Tournaments
Help the global community model, understand, and navigate the worldβs most important and complex challenges.
Prove your forecasting abilities, support effective policy and decision-making, and win cash prizes.
Learn how tournaments are scored.
Reach out to discuss launching a tournament on whatβs important to you.
Active Tournaments


Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect
$2,500 prize pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025


π Quarterly Cup π
Closes Jan 8, 2025
52 Questions


Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Closes Jul 2, 2026
30 Questions


ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
$2,500 prize pool
Closes Feb 1, 2025
37 Questions


Chinese AI Chips
Closes Jan 2, 2033
26 Questions


Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Closes Jul 1, 2025
31 Questions


Climate Tipping Points
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Mar 1, 2027
43 Questions


π° The Sagan Space Tournament π°
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Jan 5, 2031
37 Questions


Forecasting Our World in Data
$20,000 prize pool
Closes May 1, 2027
32 Questions


Cultured Meat Tournament
Closes Dec 31, 2050
5 Questions
Question Series


Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
11 Questions


Forecast With GiveWell
12 Questions


Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
$30,000 prize pool
441 Questions


π½Forecast the State of the Union π½
17 Questions


The City of Gulf Breeze, Florida
2 Questions


University of West Florida
2 Questions


Situational Awareness
2 Questions


2024 Electoral Consequences
37 Questions


Conditional Trees: AI Risk
10 Questions


Five Years After AGI
33 Questions


Zvi's Community
1 Question


Synthetic Biology at Scale
24 Questions



