Tournaments
Help the global community model, understand, and navigate the worldβs most important and complex challenges.
Prove your forecasting abilities, support effective policy and decision-making, and win cash prizes.
Learn how tournaments are scored.
Reach out to discuss launching a tournament on whatβs important to you.
Active Tournaments


Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
$25,000 prize pool
Closes Apr 1, 2025
50 Questions


Bright Line Watch
$2,500 prize pool
Closes Jan 1, 2026


Brazil Prediction Tournament - 1st Quarter
$1,500 prize pool
Closes Mar 31, 2025
18 Questions


π Quarterly Cup π
Closes Apr 7, 2025
21 Questions


ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
$10,000 prize pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025
34 Questions


Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect
$2,500 prize pool
Closes Dec 31, 2025


Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
Closes Jul 2, 2026
86 Questions


Chinese AI Chips
Closes Jan 2, 2033
58 Questions


Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Closes Jul 1, 2025
82 Questions


Climate Tipping Points
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Mar 1, 2027
104 Questions


π° The Sagan Space Tournament π°
$5,000 prize pool
Closes Jan 5, 2031
68 Questions


Forecasting Our World in Data
$20,000 prize pool
Closes May 1, 2027
150 Questions
Question Series


AGI Readiness Index
7 Questions


Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
$30,000 prize pool
168 Questions


Forecast With GiveWell
13 Questions


π½Forecast the State of the Union π½
32 Questions


Situational Awareness
7 Questions


2024 Electoral Consequences
37 Questions


Conditional Trees: AI Risk
13 Questions


Five Years After AGI
31 Questions


Synthetic Biology at Scale
32 Questions


2024 International Elections Hub
22 Questions


The Taiwan Tinderbox
80 Questions


Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
12 Questions