We shared this request example with FAB participants: url_qparams = { "limit": count, "offset": offset, "has_group": "false", "order_by": "-activity", "forecast_type": "binary", "project": tournament_id, "status": "open", "type": "forecast", "include_description": "true", } url = f"{api_info.base_url}/questions/" response = requests.get( url, headers={"Authorization": f"Token {api_info.token}"}, params=url_qparams )

But we don't want to support all these parameters, and the ones relevant are: - order_by - status - project - forecast_type - we ignore this, but assume it's binary - FAB only supports binary for now.

GET /api2/questions/?format=api&offset=1100
HTTP 200 OK
Allow: OPTIONS, GET
Content-Type: application/json
Vary: Accept

{
    "count": 6302,
    "next": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=1120",
    "previous": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=1080",
    "results": [
        {
            "id": 37050,
            "title": "Will any of these companies get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before July 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-any-of-these-companies-get-dropped-from-the-dow-jones-industrial-average-before-july-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:42.156674Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-25T00:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:46.905531Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 68,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-25T02:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-25T02:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-07-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-07-02T16:58:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-25T00:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 65,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36445,
                "title": "Will any of these companies get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before July 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:42.156674Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-25T00:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-25T02:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-25T02:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-07-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-07-02T16:58:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-07-02T17:26:38.645756Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-25T02:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-25T02:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "Oregon Business: [Intel Ousted From Dow Jones By Rival Nvidia](https://oregonbusiness.com/intel-ousted-from-dow-jones-by-rival-nvidia/)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if before July 1, 2025, there is any official announcement or confirmation (or credible source reporting) that any of the following companies will no longer be a component of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) either on the official announcement or that the company has been or will be removed from the index: Amazon.com Inc, American Express Co, Amgen Inc, Apple Inc, Boeing Co, Caterpillar Inc, Cisco Systems Inc, Chevron Corp, Goldman Sachs Group Inc, Home Depot Inc, Honeywell International Inc, International Business Machines Corp, Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola Co, JPMorgan Chase & Co, McDonald’s Corp, 3M Co, Merck & Co Inc, Microsoft Corp, Nike Inc, Procter & Gamble Co, Sherwin-Williams Co, Travelers Companies Inc, Unitedhealth Group Inc, Salesforce Inc, NVIDIA Corp, Verizon Communications Inc, Visa Inc, Walmart Inc, Walt Disney Co.",
                "fine_print": "Although removals from the index are generally effective immediately in order to forestall frontrunning, this is not a requirement for this question. All that is required is for there to be an announcement or confirmation before the resolution date about the removal from the DJIA at any point in time. Therefore this question will resolve based on the announcement or confirmation, not on the actual removal date.",
                "post_id": 37050,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745546319.055155,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 65,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.15
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.15
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.2
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745546319.055155,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 65,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.15
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.15
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.2
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.85,
                                0.15
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.18756748953405156
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2590612456487332,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.07539365390346586,
                                    0.002949293081317581,
                                    0.5241070816719129,
                                    0.9029690104676567,
                                    0.2992119338252941,
                                    1.229024859815457,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.051651386754525144,
                                    4.876909306348353,
                                    0.48978511741558245,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.02696976061922206,
                                    0.0,
                                    3.632224462025396,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9537730792755885,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.20922119798258682,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.021936199508452464,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4269214684219575,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.003650949509915334,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6398735870102283,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.004442640210629016,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 73.68538512901338,
                            "peer_score": 5.085269717864539,
                            "coverage": 0.9824719865123431,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9824719865123431,
                            "spot_peer_score": 6.999373817186856,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 76.55347463629771,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 73.68538512901338,
                            "peer_archived_score": 5.085269717864539,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 6.999373817186856,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 76.55347463629771
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 66,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "Oregon Business: [Intel Ousted From Dow Jones By Rival Nvidia](https://oregonbusiness.com/intel-ousted-from-dow-jones-by-rival-nvidia/)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37041,
            "title": "Will any North American country be listed as having a CDC yellow fever travel advisory on June 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-any-north-american-country-be-listed-as-having-a-cdc-yellow-fever-travel-advisory-on-june-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.898275Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:59.250132Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 73,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T08:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T08:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T14:28:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 68,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36436,
                "title": "Will any North American country be listed as having a CDC yellow fever travel advisory on June 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.898275Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-24T08:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-24T08:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T14:28:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-02T15:12:41.666353Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T08:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T08:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "[PAHO issues new epidemiological alert amid rising yellow fever cases in the Americas](https://www.paho.org/en/news/31-3-2025-paho-issues-new-epidemiological-alert-amid-rising-yellow-fever-cases-americas)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if a country in North America is listed as having a travel advisory by the Centers for Disease Control at its [Travel Health Notices](https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices) page when checked by Metaculus on or after June 1, 2025.",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37041,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745479105.657361,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 68,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.05
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.07
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.15
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745479105.657361,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 68,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.05
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.07
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.15
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.9299999999999999,
                                0.07
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.09185089348774947
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.038921392209996956,
                                    0.6547829312574702,
                                    1.7385709437744157,
                                    4.209545925522184,
                                    0.46631380150936536,
                                    0.8667187306690576,
                                    0.09563895485537868,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.261533914561088,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.31076070342189754,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.9951710224334858,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0809111825353144,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.12655447452344162,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.13960815440730656,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.00837830513533033,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.002453736599219762,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0019377820149315656,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 83.85550262891287,
                            "peer_score": 6.1884938745635365,
                            "coverage": 0.9869573848446209,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9869573848446209,
                            "spot_peer_score": 8.690362576242308,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 89.53026213333065,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 83.85550262891287,
                            "peer_archived_score": 6.1884938745635365,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 8.690362576242308,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 89.53026213333065
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 71,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "[PAHO issues new epidemiological alert amid rising yellow fever cases in the Americas](https://www.paho.org/en/news/31-3-2025-paho-issues-new-epidemiological-alert-amid-rising-yellow-fever-cases-americas)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37040,
            "title": "Will Alassane Ouattara declare his candidacy for president of Ivory Coast (Côte d’Ivoire) before July 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-alassane-ouattara-declare-his-candidacy-for-president-of-ivory-coast-cote-divoire-before-july-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.893615Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:52.934632Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 72,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-25T22:51:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 68,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36435,
                "title": "Will Alassane Ouattara declare his candidacy for president of Ivory Coast (Côte d’Ivoire) before July 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.893615Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-25T22:51:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-04-25T22:52:23.730278Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "annulled",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "Africa Center for Strategic Studies: [Côte d’Ivoire: Efforts to Forge Resiliency Face Stiff Test](https://africacenter.org/spotlight/2025-elections/cotedivoire/)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Alassane Ouattara declares his candidacy for the [2025 Ivorian presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Ivorian_presidential_election), according to credible sources, before June 1, 2025.",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37040,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745471902.845425,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 68,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.3
