Posts List Oldapi View
We shared this request example with FAB participants: url_qparams = { "limit": count, "offset": offset, "has_group": "false", "order_by": "-activity", "forecast_type": "binary", "project": tournament_id, "status": "open", "type": "forecast", "include_description": "true", } url = f"{api_info.base_url}/questions/" response = requests.get( url, headers={"Authorization": f"Token {api_info.token}"}, params=url_qparams )
But we don't want to support all these parameters, and the ones relevant are: - order_by - status - project - forecast_type - we ignore this, but assume it's binary - FAB only supports binary for now.
GET /api2/questions/?format=api&offset=500
{ "count": 5526, "next": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=520", "previous": "http://www.metaculus.com/api2/questions/?format=api&limit=20&offset=480", "results": [ { "id": 35970, "title": "Will the United States take control of the Panama Canal before 21 January 2029?", "short_title": "US/Panama Canal take over by 2029", "url_title": "US/Panama Canal take over by 2029", "slug": "uspanama-canal-take-over-by-2029", "author_id": 197092, "author_username": "pashka24", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-10T19:55:54.434269Z", "published_at": "2025-04-23T06:00:14Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-15T06:49:49.037086Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": "2025-04-23T06:00:29.100833Z", "comment_count": 6, "status": "open", "resolved": false, "actual_close_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2029-01-21T04:59:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2029-01-21T04:59:00Z", "open_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:14Z", "nr_forecasters": 74, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "category": [ { "id": 3689, "name": "Politics", "slug": "politics", "emoji": "🏛️", "description": "Politics", "type": "category" }, { "id": 3698, "name": "Economy & Business", "slug": "economy-business", "emoji": "💼", "description": "Economy & Business", "type": "category" } ], "question_series": [ { "id": 1724, "type": "question_series", "name": "Verity", "slug": null, "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/verity.jpg", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2018-12-31T23:00:00Z", "close_date": "2119-12-30T23:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-22T10:15:13.722667Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 1724, "type": "question_series", "name": "Verity", "slug": null, "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/verity.jpg", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2018-12-31T23:00:00Z", "close_date": "2119-12-30T23:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": true, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2023-11-08T16:55:29.484707Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-22T10:15:13.722667Z", "score_type": "peer_tournament", "default_permission": "forecaster", "visibility": "normal", "is_current_content_translated": false } }, "question": { "id": 35401, "title": "Will the United States take control of the Panama Canal before 21 January 2029?", "created_at": "2025-03-10T19:55:54.434677Z", "open_time": "2025-04-24T06:00:14Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-04-28T06:00:14Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2029-01-21T04:59:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2029-01-21T04:59:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": null, "resolution_set_time": null, "scheduled_close_time": "2029-01-21T04:59:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2029-01-21T04:59:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "open", "possibilities": null, "resolution": null, "include_bots_in_aggregates": false, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "*This forecasting question is associated with the Verity controversy:* Will the United States take control of the Panama Canal?\n\n[<u>The Panama Canal</u>](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_Canal) is an artificial waterway which cuts across Panama, a country in Latin America, and connects the Pacific Ocean to the Caribbean Sea. The canal drastically reduces the travel time required for shipping to cross between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans and is an important maritime conduit. In this way, the Panama Canal is a New World equivalent to the [<u>Suez Canal</u>](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suez_Canal) in Egypt, which connects the Mediterranean to the Red Sea, with both canals sharing the same originator, Ferdinand de Lesseps.