-07-03T04:30:16.193Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44176/sp-500-close-atabove-8000-on-dec-31-2026/ 2026-09-24T20:24:21.832Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44182/10k-texas-heatwave-deaths-in-a-week-before-2032/ 2026-07-01T15:38:39.728Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44188/will-frances-v-dem-liberal-democracy-index-fall-below-080-for-2026-or-2027/ 2026-09-25T10:56:47.941Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44190/will-polands-v-dem-liberal-democracy-index-fall-below-065-for-2027/ 2026-09-23T16:33:51.144Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44191/will-ai-dailys-ai-support-among-american-adults-turn-negative-before-2027/ 2026-09-25T19:23:08.459Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44192/us-rule-of-law-index-score-in-2028/ 2026-09-23T22:35:25.911Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44193/will-north-korea-conduct-a-nuclear-test-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-08T13:29:34.985Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44194/when-will-midjourney-open-its-first-public-spa/ 2026-07-24T06:32:00.321Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44229/first-round-votes-for-hichilema-in-zambias-2026-president-elections/ 2026-08-31T15:23:20.049Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44230/will-the-iaea-inspect-any-of-irans-3-major-nuclear-sites-by-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-09T14:32:03.594Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44236/will-ukranian-attack-cause-a-30-day-shutdown-of-a-russian-oil-refinery-by-2027/ 2026-09-25T17:14:47.149Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44237/will-a-new-oil-or-gas-pipeline-bypassing-hormuz-become-operational-before-2031/ 2026-09-22T15:58:10.353Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44239/will-elon-musk-be-a-trillionaire-on-august-31-2026/ 2026-08-31T22:16:05.014Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44240/will-the-21st-century-road-to-housing-act-become-law-before-july-4-2026/ 2026-07-06T09:53:16.702Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44241/will-the-reflecting-pool-be-repaired-before-september-2026/ 2026-09-04T18:38:03.720Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44244/will-another-company-get-dropped-from-the-dow-in-july-or-august-2026/ 2026-09-04T18:55:36.110Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44245/what-will-be-the-highest-of-pla-aircraft-in-taiwans-adiz-in-july-aug-2026/ 2026-09-09T15:13:55.487Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44247/will-virgin-galactic-have-a-going-concern-statement-in-its-10-q-for-q2-2026/ 2026-08-17T13:50:52.965Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44248/number-of-texas-heat-deaths-in-one-week-before-2032/ 2026-08-24T01:11:05.022Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44249/what-will-adjacent-red-and-blue-political-index-values-be-at-the-2026-midterms/ 2026-09-25T09:05:45.355Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44250/when-will-who-announce-the-end-of-the-2026-ebola-pheic/ 2026-09-22T08:23:37.549Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44358/will-lebanons-army-deploy-to-southern-buffer-zones-before-sept-2026/ 2026-08-05T06:48:17.127Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44362/who-will-be-the-largest-republican-donor-in-the-2026-cycle-as-of-aug-1-2026/ 2026-08-01T14:07:11.688Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44363/will-soros-lead-wapos-dem-donor-list-by-3x-on-aug-1-2026/ 2026-08-01T13:31:35.022Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44364/sec-semiannual-reporting-rule-before-2027/ 2026-09-25T17:14:48.402Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44395/will-any-supreme-court-justice-announce-their-retirement-by-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-08T20:09:03.211Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44404/when-will-precise-nanomanufacturing-reach-a-rate-of-1-atom-per-second/ 2026-08-14T14:46:55.982Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44405/will-chinese-regulators-remove-love-and-deepspace-before-july-1-2027/ 2026-09-23T08:09:48.405Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44406/will-vladimir-putin-visit-iran-before-september-1-2026/ 2026-09-01T13:58:10.232Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44412/what-will-be-the-nonfarm-payroll-numbers-for-july-2026/ 2026-08-15T08:47:47.066Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44413/will-the-fao-food-price-index-reach-a-new-yearly-high-for-july-2026/ 2026-08-11T00:38:15.912Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44414/will-a-tucker-carlson-founded-party-file-fec-form-1-before-september-2026/ 2026-09-08T20:19:43.120Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44416/us-has-highest-gdp-in-2100/ 2026-09-21T01:02:09.115Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44417/next-non-earthmars-planet-that-humans-reach/ 2026-09-06T02:12:18.252Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44419/account-with-1b-followers-before-2031/ 2026-09-21T01:02:07.108Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44420/will-land-transportation-exceed-mach-09-before-2100/ 2026-09-21T01:02:05.040Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44421/pandemic-from-these-countries-before-2100/ 2026-09-01T08:45:03.473Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44423/will-ai-safety-legislation-be-enacted-in-2027-2028/ 2026-09-24T17:30:31.464Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44428/when-will-these-countries-in-africa-legalize-same-sex-marriage/ 2026-08-15T08:43:53.227Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44429/will-4chanorg-permanently-cease-clearnet-operations-before-january-1-2030/ 2026-09-21T01:02:03.744Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44434/what-will-be-the-fastest-mlb-pitch-before-2051/ 2026-09-24T17:47:50.018Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44436/spacex-openai-anthropic-peak-valuations-before-2041/ 2026-07-15T12:46:01.611Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44437/will-eu-ever-contain-all-european-countries/ 2026-09-25T01:01:52.273Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44439/will-the-us-share-of-major-arms-exports-decline-by-15-between-2024-and-2030/ 2026-09-25T01:01:50.157Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44441/will-a-new-commonly-accepted-axiom-be-added-to-zfc-before-2050/ 2026-09-25T01:01:48.808Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44442/when-will-these-sports-become-olympic-sports/ 2026-08-05T14:00:26.043Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44444/when-will-nuclear-fusion-create-more-global-electricity-generation-than-fission/ 2026-08-08T23:02:37.710Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44447/who-will-win-the-2026-taipei-mayoral-election/ 2026-09-24T20:22:45.098Z 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https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44528/how-much-will-nq-exceed-es-in-q3-2026/ 2026-09-21T03:00:01.394Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44529/will-argentinas-economy-grow-at-35-or-faster-in-2026/ 2026-09-25T01:01:45.286Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44530/what-will-the-value-of-hy-oas-be-for-these-periods-of-q3-2026/ 2026-09-22T13:06:22.119Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44531/what-will-the-value-of-ust-10y-be-in-these-q3-2026-periods/ 2026-09-22T18:04:22.427Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44532/price-change-of-sp-500-from-close-of-aug-26-2026-to-open-on-aug-31-2026/ 2026-08-31T15:33:22.096Z https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/44533/the-market-pulse-challenge-26q3-is-live/ 2026-09-19T00:46:56.998Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44534/what-will-the-vix-maximum-be-in-these-q3-2026-periods/ 2026-09-21T03:00:01.270Z https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44535/how-much-will-nvda-exceed-aapl-in-q3-2026/ 2026-09-22T18:04:19.309Z 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