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.35
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.65
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745471902.845425,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 68,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.3
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.65
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.65,
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.46526187511235884
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6466425724863939,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2875923504881499,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6150211540505407,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.46631380150936536,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.1395717223407553,
                                    0.7342121069681415,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9409563951022198,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.7742186425043744,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0019377820149315656,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.2632867891397124,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.19929648861183932,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3830175669180985,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6063823454264274,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.48791837727315845,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8319744872976708,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3759005437694093,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7312090824117147,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.13051328105869534,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9926441781674937,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.389192287890791,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {},
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 71,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "Africa Center for Strategic Studies: [Côte d’Ivoire: Efforts to Forge Resiliency Face Stiff Test](https://africacenter.org/spotlight/2025-elections/cotedivoire/)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37039,
            "title": "Will the US government's harmonized tariff schedule list the tariff on Switzerland as 31% on June 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-the-us-governments-harmonized-tariff-schedule-list-the-tariff-on-switzerland-as-31-on-june-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.888763Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:23.937922Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 73,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T20:42:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 68,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36434,
                "title": "Will the US government's harmonized tariff schedule list the tariff on Switzerland as 31% on June 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.888763Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T20:42:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-01T20:46:31Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T04:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 0.9,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "New York Times: [Swiss Indignant to Make the Top 10 of Trump’s Tariffs List](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/04/business/trump-tariffs-switzerland.html)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the duty provided in the applicable subheading is + 31% for Switzerland at the American government's [harmonized tariff schedule](https://hts.usitc.gov/search?query=switzerland) when accessed by Metaculus on or after June 1, 2025.",
                "fine_print": "Whether the provision is listed as suspended will not affect resolution.\r\n\r\nPlease note that this question is asking whether the cell in the 'RATES OF DUTY' column '1, General' appearing alongside subheading 9903.01.60 on the Harmonized Tariff Schedule indicates an additional ad valorem duty rate of 31% for articles the product of Switzerland, regardless of any specificities noted in the 'Article Description' column.",
                "post_id": 37039,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745465541.61594,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 68,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.25
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.75
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.85
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745465541.61594,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 68,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.25
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.75
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.85
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.25,
                                0.75
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.6029040457343485
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0044369675217058565,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6796910692298141,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4291940014215206,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.08934416393676485,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.484910817691358,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4147182142890473,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0019377820149315656,
                                    0.6063823454264274,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2565053516659733,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.003696163311486092,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0014822998514409601,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.1351711868856007,
                                    0.2875923504881499,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0061954904951238765,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.1711062530076502,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2148087205439604,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.38056383031887875,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.2772596867811319,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.005267437638703229,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.36483909569065315,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.23072723830551,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.1526633470729453,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.9552747751180481,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.264103449706906,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8319744872976708,
                                    0.7468767286638143,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0010787010546677964,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 11.955346307729481,
                            "peer_score": 25.530034223820294,
                            "coverage": 0.9829621357056831,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9829621357056831,
                            "spot_peer_score": 56.739691584329975,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 58.496250072115615,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 11.955346307729481,
                            "peer_archived_score": 25.530034223820294,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 56.739691584329975,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 58.496250072115615
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 72,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "New York Times: [Swiss Indignant to Make the Top 10 of Trump’s Tariffs List](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/04/business/trump-tariffs-switzerland.html)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37038,
            "title": "Will the US government's harmonized tariff schedule list the tariff on Israel as 17% on June 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-the-us-governments-harmonized-tariff-schedule-list-the-tariff-on-israel-as-17-on-june-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.883772Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:00.325014Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 69,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T15:38:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 65,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36433,
                "title": "Will the US government's harmonized tarifff schedule list the tariff on Israel as 17% on June 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.883772Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T15:38:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-02T15:39:13.159172Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T02:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 0.9,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "Times of Israel: [Israeli exports to US will take annual $2.3B hit under tariffs, industrial org warns](https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-exports-to-us-will-take-2-3-billion-hit-under-tariffs-industrialist-org-warns/)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the duty provided in the applicable subheading is + 17% for Israel at the American government's [harmonized tariff schedule](https://hts.usitc.gov/search?query=israel) when accessed by Metaculus on or after June 1, 2025.",
                "fine_print": "Whether the provision is listed as suspended will not affect resolution.",
                "post_id": 37038,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745459922.774247,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 65,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.15
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.24
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.7221715454545453
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745459922.774247,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 65,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.15
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.24
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.7221715454545453
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.76,
                                0.24
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.3683959067637922
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4612478187546462,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.038142496490550196,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6834570285394909,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.0907482594767166,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0017816650318877032,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.209583342905142,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8408650319903663,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.24249568741748595,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.22205743285900253,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.777238463870146,
                                    0.9081864334641658,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.09022908093720004,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.22112101256433978,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9396406647936779,
                                    0.5241070816719129,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0023291363431415532,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.05692018101548274,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.31965727784219583,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.22106630488403595,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.034621990412006656,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.48978511741558245,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4575768909511051,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5031635310239412,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.9723281389742238,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3217261638678274,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": -94.62680621211469,
                            "peer_score": -8.655623863519207,
                            "coverage": 0.9819290140271186,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9819290140271186,
                            "spot_peer_score": -19.47794924045057,
                            "spot_baseline_score": -105.88936890535685,
                            "baseline_archived_score": -94.62680621211469,
                            "peer_archived_score": -8.655623863519207,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": -19.47794924045057,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": -105.88936890535685
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 68,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "Times of Israel: [Israeli exports to US will take annual $2.3B hit under tariffs, industrial org warns](https://www.timesofisrael.com/israeli-exports-to-us-will-take-2-3-billion-hit-under-tariffs-industrialist-org-warns/)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37037,