\n\nWhile de Lesseps and the French failed to successfully develop the waterway, the United States, under President Theodore Roosevelt, secured the rights to the future Panama Canal Zone by strategically supporting Panama's independence from Colombia and signing the [<u>Hay-Bunau-Varilla Treaty</u>](https://www.britannica.com/event/Hay-Bunau-Varilla-Treaty) with the fledgling country in 1903. The agreement gave the United States governance rights over the canal as well as the assets and shares of the [*<u>Compagnie Nouvelle du Canal de Panama</u>*](https://pancanal.com/en/the-french-canal-construction/)\\*\\* - the French company established in 1894 to take over efforts to complete the canal. American construction began in 1904 and lasted ten years, with the canal [<u>formally opening on 15 August 1914</u>](https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/panama-canal-open-to-traffic). [<u>The immensity of the effort meant it was the largest engineering project the United States had undertaken to date</u>](https://pancanal.com/en/end-of-the-construction/#:~:text=Observing%20the%20transit%20from%20shore,States%20history%20to%20that%20time.).\n\nThe United States continued to exercise sole control over the Panama Canal Zone until 1977 when President Jimmy Carter and Panamanian leader Omar Torrijos negotiated the [<u>Torrijos–Carter Treaties</u>](https://history.state.gov/milestones/1977-1980/panama-canal). The settlement superseded the 1903 agreements and guaranteed that Panama would gain full control of the canal from 31 December 1999. In the meantime, [<u>joint US-Panama control was established</u>](https://www.archives.gov/exhibits/treasures_of_congress/text/page25_text.html#:~:text=The%20first%2C%20the%20Permanent%20Neutrality,Panama%20would%20take%20full%20control.) over the waterway. Despite tense relations between the two countries towards the end of the 1980s, when President George H. W. Bush authorized the [<u>invasion of Panama in 1989</u>](https://www.britannica.com/topic/United-States-invasion-of-Panama) to overthrow dictator Manuel Noriega, the canal was [<u>formally handed over on 31 December 1999</u>](https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/panama-canal-turned-over-to-panama).\n\nIn recent times, however, the consensus over the canal has been broken. Following his election in November 2024, President Donald Trump has repeatedly attacked the 1977 agreements with Panama and the country’s control over the canal. During his inaugural address in Washington DC, the President stated that the canal’s handover was a [<u>“foolish gift that should have never been made”, and claimed that China was influencing the canal’s operation</u>](https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-says-us-taking-back-panama-canal-but-panamas-president-has-defiant-message-13293275), contrary to the terms of the Torrijos–Carter Treaties. In addition, Trump has spoken of his intent to return the canal to US ownership, telling reporters on 2 February 2025 that, [<u>“we’re going to take it back, or something very powerful is going to happen”</u>](https://edition.cnn.com/2025/02/02/americas/panama-china-belt-and-road-initiative-rubio-visits-intl-latam/index.html) to Panama. ", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve as **\"Yes\"** if, at any time before January 21, 2029, Eastern Time, the United States is exercising **de facto control** over the territory of the Panama Canal.\n\nThe question will resolve as **\"No\"** if this does not occur before January 21, 2029, Eastern Time.", "fine_print": "Examples of what would be sufficient to resolve this question **\"Yes\"** include the following:\n\n1. **Formal Government Action with Actual Control** – The U.S. government, through legislation, executive order, or treaty, asserts control over the Panama Canal *and* this results in **observable operational or administrative control**, superseding the 1977 Torrijos-Carter Treaties. Mere declarations without accompanying de facto control will not suffice.\n2. **Military Occupation or Seizure** – The U.S. military enters and **takes de facto control** of the canal, its operations, or surrounding territory, regardless of international recognition.\n3. **Negotiated Transfer** – Panama formally agrees to transfer control of the canal to the United States through a **signed and implemented agreement**, resulting in operational control by the U.S.\n4. **Third-Party Confirmation of Control** – Credible sources—such as official U.S. or Panamanian government statements or reputable media outlets (e.g., *The New York Times*, *BBC*, *Reuters*, *The Associated Press*)—confirm that the United States is **exercising operational, security, or governance control** of the canal.", "post_id": 35970, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1752562178.084897, "end_time": 1757317611.411163, "forecaster_count": 74, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.03 ], "centers": [ 0.04 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.08 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1752562178.084897, "end_time": 1757317611.411163, "forecaster_count": 74, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.03 ], "centers": [ 0.04 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.08 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.96, 0.04 ], "means": [ 0.06432432555892947 ], "histogram": [ [ 1.1676456681389547, 0.11849806428542532, 2.339339511836366, 2.1812326535829, 2.8472468595386857, 1.1947239342631164, 0.7842246650896817, 0.8245043495117027, 0.7489645850767321, 0.033167896481265315, 1.1534362478110443, 1.0, 0.04393255368134378, 0.04809577689274304, 0.06813627848605193, 0.2903646274896713, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.05739703566227289, 0.384697681553991, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.008832281468067818, 0.0, 0.0, 0.006759718771926677, 0.0, 0.14448681784167014, 0.0043392766864219865, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.17965449116621982, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0031076199278334622, 0.0625760055549752, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.014358311246418655, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "forecaster", "vote": { "score": 5, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 98, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "*This forecasting question is associated with the Verity controversy:* Will the United States take control of the Panama Canal?