Posts List Oldapi View
We shared this request example with FAB participants: url_qparams = { "limit": count, "offset": offset, "has_group": "false", "order_by": "-activity", "forecast_type": "binary", "project": tournament_id, "status": "open", "type": "forecast", "include_description": "true", } url = f"{api_info.base_url}/questions/" response = requests.get( url, headers={"Authorization": f"Token {api_info.token}"}, params=url_qparams )
But we don't want to support all these parameters, and the ones relevant are: - order_by - status - project - forecast_type - we ignore this, but assume it's binary - FAB only supports binary for now.
GET /api2/questions/?format=api&offset=140
{ "count": 5884, "next": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=160", "previous": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=120", "results": [ { "id": 39199, "title": "Is parity the final result in the August 23rd contest between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen?", "short_title": "Is parity the final result in the August 23rd contest between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen?", "url_title": "Is parity the final result in the August 23rd contest between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen?", "slug": "is-parity-the-final-result-in-the-august-23rd-contest-between-eintracht-frankfurt-and-werder-bremen", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:28.657535Z", "published_at": "2025-08-22T22:07:35Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:02.237173Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:29.129842Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-22T23:37:35Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-22T23:37:35Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-25T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:53Z", "open_time": "2025-08-22T22:07:35Z", "nr_forecasters": 51, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38541, "title": "Is parity the final result in the August 23rd contest between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:28.657967Z", "open_time": "2025-08-22T22:07:35Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-22T23:37:35Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-22T23:37:35Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-25T12:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:53Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:33.303110Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-22T23:37:35Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-22T23:37:35Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"3a6c8074-b350-4e8c-9788-a9cefad1c26e\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question pertains to the Bundesliga fixture featuring Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen, set to commence at 9:30AM ET on August 23. Should the match conclude with both teams having identical scores at the end of regulation, the answer will be 'Yes'. Any other outcome, where one side finishes with a higher tally than the other, will result in a 'No' response. In the event that the match is delayed, the question will remain unresolved until the fixture is played. If the event is called off and not rescheduled, the answer will default to 'Yes'.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39199, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1755905128.377736, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 51, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.28 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.30000000000000004 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1755905128.377736, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 51, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.28 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.30000000000000004 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.72, 0.28 ], "means": [ 0.3144901960784314 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 1.0, 3.0, 12.0, 1.0, 2.0, 8.0, 2.0, 8.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 3.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 49.76907488863541, "peer_score": 10.553596538201665, "coverage": 0.9452182735337151, "relative_legacy_score": 0.0021800098919473637, "weighted_coverage": 0.9452182735337151, "spot_peer_score": 12.697480449765905, "spot_baseline_score": 52.60688116675877, "baseline_archived_score": 49.76907488863541, "peer_archived_score": 10.553596538201665, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0021800098919473637, "spot_peer_archived_score": 12.697480449765905, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 52.60688116675877 }, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 54, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"3a6c8074-b350-4e8c-9788-a9cefad1c26e\"}}`" }, { "id": 39198, "title": "Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?", "short_title": "Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?", "url_title": "Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?", "slug": "will-goma-be-under-the-control-of-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-on-august-25-2025", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:27.763962Z", "published_at": "2025-08-22T17:49:55Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-06T10:13:22.654054Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:28.268291Z", "comment_count": 53, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-22T19:19:55Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-22T19:19:55Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-02T00:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-09-06T10:12:09Z", "open_time": "2025-08-22T17:49:55Z", "nr_forecasters": 50, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38540, "title": "Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:27.764365Z", "open_time": "2025-08-22T17:49:55Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-22T19:19:55Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-22T19:19:55Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-09-02T00:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-09-06T10:12:09Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-09-06T10:13:22.090503Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-22T19:19:55Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-22T19:19:55Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "annulled", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"24ec0e88-0bcb-4a7b-aabf-3bc671c5ec90\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "Resolution criteria: This question will resolve as **Yes** if credible sources report that the March 23 Movement rebels have withdrawn from Goma and the Democratic Republic of the Congo is in control of the city on August 25, 2025.\nFineprint: If there is any ambiguity, this question will resolve based upon control of Goma International Airport, specifically the coordinates of -1.6584, 29.2400 at 00:00 UTC on August 25, 2025.