            "title": "Will the US government's harmonized tariff schedule list the tariff on Lesotho as 50% on June 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-the-us-governments-harmonized-tariff-schedule-list-the-tariff-on-lesotho-as-50-on-june-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.767512Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:59.631828Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 73,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T14:18:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 66,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36432,
                "title": "Will the US government's harmonized tarifff schedule list the tariff on Lesotho as 50% on June 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.767512Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T14:18:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-02T14:19:09.072651Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-24T00:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 0.9,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "AP: [How tiny Lesotho ended up with the highest US tariffs in the world](https://apnews.com/article/lesotho-us-trump-tariffs-b337efa47290e889aa076cc9ede7bc9d)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the duty provided in the applicable subheading is + 50% for Lesotho at the American government's [harmonized tariff schedule](https://hts.usitc.gov/search?query=lesotho) when accessed by Metaculus on or after June 1, 2025.",
                "fine_print": "Whether the provision is listed as suspended will not affect resolution.",
                "post_id": 37037,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745451266.355513,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 66,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.3
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.75
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.85
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745451266.355513,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 66,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.3
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.75
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.85
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.25,
                                0.75
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.5891470320426457
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.829622524463969,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8833459156529938,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.208753764822917,
                                    0.6851813630265894,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9400890667571896,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0331246312893536,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4604416339427754,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.017853968622039706,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.3643226895273743,
                                    0.0775933119432191,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8799798332873597,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.5007385799172126,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2812858676324347,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.7317687929535224,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5269109968754253,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.601538163255021,
                                    1.3558852787053453,
                                    0.3743328230494786,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.000805507209830206,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 65.23250914968747,
                            "peer_score": 16.617438062156793,
                            "coverage": 0.9859474737445513,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9859474737445513,
                            "spot_peer_score": 18.030907820990382,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 58.496250072115615,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 65.23250914968747,
                            "peer_archived_score": 16.617438062156793,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 18.030907820990382,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 58.496250072115615
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 71,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "AP: [How tiny Lesotho ended up with the highest US tariffs in the world](https://apnews.com/article/lesotho-us-trump-tariffs-b337efa47290e889aa076cc9ede7bc9d)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37036,
            "title": "Will Dan Osborn announce his candidacy for US Senator from Nebraska before June 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-dan-osborn-announce-his-candidacy-for-us-senator-from-nebraska-before-june-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.762804Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:07.692661Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 71,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T18:01:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 67,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36431,
                "title": "Will Dan Osborn announce his candidacy for US Senator from Nebraska before June 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.762804Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T18:01:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-02T18:05:05.109251Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T22:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "Nebraska Examiner: [Nebraska’s Dan Osborn exploring midterm bid against U.S. Sen Pete Ricketts](https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2025/04/03/nebraskas-dan-osborn-exploring-midterm-bid-against-u-s-sen-pete-ricketts/)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Dan Osborn announces his candidacy for US Senator from Nebraska before June 1, 2025. If no such announcement has been made before that date, the question resolves as **No**.",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37036,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745444488.225932,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 67,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.35
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.4615093
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.6
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745444488.225932,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 67,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.4615093
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.6
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.5384907,
                                0.4615093
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.4895945963664152
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4044436408528118,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.30824604476582657,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.006584248247179228,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.24667021939463937,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8308111453462594,
                                    1.0,
                                    0.9862625315851455,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.625471257535654,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7699902727903148,
                                    0.6916924572645302,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.005287470160668363,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2844637239593917,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.19633866119102775,
                                    1.4218011240553294,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.37747527053912144,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.9198817525705305,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.1777942473109944,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.11233063839654482,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.4101045951037237,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.013401757476467992,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.08709201066508168,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": -6.450475321235891,
                            "peer_score": -3.3836469432416902,
                            "coverage": 0.9862239582008787,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9862239582008787,
                            "spot_peer_score": 7.82559170985368,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 10.699333404230755,
                            "baseline_archived_score": -6.450475321235891,
                            "peer_archived_score": -3.3836469432416902,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 7.82559170985368,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 10.699333404230755
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 70,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "Nebraska Examiner: [Nebraska’s Dan Osborn exploring midterm bid against U.S. Sen Pete Ricketts](https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2025/04/03/nebraskas-dan-osborn-exploring-midterm-bid-against-u-s-sen-pete-ricketts/)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37035,
            "title": "Will the CDC raise the Travel Health Notice status of Colombia to above level 3 before June 1, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-the-cdc-raise-the-travel-health-notice-status-of-colombia-to-above-level-3-before-june-1-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.758120Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:59.504705Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 71,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T18:01:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 67,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36430,
                "title": "Will the CDC raise the Travel Health Notice status of Colombia to above level 3 before June 1, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.758120Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T18:01:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-02T18:01:51.533239Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T20:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "[Colombia’s Economic Emergency As Yellow Fever Outbreak Threatens Tourism And Agricultural Exports](https://www.travelandtourworld.com/news/article/colombias-economic-emergency-as-yellow-fever-outbreak-threatens-tourism-and-agricultural-exports/) | CDC: [Travel Health Notices](https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the [Travel Health Notice status of Colombia](https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/destinations/traveler/none/colombia), which is \"Level 2 Practice Enhanced Precautions\" at the time of this question, is a level of greater than 2 when checked by Metaculus on or after June 1, 2025.",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37035,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745436622.03822,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 67,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.15
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.2
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.32
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745436622.03822,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 67,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.15
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.2
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.32
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.8,
                                0.2
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.24587469469219708
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3281498352869308,
                                    0.2844637239593917,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2274386918554213,
                                    0.4044436408528118,
                                    0.2118020448654148,
                                    0.6039843306575171,
                                    0.3520703225627485,
                                    3.1190152083583405,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.464162412839956,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.7101560214457763,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.008904031237728248,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9162967419847241,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0020593749349257107,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.4142521683699765,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.19633866119102775,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.9817626336908587,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.04548379970905117,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.940527522258481,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0015753119476699363,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.003928092025013086,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.659328499177478,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 65.48756442117633,
                            "peer_score": 10.918979558072603,