\n\n[<u>The Panama Canal</u>](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_Canal) is an artificial waterway which cuts across Panama, a country in Latin America, and connects the Pacific Ocean to the Caribbean Sea. The canal drastically reduces the travel time required for shipping to cross between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans and is an important maritime conduit. In this way, the Panama Canal is a New World equivalent to the [<u>Suez Canal</u>](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suez_Canal) in Egypt, which connects the Mediterranean to the Red Sea, with both canals sharing the same originator, Ferdinand de Lesseps.\n\nWhile de Lesseps and the French failed to successfully develop the waterway, the United States, under President Theodore Roosevelt, secured the rights to the future Panama Canal Zone by strategically supporting Panama's independence from Colombia and signing the [<u>Hay-Bunau-Varilla Treaty</u>](https://www.britannica.com/event/Hay-Bunau-Varilla-Treaty) with the fledgling country in 1903. The agreement gave the United States governance rights over the canal as well as the assets and shares of the [*<u>Compagnie Nouvelle du Canal de Panama</u>*](https://pancanal.com/en/the-french-canal-construction/)\\*\\* - the French company established in 1894 to take over efforts to complete the canal. American construction began in 1904 and lasted ten years, with the canal [<u>formally opening on 15 August 1914</u>](https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/panama-canal-open-to-traffic). [<u>The immensity of the effort meant it was the largest engineering project the United States had undertaken to date</u>](https://pancanal.com/en/end-of-the-construction/#:~:text=Observing%20the%20transit%20from%20shore,States%20history%20to%20that%20time.).\n\nThe United States continued to exercise sole control over the Panama Canal Zone until 1977 when President Jimmy Carter and Panamanian leader Omar Torrijos negotiated the [<u>Torrijos–Carter Treaties</u>](https://history.state.gov/milestones/1977-1980/panama-canal). The settlement superseded the 1903 agreements and guaranteed that Panama would gain full control of the canal from 31 December 1999. In the meantime, [<u>joint US-Panama control was established</u>](https://www.archives.gov/exhibits/treasures_of_congress/text/page25_text.html#:~:text=The%20first%2C%20the%20Permanent%20Neutrality,Panama%20would%20take%20full%20control.) over the waterway. Despite tense relations between the two countries towards the end of the 1980s, when President George H. W. Bush authorized the [<u>invasion of Panama in 1989</u>](https://www.britannica.com/topic/United-States-invasion-of-Panama) to overthrow dictator Manuel Noriega, the canal was [<u>formally handed over on 31 December 1999</u>](https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/panama-canal-turned-over-to-panama).\n\nIn recent times, however, the consensus over the canal has been broken. Following his election in November 2024, President Donald Trump has repeatedly attacked the 1977 agreements with Panama and the country’s control over the canal. During his inaugural address in Washington DC, the President stated that the canal’s handover was a [<u>“foolish gift that should have never been made”, and claimed that China was influencing the canal’s operation</u>](https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-says-us-taking-back-panama-canal-but-panamas-president-has-defiant-message-13293275), contrary to the terms of the Torrijos–Carter Treaties. In addition, Trump has spoken of his intent to return the canal to US ownership, telling reporters on 2 February 2025 that, [<u>“we’re going to take it back, or something very powerful is going to happen”</u>](https://edition.cnn.com/2025/02/02/americas/panama-china-belt-and-road-initiative-rubio-visits-intl-latam/index.html) to Panama. " }, { "id": 35968, "title": "Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?", "short_title": "", "url_title": "", "slug": "will-israel-lift-the-blockade-to-humanitarian-aid-into-gaza-before-april-7-2025", "author_id": 228596, "author_username": "BenWilson", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-10T14:59:36.465699Z", "published_at": "2025-03-13T16:00:00Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-03T15:43:13.559201Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": null, "comment_count": 85, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T00:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-13T16:00:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 34, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32627, "type": "question_series", "name": "Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament", "slug": "aibq1", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/hires-q1.webp", "prize_pool": "30000.00", "start_date": "2025-01-20T01:38:25Z", "close_date": "2025-04-11T18:43:55Z", "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-05T18:44:23.854392Z", "edited_at": "2025-04-23T14:35:34.045143Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "viewer", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 32627, "type": "question_series", "name": "Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament", "slug": "aibq1", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/hires-q1.webp", "prize_pool": "30000.00", "start_date": "2025-01-20T01:38:25Z", "close_date": "2025-04-11T18:43:55Z", "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-05T18:44:23.854392Z", "edited_at": "2025-04-23T14:35:34.045143Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "viewer", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false } }, "question": { "id": 35399, "title": "Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-03-10T14:59:36.465699Z", "open_time": "2025-03-13T16:00:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T00:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T19:27:00Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-04-07T19:31:46.919181Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-03-13T17:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "On January 17, 2025, Israel and Hamas agreed to a [ceasefire deal](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Gaza_war_ceasefire#July_2024_to_January_2025:_Philadelphi_Corridor). The deal would consist of three phases, each lasting 6 weeks. In the first phase, Hamas [released 25 hostages and the bodies of 8 more](https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-remaining-hostages-gaza-dbedb436b04fac1c790a794a4ef03853), while Israel released hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. Israel also allowed humanitarian aid to enter Gaza, [25,000 trucks](https://x.com/gidonsaar/status/1897280908450836820) according to Israel's Minister of Foreign Affairs.\n\nThe original plan was that, in the second phase, Hamas would release all remaining alive male Israelis and Israel would release an agreed upon number of Palestinian prisoners, while the parties would also agree to a withdrawal of remaining Israeli soldiers from the Gaza Strip and a more permanent cessation of hostilities. Then, in the third phase, both Israel and Hamas would release all the remaining bodies of dead captives, Israel would end the [blockade of the Gaza Strip](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blockade_of_the_Gaza_Strip \"Blockade of the Gaza Strip\"), and Hamas would not rebuild its military capabilities.\n\nHowever, after the end of the first phase, on March 2, 2025, Israel [halted](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgz7p85mdgo) all humanitarian aid and goods from entering Gaza, with the goal of pressuring Hamas into accepting a new agreement, backed by the United States. This would extend the first phase for seven more weeks and would involve Hamas releasing half of the remaining hostages.\n\nAfter the blockade, prices for essentials like sugar, oil, and chicken [rose significantly](https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-aid-cutoff-netanyahu-hunger-war-940ceea2c2b754d197a4f07c0cad86de). The UN called the blockade [alarming](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/israel-hamas-gaza-aid-barred-ceasefire-talks-criticized-un-red-cross-rcna194464) and condemned it along with [UK, France, and Germany](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/05/uk-france-germany-israel-gaza-aid-freeze-could-breach-international-law), citing violations of humanitarian law that mandates aid access. Hamas [has insisted](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/world/middleeast/israel-aid-halt-gaza.html) on moving to the agreed second phase of the ceasefire, which would involve a full Israeli withdrawal and a permanent end to the conflict.", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve as **Yes** if, before April 7, 2025, humanitarian aid into Gaza has resumed, according to credible sources.", "fine_print": "", "post_id": 35968, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1741885023.424075, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 34, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.2 ], "centers": [ 0.25933333333333336 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.35 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1741885023.424075, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 34, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.2 ], "centers": [ 0.25933333333333336 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.35 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.7406666666666666, 0.25933333333333336 ], "means": [ 0.27832196013399496 