\nDescription: As of mid-June 2025, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda were in active conflict. The conflict stretches back to the [Rwandan genocide](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rwandan_genocide) of 1994, when over a million [Hutus](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hutu) fled from Rwanda to eastern DRC, including perpetrators of the genocide who continued cross-border attacks. Since then, Rwanda has [repeatedly intervened](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kivu_conflict) militarily in eastern DRC, ostensibly to pursue genocidal forces but also to exploit the region's vast mineral wealth. The strategic city of [Goma](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Goma), capital of North Kivu province, has been a focal point of these conflicts. Rwanda has consistently backed various rebel groups, most notably the [March 23 Movement](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_23_Movement) (M23), which claims to represent Tutsi interests but operates with significant Rwandan military support and has generated substantial revenue through [illegal mineral exports](https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/congo-rebel-gains-boost-illicit-mineral-trade-through-rwanda-analysts-say-2025-01-28/) via Rwanda.\n\nThe conflict [further escalated](https://www.dw.com/en/congo-violence-m23-raw-materials/a-71417304) in 2025, with M23 rebels [capturing Goma](https://africacenter.org/spotlight/risk-of-regional-conflict-following-fall-of-goma-and-m23-offensive-in-the-drc/) in late January, [displacing over 178,000 people](https://apnews.com/article/congo-rebels-m23-displaced-conflict-bdd3579ee7852722a2dbc5aa37c75d62), with M23 also capturing the key supply town of [Minova](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minova) in South Kivu. Rwanda has never admitted that it funded M23, but on June 19, 2025, [reached a peace agreement](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cr795jjrnnlo) with DRC, mediated by the US and Qatar. No details of the peace deal, that is expected to be formally signed before the end of June, were reported in the initial announcement.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 39198, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1755888735.285913, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 50, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.05 ], "centers": [ 0.15 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.2 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1755888735.285913, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 50, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.05 ], "centers": [ 0.15 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.2 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.85, 0.15 ], "means": [ 0.1743 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 3.0, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 8.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 4.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 14.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 7.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 53, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "This question is synced with a question from InfiniteGames. InfiniteGames is a forecasting tournament running on the Bittensor blockchain.\n\n`{\"format\":\"ig_question_sync\",\"info\":{\"event_id\":\"24ec0e88-0bcb-4a7b-aabf-3bc671c5ec90\"}}`" }, { "id": 39197, "title": "Will CPB's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "short_title": "CPB's close price rises?", "url_title": "CPB's close price rises?", "slug": "cpbs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:26.863887Z", "published_at": "2025-08-18T05:24:39Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:03.904978Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:27.307301Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T06:54:39Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T06:54:39Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T23:50:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-31T14:43:20Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T05:24:39Z", "nr_forecasters": 45, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38539, "title": "Will CPB's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-18?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:26.864303Z", "open_time": "2025-08-18T05:24:39Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-18T06:54:39Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-18T06:54:39Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T23:50:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-31T14:43:20Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-31T21:45:14.120401Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-18T06:54:39Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-18T06:54:39Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "The Campbell's Company is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is CPB. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:28) is 32.51. You can find more information about The Campbell's Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CPB\n\nThe Campbell's Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stocks; Pacific Foods broth, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; V8 juices and beverages; Campbell's tomato juice; Rao's pasta sauces, dry pasta, frozen entrées, frozen pizza and soups; Michael Angelo's frozen entrées and pasta sauces; and noosa yogurts, as well as snacking products in foodservice in Canada. The Snacks segment retails Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery, and frozen products, that includes Goldfish crackers, Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July snacks, Snack Factory pretzel crisps, and other snacking products. This segment is also involved in the retail business in Latin America. It sells its products through retail food chains, mass discounters and merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, as well as e-commerce and other retail, commercial, and non-commercial establishments, and independent contractor distributors. The company was formerly known as Campbell Soup Company and changed its name to The Campbell's Company in November 2024. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"CPB\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of CPB. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is CPB. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:28) is 32.51. You can find more information about The Campbell's Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CPB\n\nThe Campbell's Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stocks; Pacific Foods broth, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; V8 juices and beverages; Campbell's tomato juice; Rao's pasta sauces, dry pasta, frozen entrées, frozen pizza and soups; Michael Angelo's frozen entrées and pasta sauces; and noosa yogurts, as well as snacking products in foodservice in Canada. The Snacks segment retails Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery, and frozen products, that includes Goldfish crackers, Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July snacks, Snack Factory pretzel crisps, and other snacking products. This segment is also involved in the retail business in Latin America. It sells its products through retail food chains, mass discounters and merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, as well as e-commerce and other retail, commercial, and non-commercial establishments, and independent contractor distributors. The company was formerly known as Campbell Soup Company and changed its name to The Campbell's Company in November 2024. 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Brands, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is YUM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:26) is 148.18. You can find more information about Yum! Brands, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/YUM\n\nYum! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants worldwide. It operates through four segments: KFC Division, Taco Bell Division, Pizza Hut Division, and Habit Burger & Grill Division segments. The company also operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and Habit Burger & Grill brands, which specialize in chicken, made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, Mexican-style food and pizza categories, and other products. The company was formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc. and changed its name to Yum! Brands, Inc. in May 2002. Yum! 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Brands, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is YUM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:26) is 148.18. You can find more information about Yum! Brands, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/YUM\n\nYum! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants worldwide. It operates through four segments: KFC Division, Taco Bell Division, Pizza Hut Division, and Habit Burger & Grill Division segments. The company also operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and Habit Burger & Grill brands, which specialize in chicken, made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, Mexican-style food and pizza categories, and other products. The company was formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc. and changed its name to Yum! Brands, Inc. in May 2002. Yum! 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It's ticker is NXPI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:25) is 228.78. You can find more information about NXP Semiconductors N.V. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NXPI\n\nNXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in China, the United States, Germany, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Mexico, the Netherlands, Taiwan, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface devices; radio frequency power amplifiers; and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. Its products are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to various original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributors. NXP Semiconductors N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"NXPI\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of NXPI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-19, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is NXPI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:25) is 228.78. You can find more information about NXP Semiconductors N.V. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NXPI\n\nNXP Semiconductors N.V. provides semiconductor products in China, the United States, Germany, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Mexico, the Netherlands, Taiwan, and internationally. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface devices; radio frequency power amplifiers; and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. Its products are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to various original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributors. 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It's ticker is TAP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:23) is 51.42. You can find more information about Molson Coors Beverage Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TAP\n\nMolson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. It provides its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Five Trail, Heineken, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Sol, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Caraiman, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Kamenitza, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and Oujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, Lowenbrau, Miller High Life, Milwaukee's Best, and Steel Reserve under the economy brands. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. Molson Coors Beverage Company was founded in 1774 and is based in Golden, Colorado.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"TAP\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of TAP. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-20, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is TAP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:23) is 51.42. You can find more information about Molson Coors Beverage Company at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TAP\n\nMolson Coors Beverage Company manufactures, markets, and sells beer and other malt beverage products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers flavored malt beverages including hard seltzers, craft, spirits, and ready to drink beverages. It provides its products under Arnold Palmer Spiked, Aspall Cider, Blue Moon, Beck's, Blue Run Spirits, Cobra, Corona Extra, Coors Original, Five Trail, Heineken, Leinenkugel's, Madri, Miller Genuine Draft, Molson Ultra, Peroni Nastro Azurro, Pilsner Urquell, Redd's, Sharp's, Simply Spiked, Sol, Staropramen, Stella Artois, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, ZOA Energy, and Vizzy Hard Seltzer above premium brands; Bergenbier, Borsodi, Burgasko, Caraiman, Carling, Coors Banquet, Coors Light, Jelen, Kamenitza, Miller Lite, Molson Canadian brands, Niksicko, and Oujsko under the premium brands; and Branik, Icehouse, Keystone, Lowenbrau, Miller High Life, Milwaukee's Best, and Steel Reserve under the economy brands. The company was formerly known as Molson Coors Brewing Company and changed its name to Molson Coors Beverage Company in January 2020. 