                            "coverage": 0.9852188631892205,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9852188631892205,
                            "spot_peer_score": 11.884637517948619,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 67.80719051126377,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 65.48756442117633,
                            "peer_archived_score": 10.918979558072603,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 11.884637517948619,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 67.80719051126377
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 70,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "[Colombia’s Economic Emergency As Yellow Fever Outbreak Threatens Tourism And Agricultural Exports](https://www.travelandtourworld.com/news/article/colombias-economic-emergency-as-yellow-fever-outbreak-threatens-tourism-and-agricultural-exports/) | CDC: [Travel Health Notices](https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37034,
            "title": "Will the number of active US drilling rigs be less than 583 for the week ending May 30, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-the-number-of-active-us-drilling-rigs-be-less-than-583-for-the-week-ending-may-30-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.753325Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:19.310165Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 69,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T17:55:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 65,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36429,
                "title": "Will the number of active US drilling rigs be less than 583 for the week ending May 30, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.753325Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T17:55:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-02T17:57:19.146513Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T18:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "SeekingAlpha: [U.S. rig count falls for third straight week, Baker Hughes says](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4430543-u-s-rig-count-falls-for-third-straight-week-baker-hughes-says)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the last count of active US drilling rigs for the week ending May 30, 2025, according to the [Baker Hughes North America Rig Count](https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/na-rig-count), is less than 583. Specifically, it will resolve based on the number listed as the United States Total for the most recent week in the May 30, 2025 North America Rig Count Report. This is the number of active drilling rigs and includes the total of those classified as gas, oil and miscellaneous, in every US location including inland waters, land and offshore.",
                "fine_print": "If no report dated May 30, 2025, is released before June 1, 2025, Eastern Time, Metaculus may resolve this question using the most recent report available dated between May 23, 2025, and June 1, 2025, inclusive. If no such report exists, this question will be annulled.",
                "post_id": 37034,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745428576.077417,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 65,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.55
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.6
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.65
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745428576.077417,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 65,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.55
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.6
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.65
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.4,
                                0.6
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.5873111223705146
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.37113480134217347,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.03081720770343554,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0012965554486791008,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.1545955725859287,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.41125231153725894,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0023291363431415532,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5845890119556345,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.558432930201215,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.08253825588130179,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2992119338252941,
                                    2.4432192029780326,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.09850035746144059,
                                    0.0,
                                    3.425486184111206,
                                    0.6831013776873005,
                                    0.7364146411824579,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0393700257812648,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6390239661988812,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.06876276127162699,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 28.30869936007063,
                            "peer_score": 8.856000847072256,
                            "coverage": 0.9850316390395163,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9850316390395163,
                            "spot_peer_score": 6.501501108440086,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 26.303440583379377,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 28.30869936007063,
                            "peer_archived_score": 8.856000847072256,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 6.501501108440086,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 26.303440583379377
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 68,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "SeekingAlpha: [U.S. rig count falls for third straight week, Baker Hughes says](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4430543-u-s-rig-count-falls-for-third-straight-week-baker-hughes-says)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37033,
            "title": "Will Zimbabwe, before June 1, 2025, make another payment to white farmers whose property was seized?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-zimbabwe-before-june-1-2025-make-another-payment-to-white-farmers-whose-property-was-seized",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.748179Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-23T14:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:59.800535Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 70,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T14:05:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-23T14:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 65,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36428,
                "title": "Will the Zimbabwe, before June 1, 2025, make another payment to white farmers whose property was seized?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.748179Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-23T14:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-06-01T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-06-02T14:05:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-06-02T14:08:56.432920Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-23T16:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "[Zimbabwe reaffirms commitment to land compensation to spur growth, debt sustainability](https://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2025/04/10/zimbabwe-reaffirms-commitment-to-land-compensation-to-spur-growth-debt-sustainability)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if, according to [credible sources](https://www.metaculus.com/faq/#definitions) the government of Zimbabwe after the launch of this question and before June 1, 2025 makes an additional payment to former farmers covered under the 2020 Global Compensation Deed.",
                "fine_print": "On April 9, 2025, Zimbabwe [was reported](https://nehandaradio.com/2025/04/09/zimbabwe-pays-us3-1m-to-former-white-farmers-as-part-of-land-compensation-deal/) to have made its first compensation payment, of USD $3.1 million. Additional such disbursements made after the launch of this question and before June 1, 2025 would count.",
                "post_id": 37033,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745421568.169497,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 65,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.25
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.33
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.5466666666666666
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745421568.169497,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 65,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.25
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.33
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.5466666666666666
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.6699999999999999,
                                0.33
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.3744385862934782
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5092498288537453,
                                    0.37113480134217347,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0008568413763270113,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3217261638678274,
                                    0.015157278973843901,
                                    0.7261334022472516,
                                    0.7224118428915302,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6831013776873005,
                                    1.2944801906682741,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5990421518185429,
                                    1.7276203676226392,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9396406647936779,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0872791799375439,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.6333531164139763,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0023291363431415532,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.457422476445143,
                                    0.11693021616061994,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.2974937224609864,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.6717755117422146,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.02464062427608051,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.16247035089338988,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2640453216481563,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0017816650318877032,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 42.640272397078824,
                            "peer_score": 16.513202759551373,
                            "coverage": 0.9852988919284609,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9852988919284609,
                            "spot_peer_score": 15.375078928356636,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 42.22330006830476,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 42.640272397078824,
                            "peer_archived_score": 16.513202759551373,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 15.375078928356636,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 42.22330006830476
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 68,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "[Zimbabwe reaffirms commitment to land compensation to spur growth, debt sustainability](https://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2025/04/10/zimbabwe-reaffirms-commitment-to-land-compensation-to-spur-growth-debt-sustainability)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37023,
            "title": "Will the May 2025 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for April 2025?",
            "short_title": "Will the May 2025 U of Mich Consumer Sentiment be > than it was for April 2025?",
            "url_title": "Will the May 2025 U of Mich Consumer Sentiment be > than it was for April 2025?",
            "slug": "will-the-may-2025-u-of-mich-consumer-sentiment-be-than-it-was-for-april-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.229015Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:21.015324Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 73,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T20:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T20:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-16T14:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-17T10:34:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 66,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36418,
                "title": "Will the May 2025 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for April 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.229015Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T20:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T20:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-16T14:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-17T10:34:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-17T10:38:39.879412Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T20:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T20:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "CNN: [US consumer sentiment plummets to second-lowest level on records going back to 1952](https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/11/economy/us-consumer-sentiment-april/index.html)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the University of Michigan's reported Index of Consumer Sentiment, expected to be located [here](http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/), is greater than 50.8 for May 2025. Less than or equal to that amount resolves the question as **No**.",
