Tournaments
Help the global community model, understand, and navigate the worldβs most important and complex challenges.
Prove your forecasting abilities, support effective policy and decision-making, and win cash prizes.
Learn how tournaments are scored.
Reach out to discuss launching a tournament on whatβs important to you.
Active Tournaments
Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect
$2,500 prize pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Closes Jul 2, 2026
30 Questions
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
$2,500 prize pool
Closes Feb 1, 2025
37 Questions
Chinese AI Chips
Closes Jan 2, 2033
26 Questions
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Closes Jul 1, 2025
31 Questions
Climate Tipping Points
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Mar 1, 2027
43 Questions
π° The Sagan Space Tournament π°
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Jan 5, 2031
37 Questions
Forecasting Our World in Data
$20,000 prize pool
Closes May 1, 2027
32 Questions
Cultured Meat Tournament
Closes Dec 31, 2050
5 Questions
Question Series
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
11 Questions
Forecast With GiveWell
12 Questions
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
$30,000 prize pool
441 Questions
π½Forecast the State of the Union π½
17 Questions
Situational Awareness
2 Questions
2024 Electoral Consequences
37 Questions
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
10 Questions
Five Years After AGI
33 Questions
Synthetic Biology at Scale
24 Questions
2024 International Elections Hub
23 Questions
The Taiwan Tinderbox
53 Questions
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
8 Questions