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It's ticker is UNP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:22) is 220.78. You can find more information about Union Pacific Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UNP\n\nUnion Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. 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It's ticker is UNP. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:22) is 220.78. You can find more information about Union Pacific Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UNP\n\nUnion Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, petroleum, liquid petroleum gases, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. 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Horton, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is DHI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:20) is 165.62. You can find more information about D.R. Horton, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DHI\n\nD.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 125 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes, duplexes, and triplexes. It provides mortgage financing services; and title insurance policies, and examination and closing services, as well as engages in the residential lot development business. In addition, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; and owns non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. Horton, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"DHI\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of DHI. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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Horton, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is DHI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:20) is 165.62. You can find more information about D.R. Horton, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DHI\n\nD.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 125 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes, duplexes, and triplexes. It provides mortgage financing services; and title insurance policies, and examination and closing services, as well as engages in the residential lot development business. In addition, the company develops, constructs, owns, leases, and sells multi-family and single-family rental properties; and owns non-residential real estate, including ranch land and improvements. It primarily serves homebuyers. D.R. 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It's ticker is CI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:19) is 296.86. You can find more information about The Cigna Group at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CI\n\nThe Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and related products and services in the United States. Its Evernorth Health Services segment provides a range of coordinated and point solution health services, including pharmacy benefits, home delivery pharmacy, specialty pharmacy, distribution, and care delivery and management solutions to health plans, employers, government organizations, and health care providers. 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It's ticker is CI. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:19) is 296.86. You can find more information about The Cigna Group at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/CI\n\nThe Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and related products and services in the United States. Its Evernorth Health Services segment provides a range of coordinated and point solution health services, including pharmacy benefits, home delivery pharmacy, specialty pharmacy, distribution, and care delivery and management solutions to health plans, employers, government organizations, and health care providers. The company's Cigna Healthcare segment offers medical, pharmacy, behavioral health, dental, and other products and services for insured and self-insured customers; Medicare Advantage, Medicare Supplement, and Medicare Part D plans for seniors, as well as individual health insurance plans; and health care coverage in its international markets, as well as health care benefits for mobile individuals and employees of multinational organizations. In addition, it offers permanent insurance contracts sold to corporations to provide coverage on the lives of certain employees for financing employer-paid future benefit obligations and stop loss insurance. The company distributes its products and services through insurance brokers and consultants; directly to employers, unions and other groups, or individuals; and private and public exchanges. The company was formerly known as Cigna Corporation and changed its name to The Cigna Group in February 2023. 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It's ticker is BALL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:17) is 53.85. You can find more information about Ball Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BALL\n\nBall Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Ball Corporation was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"BALL\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of BALL. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. 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It's ticker is BALL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:17) is 53.85. You can find more information about Ball Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BALL\n\nBall Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Ball Corporation was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"BALL\"}}`" }, { "id": 39189, "title": "Will DG's market close price on 2025-08-21 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "short_title": "DG's close price rises?", "url_title": "DG's close price rises?", "slug": "dgs-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.040149Z", "published_at": "2025-08-20T18:53:52Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:05.697277Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.471362Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-21T00:07:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:53:52Z", "nr_forecasters": 49, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38531, "title": "Will DG's market close price on 2025-08-21 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:20.040549Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:53:52Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-21T00:07:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:40.059434Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T20:23:52Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Dollar General Corporation is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is DG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:15) is 112.77. You can find more information about Dollar General Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DG\n\nDollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. The company offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products; packaged food, such as cereals, pasta, canned soups, canned meats, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour; and perishables, including milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, wine, and produce; candy, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages; over-the-counter medicines and personal care products including soap, body wash, shampoo, cosmetics, dental hygiene and foot care products; pet supplies and pet food; and tobacco products. It also provides seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive, and home office supplies; home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, and bed and bath soft goods; and apparel products for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories. The company was formerly known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. and changed its name to Dollar General Corporation in 1968. Dollar General Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"DG\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of DG. 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It's ticker is DG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:15) is 112.77. You can find more information about Dollar General Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DG\n\nDollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. The company offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products; packaged food, such as cereals, pasta, canned soups, canned meats, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour; and perishables, including milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, wine, and produce; candy, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages; over-the-counter medicines and personal care products including soap, body wash, shampoo, cosmetics, dental hygiene and foot care products; pet supplies and pet food; and tobacco products. It also provides seasonal products comprising holiday items, toys, batteries, small electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phones and accessories, gardening supplies, hardware, automotive, and home office supplies; home products include kitchen supplies, cookware, small appliances, light bulbs, storage containers, frames, candles, craft supplies and kitchen, and bed and bath soft goods; and apparel products for infants, toddlers, girls, boys, women and men, as well as socks, underwear, disposable diapers, shoes and accessories. The company was formerly known as J.L. Turner & Son, Inc. and changed its name to Dollar General Corporation in 1968. Dollar General Corporation was founded in 1939 and is based in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"DG\"}}`" }, { "id": 39188, "title": "Will MLM's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "short_title": "MLM's close price rises?", "url_title": "MLM's close price rises?", "slug": "mlms-close-price-rises", "author_id": 276265, "author_username": "AutoQuestionsBot", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:19.192099Z", "published_at": "2025-08-20T18:17:45Z", "edited_at": "2025-09-05T17:29:08.792230Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:19.597893Z", "comment_count": 1, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T03:39:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:17:45Z", "nr_forecasters": 49, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } ], "default_project": { "id": 32822, "type": "question_series", "name": "Warmup MiniBench - 2025-08-18", "slug": "minibench-2025-08-18", "header_image": null, "prize_pool": "0.00", "start_date": "2025-08-18T04:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-08-31T04:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": "2025-08-28T23:40:48Z", "html_metadata_json": { "description": "MiniBench Tournament is a 2-week reoccurring bot-only competition where bot-makers attempt to push AI to its limits in predicting future events in order to benchmark AI capabilities." }, "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-08-17T23:44:51.434087Z", "edited_at": "2025-08-31T21:50:27.178908Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false, "bot_leaderboard_status": "bots_only" } }, "question": { "id": 38530, "title": "Will MLM's market close price on 2025-08-30 be higher than its market close price on 2025-08-20?", "created_at": "2025-08-18T00:33:19.192512Z", "open_time": "2025-08-20T18:17:45Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T03:39:02Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-08-30T20:57:36Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-08-30T21:11:40.974277Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-08-20T19:47:45Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "yes", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "spot_peer", "default_aggregation_method": "unweighted", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_min": null, "range_max": null, "nominal_min": null, "nominal_max": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. is a company that is listed on the S&P 500 index. It's ticker is MLM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:14) is 609.58. You can find more information about Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MLM\n\nMartin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally. It offers crushed stone, sand, and gravel products; ready mixed concrete and asphalt; paving products and services; and Portland and specialty cement for use in the infrastructure projects, and nonresidential and residential construction markets, as well as in the railroad, agricultural, utility, and environmental industries. The company also produces magnesia-based chemicals products, dolomitic lime primarily to customers for steel production and soil stabilization. Its chemical products are used in flame retardants, wastewater treatment, pulp and paper production, and other environmental applications. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"MLM\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of MLM. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-20, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is MLM. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:14) is 609.58. You can find more information about Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MLM\n\nMartin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally. It offers crushed stone, sand, and gravel products; ready mixed concrete and asphalt; paving products and services; and Portland and specialty cement for use in the infrastructure projects, and nonresidential and residential construction markets, as well as in the railroad, agricultural, utility, and environmental industries. The company also produces magnesia-based chemicals products, dolomitic lime primarily to customers for steel production and soil stabilization. Its chemical products are used in flame retardants, wastewater treatment, pulp and paper production, and other environmental applications. 