                "fine_print": "Preliminary results are sufficient to resolve the question. If there is any confusion about the number, Metaculus will resolve based on whatever number is posted at [this pdf](http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/files/tbcics.pdf) that is labelled as May 2025, including preliminary. For example, on April 11, 2025 the number displayed was 50.8 for April 2025 (P).",
                "post_id": 37023,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745351305.417755,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 66,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.25
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.35
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.4
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745351305.417755,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 66,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.25
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.4
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.65,
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.3299107496291719
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.400530700699965,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.13815210061415184,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8833459156529938,
                                    0.3249648018114994,
                                    1.8245973343412736,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.5151457763180534,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    3.8648809216442492,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.208753764822917,
                                    0.3488997690348788,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.955780113362235,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3743328230494786,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7949127371976848,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0,
                                    0.0021895956111741962,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.04003382141913891,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.04397920349508898,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.03226982664943769,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.000805507209830206,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 40.00357773320543,
                            "peer_score": 3.870727590574802,
                            "coverage": 0.9865802895691658,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9865802895691658,
                            "spot_peer_score": 0.7434555237601256,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 37.85116232537298,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 40.00357773320543,
                            "peer_archived_score": 3.870727590574802,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 0.7434555237601256,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 37.85116232537298
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 72,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "CNN: [US consumer sentiment plummets to second-lowest level on records going back to 1952](https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/11/economy/us-consumer-sentiment-april/index.html)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37022,
            "title": "Will Ukraine's government debt be at least 1.90 trillion UAH in March 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-ukraines-government-debt-be-at-least-190-trillion-uah-in-march-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.002038Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:07.839415Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 66,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-10T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-12T21:11:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 62,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36417,
                "title": "Will Ukraine's government debt be at least 1.90 trillion UAH in March 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:41.002038Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-10T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-12T21:11:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-12T21:14:55.600613Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T18:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "[Ukraine is one step away from stagflation. And here's why](https://en.iz.ru/en/1868046/2025-04-10/ukraine-one-step-away-stagflation-and-heres-why)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Ukraine's government debt is greater than or equal to 1.90 billion UAH Thousand (in other words, 1.90 trillion Ukrainian hryvnia for the month of March 2025, according to the number presented by [Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/ukraine/government-debt). Under 1.90 billion UAH Thousand resolves as **No**.",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37022,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745342221.879503,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 62,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.8209148999999998
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.9
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.97
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745342221.879503,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 62,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.8209148999999998
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.9
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.97
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.09999999999999998,
                                0.9
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.8654728024957797
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.38836694811145056,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.004407189337132444,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0021507104137025754,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.003560195227230837,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.014003379319251127,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5912368114370814,
                                    1.5430305825400392,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7231248136457471,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.09963482656708067,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.448009849128789,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8245956564854738,
                                    1.1015283463715895,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.980925640562515,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.48066753395180806,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.2329806478713907,
                                    0.05647213919671424,
                                    0.1961236648474275,
                                    0.02077493900944314,
                                    3.542187527136266
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": -260.78333502840997,
                            "peer_score": 53.067112836742325,
                            "coverage": 0.9829520873559845,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9829520873559845,
                            "spot_peer_score": 71.07262532588616,
                            "spot_baseline_score": -232.1928094887363,
                            "baseline_archived_score": -260.78333502840997,
                            "peer_archived_score": 53.067112836742325,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 71.07262532588616,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": -232.1928094887363
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 65,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "[Ukraine is one step away from stagflation. And here's why](https://en.iz.ru/en/1868046/2025-04-10/ukraine-one-step-away-stagflation-and-heres-why)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37021,
            "title": "Will Ukraine's inflation rate increase to at least 15.0% for April 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-ukraines-inflation-rate-increase-to-at-least-150-for-april-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.997373Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:23.078525Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 69,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-10T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-13T19:02:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 62,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36416,
                "title": "Will Ukraine's inflation rate increase to at least 15.0% for April 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.997373Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-10T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-13T19:02:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-13T19:03:10.961585Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T16:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "[Ukraine is one step away from stagflation. And here's why](https://en.iz.ru/en/1868046/2025-04-10/ukraine-one-step-away-stagflation-and-heres-why)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Ukraine's annualized inflation rate is greater than or equal to 15.0% for the month of April 2025, according to the number presented by [Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/ukraine/inflation-cpi). Under 15.0% resolves as **No**.",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37021,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745335291.888702,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 62,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.44399999999999995
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.6416666666666667
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.7
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745335291.888702,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 62,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.44399999999999995
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.6416666666666667
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.7
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.3583333333333333,
                                0.6416666666666667
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.569708527592116
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.026479956599866433,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.041436542674184174,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.36118923055942104,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.36212233125238075,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.10643725811374476,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.879817146123457,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.571028331865133,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5303705323378971,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0,
                                    0.3676380071275589,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8245956564854738,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0021507104137025754,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5521707312792997,
                                    0.5456564861030844,
                                    0.1535071897926381,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.24826285979550225,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.25498005390995043,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.48066753395180806,
                                    2.4695123914914885,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.1258978053369093,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.07558440864786083,
                                    0.5153518936135082,
                                    2.06978414496405,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6326680595244999,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.05647213919671424,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 31.24546419899267,
                            "peer_score": 33.67015482165593,
                            "coverage": 0.9839793712562983,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9839793712562983,
                            "spot_peer_score": 35.46456540701468,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 35.9895945086383,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 31.24546419899267,
                            "peer_archived_score": 33.67015482165593,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 35.46456540701468,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 35.9895945086383
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 68,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "[Ukraine is one step away from stagflation. And here's why](https://en.iz.ru/en/1868046/2025-04-10/ukraine-one-step-away-stagflation-and-heres-why)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37020,
            "title": "Will Post Malone win an award at the 60th Academy of Country Music Awards?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-post-malone-win-an-award-at-the-60th-academy-of-country-music-awards",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.992661Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:52.906885Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 67,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T14:10:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 63,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36415,
                "title": "Will Post Malone win an award at the 60th Academy of Country Music Awards?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.992661Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T14:10:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-09T14:12:06.982608Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T14:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "The awards are scheduled to be held on May 8, 2025. Malone has 4 nominations.",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Post Malone wins an award at the [60th Academy of Country Music Awards](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/60th_Academy_of_Country_Music_Awards).",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37020,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745329443.174691,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 63,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.35
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.4875
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.65
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745329443.174691,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 63,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.4875
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.65
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.5125,
                                0.4875
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.49098635937816765
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3645648957485751,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.006043168560687309,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.13249979905882817,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.04681977822030203,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7740582225217716,
                                    0.0,
                                    3.005867483278463,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7250745315089938,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7214616906393053,
                                    0.4205524304686736,
                                    0.0026392673132747033,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9144110305720341,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6351213730797269,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.07508911023960842,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8258953232607744,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.02302742398752256,
                                    0.27144266175998527,
                                    0.4837672471425741,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.33905283347288273,
                                    0.918791003481169,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.07791871383103789,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.6648661070317807,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0705082770464047,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8807299230690194,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 13.491523617187452,
                            "peer_score": 3.441917317759873,
                            "coverage": 0.9871078300144936,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9871078300144936,
                            "spot_peer_score": -1.8346776469818178,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 3.5623909730721217,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 13.491523617187452,
                            "peer_archived_score": 3.441917317759873,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": -1.8346776469818178,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 3.5623909730721217
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 67,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "The awards are scheduled to be held on May 8, 2025. Malone has 4 nominations."
        },
        {
            "id": 37019,
            "title": "Will Chris Stapleton win an award at the 60th Academy of Country Music Awards?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-chris-stapleton-win-an-award-at-the-60th-academy-of-country-music-awards",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.987825Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:07.688380Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 65,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T14:06:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 61,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36414,
                "title": "Will Chris Stapleton win an award at the 60th Academy of Country Music Awards?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.987825Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T14:06:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-09T14:06:39.877254Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T12:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "The awards are scheduled to be held on May 8, 2025. Stapleton has 5 nominations.",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Chris Stapleton wins an award at the [60th Academy of Country Music Awards](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/60th_Academy_of_Country_Music_Awards).",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37019,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745321427.850919,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 61,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.73
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.75
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.85
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745321427.850919,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 61,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.73
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.75
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.85
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.25,
                                0.75
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.7767957119114385
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.004697335090360764,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.002996681779674101,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.08847061033139408,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7026687561587782,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.30690560359573066,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.3098759495895886,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5885226963260081,
                                    0.8897204730725825,
                                    2.419549420022425,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9484619403905583,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.6402189560000633,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5725020737927151,
                                    0.5492799034882604,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.854455659604004,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.28570051944328617,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.11608931509631863,
                                    0.07323387050617254,
                                    0.6743195377416064,
                                    0.0016681565683498104,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.09700195938329419,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 61.700276474037516,
                            "peer_score": 1.4674164301975703,
                            "coverage": 0.9875929408272107,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9875929408272107,
                            "spot_peer_score": -1.3901916464194672,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 58.496250072115615,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 61.700276474037516,
                            "peer_archived_score": 1.4674164301975703,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": -1.3901916464194672,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 58.496250072115615
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 64,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "The awards are scheduled to be held on May 8, 2025. Stapleton has 5 nominations."
        },
        {
            "id": 37018,
            "title": "Will Kelsea Ballerini win an award at the 60th Academy of Country Music Awards?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-kelsea-ballerini-win-an-award-at-the-60th-academy-of-country-music-awards",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.982707Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T08:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:24.983695Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 45,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T14:10:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T08:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 41,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36413,
                "title": "Will Kelsea Ballerini win an award at the 60th Academy of Country Music Awards?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.982707Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T08:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-09T14:10:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-09T14:13:56.492635Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T10:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "The awards are scheduled to be held on May 8, 2025. Ballerini has 3 nominations.",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Kelsea Ballerini wins an award at the [60th Academy of Country Music Awards](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/60th_Academy_of_Country_Music_Awards).",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37018,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745314220.635019,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 41,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.33
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.38
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.44
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745314220.635019,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 41,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.33
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.38
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.44
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.62,
                                0.38
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.3919316911963686
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3613315105385659,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2991016446417691,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.1029927867117464,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3004563071674322,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3358380584080713,
                                    0.7876430811287041,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.7200990833484706,
                                    0.01223904243451124,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.104814932600922,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.433754662659498,
                                    0.6682290751014637,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.61443971782953,
                                    0.8831866410185989,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.019184847683859318,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4741317757842507,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.43822086120970344,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.03326916664747106,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7258864312822346,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 28.605145984878575,
                            "peer_score": 1.3565048080933706,
                            "coverage": 0.9856246127684911,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9856246127684911,
                            "spot_peer_score": 3.0184770136801475,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 31.034012061215048,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 28.605145984878575,
                            "peer_archived_score": 1.3565048080933706,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 3.0184770136801475,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 31.034012061215048
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 44,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "The awards are scheduled to be held on May 8, 2025. Ballerini has 3 nominations."