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It's ticker is BEN. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:13) is 25.33. You can find more information about Franklin Resources, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BEN\n\nFranklin Resources, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to individuals, institutions, pension plans, trusts, and partnerships. It launches equity, fixed income, balanced, and multi-asset mutual funds through its subsidiaries. The firm invests in the public equity, fixed income, and alternative markets. Franklin Resources, Inc. was founded in 1947 and is based in San Mateo, California with an additional office in Calgary, Canada; Dubai, United Arab Emirates; Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Fort Lauderdale, United States; Hyderabad, India; London, United Kingdom; Rancho Cordova, United states; Shanghai, China; Singapore; Stamford, United States; and Vienna, Austria.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"BEN\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of BEN. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-18, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is BEN. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:13) is 25.33. You can find more information about Franklin Resources, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BEN\n\nFranklin Resources, Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to individuals, institutions, pension plans, trusts, and partnerships. It launches equity, fixed income, balanced, and multi-asset mutual funds through its subsidiaries. The firm invests in the public equity, fixed income, and alternative markets. 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It's ticker is EBAY. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:11) is 100.7. You can find more information about eBay Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EBAY\n\neBay Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Germany, and internationally. The company's marketplace platform includes its online marketplace at ebay.com, off-platform businesses, and the eBay suite of mobile apps. Its platforms enable users to list, sell, buy, and pay various products. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EBAY\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of EBAY. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-19, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. 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It's ticker is EXC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:09) is 44.58. You can find more information about Exelon Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EXC\n\nExelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy distribution and transmission businesses. The company is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; transmission and distribution of electricity; and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, public authorities and electric railroads, and transportation customers. Exelon Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"EXC\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of EXC. 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It's ticker is EXC. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:09) is 44.58. You can find more information about Exelon Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/EXC\n\nExelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy distribution and transmission businesses. The company is involved in the purchase and regulated retail sale of electricity and natural gas; transmission and distribution of electricity; and distribution of natural gas to retail customers. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, public authorities and electric railroads, and transportation customers. 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It's ticker is REG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:08) is 71.02. You can find more information about Regency Centers Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/REG\n\nRegency Centers is a preeminent national owner, operator, and developer of shopping centers located in suburban trade areas with compelling demographics. Our portfolio includes thriving properties merchandised with highly productive grocers, restaurants, service providers, and best-in-class retailers that connect to their neighborhoods, communities, and customers. Operating as a fully integrated real estate company, Regency Centers is a qualified real estate investment trust (REIT) that is self-administered, self-managed, and an S&P 500 Index member.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"REG\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of REG. 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It's ticker is LHX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:06) is 270.55. You can find more information about L3Harris Technologies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LHX\n\nL3Harris Technologies, Inc. provides mission-critical solutions for government and commercial customers worldwide. It operates through Space & Airborne Systems (SAS), Integrated Mission Systems (IMS), Communication Systems (CS), and Aerojet Rocketdyne (AR) segments. The SAS segment provides satellite space payloads, sensors, and full-mission solutions; classified intelligence and cyber; airborne combat systems; and mission networks for air traffic management operations. The IMS segment offers intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) systems; passive sensing and targeting; electronic attack platforms; autonomy; power and communications; networks; and sensors. 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It's ticker is LHX. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:06) is 270.55. You can find more information about L3Harris Technologies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LHX\n\nL3Harris Technologies, Inc. provides mission-critical solutions for government and commercial customers worldwide. It operates through Space & Airborne Systems (SAS), Integrated Mission Systems (IMS), Communication Systems (CS), and Aerojet Rocketdyne (AR) segments. The SAS segment provides satellite space payloads, sensors, and full-mission solutions; classified intelligence and cyber; airborne combat systems; and mission networks for air traffic management operations. The IMS segment offers intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) systems; passive sensing and targeting; electronic attack platforms; autonomy; power and communications; networks; and sensors. 