        },
        {
            "id": 37015,
            "title": "Will Han Duck-soo announce his candidacy for South Korean president before May 5, 2025?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-han-duck-soo-announce-his-candidacy-for-south-korean-president-before-may-5-2025",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.741460Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:54.423568Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 47,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T04:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T04:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-05T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-03T21:33:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 41,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36410,
                "title": "Will Han Duck-soo announce his candidacy for South Korean president before May 5, 2025?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.741460Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T04:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T04:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-05T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-03T21:33:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-03T21:42:41.323919Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T04:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T04:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "The Chosun Daily: [Support grows in PPP to draft Acting President Han for June election](https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10464554)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Han Duck-soo announces his candidacy for president of South Korea before May 5, 2025. If no such announcement has been made before that date, the question resolves as **No**.",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37015,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745293197.157137,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 41,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.2703140666666667
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.35
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.45
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745293197.157137,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 41,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.2703140666666667
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.45
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.65,
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.3567232472233253
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.004502492091281563,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0332691666474711,
                                    0.61443971782953,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.02802391257647418,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.01223904243451124,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.07645564478462041,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3961752312759704,
                                    0.3959024854751523,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7876430811287041,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0994330916743174,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8537419995997547,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.2208109604638455,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5748527150192452,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8479688824140589,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.18413557579487133,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3613315105385659,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5632568286190016,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.2606372878294265,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": -60.78976357985255,
                            "peer_score": 17.773521151416666,
                            "coverage": 0.9651039215260082,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9651039215260082,
                            "spot_peer_score": 15.726191745784229,
                            "spot_baseline_score": -51.45731728297583,
                            "baseline_archived_score": -60.78976357985255,
                            "peer_archived_score": 17.773521151416666,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 15.726191745784229,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": -51.45731728297583
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 1,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 46,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "The Chosun Daily: [Support grows in PPP to draft Acting President Han for June election](https://www.koreaherald.com/article/10464554)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37014,
            "title": "Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2025 Kent County Council election?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-reform-uk-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2025-kent-county-council-election",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.736730Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:58.545658Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 41,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-02T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-04T09:26:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 39,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36409,
                "title": "Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2025 Kent County Council election?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.736730Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-02T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-04T09:26:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-04T09:29:50.033591Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T02:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "yes",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "KentOnline: [Electoral Calculus poll predicts Reform UK will take control of Kent County Council](https://www.kentonline.co.uk/kent/news/poll-predicts-reform-uk-will-win-county-council-election-321848/)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if Reform UK controls the most seats following the [2025 Kent County Council election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Kent_County_Council_election)",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37014,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745287064.853294,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 39,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.15
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.35
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.55
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745287064.853294,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 39,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.15
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.55
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.65,
                                0.35
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.3430972345788068
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.508020419894716,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4232326753374705,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.014335762373467701,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.0487396458927973,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.46404561502386255,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0630748054579973,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.1673678764124465,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.23001530144886206,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.0701064893312755,
                                    0.28794148447432993,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4701466577355266,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.850240976340088,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.018152807974501476,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.2646631299949367,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7901231007495353,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.01096609333389573,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.31791269281136625,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": -85.05832768580119,
                            "peer_score": 6.930238318039789,
                            "coverage": 0.9850810479124386,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9850810479124386,
                            "spot_peer_score": 30.95079373115425,
                            "spot_baseline_score": -51.45731728297583,
                            "baseline_archived_score": -85.05832768580119,
                            "peer_archived_score": 6.930238318039789,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 30.95079373115425,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": -51.45731728297583
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 40,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "KentOnline: [Electoral Calculus poll predicts Reform UK will take control of Kent County Council](https://www.kentonline.co.uk/kent/news/poll-predicts-reform-uk-will-win-county-council-election-321848/)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37013,
            "title": "Will the Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2025 Cornwall Council election?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-the-liberal-democrats-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2025-cornwall-council-election",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.731671Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:50.038106Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 47,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-02T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-03T11:37:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 42,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36408,
                "title": "Will the Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2025 Cornwall Council election?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.731671Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-02T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-03T11:37:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-03T11:46:03.329746Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-22T00:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "Cornwall Live: [Cornwall Council elections 2025](https://www.cornwalllive.com/news/cornwall-news/cornwall-council-elections-2025-liberal-10099314)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the Liberal Democrats Party controls the most seats following the [2025 Cornwall Council election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Cornwall_Council_election)",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37013,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745278418.055058,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 42,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.25
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.3
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.55
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745278418.055058,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 42,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.25
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.3
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.55
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.7,
                                0.3
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.3576805119118289
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2511459123085843,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.2510492765156465,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.401327957992393,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5751837243174149,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.20561265148349345,
                                    0.9922958670579283,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2274691399399458,
                                    0.0,
                                    2.5872604533420964,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7899839106380127,
                                    0.30445314579120214,
                                    0.7128908605983271,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.08368122008485587,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.008663037296332391,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9038575064460865,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.4789409092720612,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.1675445699943534,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5221560426127164,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.006304276060674225,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": 44.61002052478346,
                            "peer_score": 8.531952249897792,
                            "coverage": 0.9877733677625656,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.9877733677625656,
                            "spot_peer_score": 11.076083843187151,
                            "spot_baseline_score": 48.542682717024164,
                            "baseline_archived_score": 44.61002052478346,
                            "peer_archived_score": 8.531952249897792,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 11.076083843187151,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": 48.542682717024164
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 46,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "Cornwall Live: [Cornwall Council elections 2025](https://www.cornwalllive.com/news/cornwall-news/cornwall-council-elections-2025-liberal-10099314)"
        },
        {
            "id": 37012,
            "title": "Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the 2025 West Northamptonshire Council election?",
            "short_title": "",
            "url_title": "",
            "slug": "will-the-conservative-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2025-west-northamptonshire-council-election",
            "author_id": 115975,
            "author_username": "johnnycaffeine",
            "coauthors": [],
            "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.489401Z",
            "published_at": "2025-04-21T20:00:00Z",
            "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:28:48.998741Z",
            "curation_status": "approved",
            "curation_status_updated_at": null,
            "comment_count": 46,
            "status": "resolved",
            "resolved": true,
            "actual_close_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
            "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-02T00:00:00Z",
            "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-03T11:37:00Z",
            "open_time": "2025-04-21T20:00:00Z",
            "nr_forecasters": 42,
            "html_metadata_json": null,
            "projects": {
                "tournament": [
                    {
                        "id": 32721,
                        "type": "tournament",
                        "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                        "slug": "aibq2",
                        "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                        "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                        "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                        "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                        "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                        "html_metadata_json": null,
                        "is_ongoing": false,
                        "user_permission": null,
                        "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                        "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                        "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                        "default_permission": "forecaster",
                        "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                        "is_current_content_translated": false,
                        "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                    }
                ],
                "default_project": {
                    "id": 32721,
                    "type": "tournament",
                    "name": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2",
                    "slug": "aibq2",
                    "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/aib-q2-banner.webp",
                    "prize_pool": "30000.00",
                    "start_date": "2025-04-21T01:38:25Z",
                    "close_date": "2025-07-24T00:00:00Z",
                    "forecasting_end_date": "2025-07-09T00:00:00Z",
                    "html_metadata_json": null,
                    "is_ongoing": false,
                    "user_permission": null,
                    "created_at": "2025-03-22T19:06:55.820092Z",
                    "edited_at": "2025-10-26T14:56:57.873572Z",
                    "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament",
                    "default_permission": "forecaster",
                    "visibility": "not_in_main_feed",
                    "is_current_content_translated": false,
                    "bot_leaderboard_status": "include"
                }
            },
            "question": {
                "id": 36407,
                "title": "Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the 2025 West Northamptonshire Council election?",
                "created_at": "2025-04-18T04:06:40.489401Z",
                "open_time": "2025-04-21T20:00:00Z",
                "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
                "spot_scoring_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
                "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-05-02T00:00:00Z",
                "actual_resolve_time": "2025-05-03T11:37:00Z",
                "resolution_set_time": "2025-05-03T11:41:59.293902Z",
                "scheduled_close_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
                "actual_close_time": "2025-04-21T22:00:00Z",
                "type": "binary",
                "options": null,
                "group_variable": "",
                "status": "resolved",
                "possibilities": null,
                "resolution": "no",
                "include_bots_in_aggregates": true,
                "question_weight": 1.0,
                "default_score_type": "peer",
                "default_aggregation_method": "recency_weighted",
                "label": "",
                "unit": "",
                "open_upper_bound": false,
                "open_lower_bound": false,
                "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                "scaling": {
                    "range_min": null,
                    "range_max": null,
                    "nominal_min": null,
                    "nominal_max": null,
                    "zero_point": null,
                    "open_upper_bound": false,
                    "open_lower_bound": false,
                    "inbound_outcome_count": null,
                    "continuous_range": null
                },
                "group_rank": null,
                "description": "BBC: [A guide to Northamptonshire's local elections 2025](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2g80vme52o)",
                "resolution_criteria": "This question resolves as **Yes** if the Conservative Party controls the most seats following the [2025 West Northamptonshire Council election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_West_Northamptonshire_Council_election)",
                "fine_print": "",
                "post_id": 37012,
                "aggregations": {
                    "recency_weighted": {
                        "history": [
                            {
                                "start_time": 1745271020.214159,
                                "end_time": null,
                                "forecaster_count": 42,
                                "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                    0.33
                                ],
                                "centers": [
                                    0.55
                                ],
                                "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                    0.65
                                ]
                            }
                        ],
                        "latest": {
                            "start_time": 1745271020.214159,
                            "end_time": null,
                            "forecaster_count": 42,
                            "interval_lower_bounds": [
                                0.33
                            ],
                            "centers": [
                                0.55
                            ],
                            "interval_upper_bounds": [
                                0.65
                            ],
                            "forecast_values": [
                                0.44999999999999996,
                                0.55
                            ],
                            "means": [
                                0.4948865632219305
                            ],
                            "histogram": [
                                [
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.5221560426127163,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.5685529016609817,
                                    0.4789409092720612,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8554006031583444,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.8361822034504688,
                                    0.2274691399399458,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.017752108957266952,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    1.1219359211735656,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.011325021621769293,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.7065713162743996,
                                    0.7899839106380127,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.567991630230697,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.3343470039728833,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9812075315320656,
                                    0.6716766914738247,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2511459123085843,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0206447022934318,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.30445314579120214,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.9253192545386865,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.2767645108512169,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0,
                                    0.0
                                ]
                            ]
                        },
                        "score_data": {
                            "baseline_score": -18.780607169236752,
                            "peer_score": 1.0891991351622843,
                            "coverage": 0.986330854859617,
                            "relative_legacy_score": 0.0,
                            "weighted_coverage": 0.986330854859617,
                            "spot_peer_score": 2.190883483969711,
                            "spot_baseline_score": -15.200309344505014,
                            "baseline_archived_score": -18.780607169236752,
                            "peer_archived_score": 1.0891991351622843,
                            "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0,
                            "spot_peer_archived_score": 2.190883483969711,
                            "spot_baseline_archived_score": -15.200309344505014
                        },
                        "movement": null
                    }
                }
            },
            "user_permission": "forecaster",
            "vote": {
                "score": 0,
                "user_vote": null
            },
            "forecasts_count": 45,
            "key_factors": [],
            "is_current_content_translated": false,
            "description": "BBC: [A guide to Northamptonshire's local elections 2025](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2g80vme52o)"
        }
    ]
}