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It's ticker is IPG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:05) is 26.09. You can find more information about The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IPG\n\nThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. provides advertising and marketing services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Media, Data & Engagement Solutions, Integrated Advertising & Creativity Led Solutions, and Specialized Communications & Experiential Solutions. The Media, Data & Engagement Solutions segment provides media and communications services, digital services and products, advertising and marketing technology, e-commerce services, data management and analytics, strategic consulting, and digital brand experience under the IPG Mediabrands, UM, Initiative, Kinesso, Acxiom, Huge, MRM, and R/GA brand names. 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It's ticker is IPG. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:05) is 26.09. You can find more information about The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IPG\n\nThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. provides advertising and marketing services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Media, Data & Engagement Solutions, Integrated Advertising & Creativity Led Solutions, and Specialized Communications & Experiential Solutions. The Media, Data & Engagement Solutions segment provides media and communications services, digital services and products, advertising and marketing technology, e-commerce services, data management and analytics, strategic consulting, and digital brand experience under the IPG Mediabrands, UM, Initiative, Kinesso, Acxiom, Huge, MRM, and R/GA brand names. The Integrated Advertising & Creativity Led Solutions segment offers advertising, corporate, and brand identity services; and strategic consulting under FCB, IPG Health, McCann Worldgroup, and MullenLowe Group brands. The Specialized Communications & Experiential Solutions segment provides public relations and other specialized communications services, live events, sports and entertainment marketing, and strategic consulting under IPG DXTRA Health, The Weber Shandwick Collective, Golin, Jack Morton, Momentum, and Octagon brand names. The company was formerly known as McCann-Erickson Incorporated and changed its name to The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. in January 1961. 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It's ticker is WMB. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:03) is 57.46. You can find more information about The Williams Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WMB\n\nThe Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission & Gulf of America, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments. The Transmission & Gulf of America segment comprises Transco, NWP, and MountainWest interstate natural gas pipelines, and their related natural gas storage facilities, as well as natural gas gathering and processing; and crude oil production handling and transportation assets in the Gulf Coast region. The Northeast G&P segment engages in the midstream gathering, processing, and fractionation activities in the Marcellus Shale region primarily in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio. The West segment consists of gas gathering, processing, and treating operations in the Rocky Mountain region of Colorado and Wyoming, the Barnett Shale region of north-central Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale region of South Texas, the Haynesville Shale region of northwest Louisiana, the Mid-Continent region that includes the Anadarko and Permian basins, and the DJ Basin of Colorado; and operates natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation and storage assets in central Kansas near Conway. The Gas & NGL Marketing Services segment provides wholesale marketing, trading, storage, and transportation of natural gas for natural gas utilities, municipalities, power generators, and producers; asset management services; and transports and markets NGLs. The company owns and operates approximately 33,000 miles of pipelines. 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It's ticker is WMB. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:03) is 57.46. You can find more information about The Williams Companies, Inc. at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/WMB\n\nThe Williams Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in the United States. It operates through Transmission & Gulf of America, Northeast G&P, West, and Gas & NGL Marketing Services segments. The Transmission & Gulf of America segment comprises Transco, NWP, and MountainWest interstate natural gas pipelines, and their related natural gas storage facilities, as well as natural gas gathering and processing; and crude oil production handling and transportation assets in the Gulf Coast region. The Northeast G&P segment engages in the midstream gathering, processing, and fractionation activities in the Marcellus Shale region primarily in Pennsylvania and New York, and the Utica Shale region of eastern Ohio. The West segment consists of gas gathering, processing, and treating operations in the Rocky Mountain region of Colorado and Wyoming, the Barnett Shale region of north-central Texas, the Eagle Ford Shale region of South Texas, the Haynesville Shale region of northwest Louisiana, the Mid-Continent region that includes the Anadarko and Permian basins, and the DJ Basin of Colorado; and operates natural gas liquid (NGL) fractionation and storage assets in central Kansas near Conway. The Gas & NGL Marketing Services segment provides wholesale marketing, trading, storage, and transportation of natural gas for natural gas utilities, municipalities, power generators, and producers; asset management services; and transports and markets NGLs. The company owns and operates approximately 33,000 miles of pipelines. 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It's ticker is ORCL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:01) is 248.28. You can find more information about Oracle Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORCL\n\nOracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.\n\n`{\"format\":\"close_price_rises\",\"info\":{\"ticker\":\"ORCL\"}}`", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve based on the latest market close price of ORCL. If it is higher than the close price on 2025-08-20, the question will resolve to 'Yes'. The close price will be pulled from the Yahoo Finance API.", "fine_print": "Stock splits and reverse splits will be accounted for in resolving this question. 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It's ticker is ORCL. It's last close price as of the creation of this question (2025-08-18 00:29:01) is 248.28. You can find more information about Oracle Corporation at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORCL\n\nOracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. 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