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.5491015451479079, 0.0, 0.28697040130296847, 0.0, 0.0, 2.551420811364, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.9172371287241657, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.4184777174721699, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.1044506322415404, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.2569648587427511, 0.20427029069544175, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.02168896019109956, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.7020670829292148, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.10802413340346607, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.027463871070039274, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.02456981989063922, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 37.34358430493627, "peer_score": 16.04437412258718, "coverage": 0.9884620466497209, "relative_legacy_score": 0.0, "weighted_coverage": 0.9884620466497209, "spot_peer_score": 14.89901254925972, "spot_baseline_score": 56.68963160058486, "baseline_archived_score": 37.34358430493627, "peer_archived_score": 16.04437412258718, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0, "spot_peer_archived_score": 14.89901254925972, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 56.68963160058486 }, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "viewer", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 84, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "On January 17, 2025, Israel and Hamas agreed to a [ceasefire deal](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Gaza_war_ceasefire#July_2024_to_January_2025:_Philadelphi_Corridor). The deal would consist of three phases, each lasting 6 weeks. In the first phase, Hamas [released 25 hostages and the bodies of 8 more](https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-remaining-hostages-gaza-dbedb436b04fac1c790a794a4ef03853), while Israel released hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. Israel also allowed humanitarian aid to enter Gaza, [25,000 trucks](https://x.com/gidonsaar/status/1897280908450836820) according to Israel's Minister of Foreign Affairs.\n\nThe original plan was that, in the second phase, Hamas would release all remaining alive male Israelis and Israel would release an agreed upon number of Palestinian prisoners, while the parties would also agree to a withdrawal of remaining Israeli soldiers from the Gaza Strip and a more permanent cessation of hostilities. Then, in the third phase, both Israel and Hamas would release all the remaining bodies of dead captives, Israel would end the [blockade of the Gaza Strip](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blockade_of_the_Gaza_Strip \"Blockade of the Gaza Strip\"), and Hamas would not rebuild its military capabilities.\n\nHowever, after the end of the first phase, on March 2, 2025, Israel [halted](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckgz7p85mdgo) all humanitarian aid and goods from entering Gaza, with the goal of pressuring Hamas into accepting a new agreement, backed by the United States. This would extend the first phase for seven more weeks and would involve Hamas releasing half of the remaining hostages.\n\nAfter the blockade, prices for essentials like sugar, oil, and chicken [rose significantly](https://apnews.com/article/israel-gaza-aid-cutoff-netanyahu-hunger-war-940ceea2c2b754d197a4f07c0cad86de). The UN called the blockade [alarming](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/israel-hamas-gaza-aid-barred-ceasefire-talks-criticized-un-red-cross-rcna194464) and condemned it along with [UK, France, and Germany](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/05/uk-france-germany-israel-gaza-aid-freeze-could-breach-international-law), citing violations of humanitarian law that mandates aid access. Hamas [has insisted](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/world/middleeast/israel-aid-halt-gaza.html) on moving to the agreed second phase of the ceasefire, which would involve a full Israeli withdrawal and a permanent end to the conflict." }, { "id": 35966, "title": "Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?", "short_title": "", "url_title": "", "slug": "will-pepfar-funding-be-resumed-before-april-7-2025", "author_id": 228596, "author_username": "BenWilson", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-10T14:59:36.387102Z", "published_at": "2025-03-12T16:00:00Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-03T15:44:21.030241Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": null, "comment_count": 85, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-03-12T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-12T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T00:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-12T16:00:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 33, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32627, "type": "question_series", "name": "Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament", "slug": "aibq1", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/hires-q1.webp", "prize_pool": "30000.00", "start_date": "2025-01-20T01:38:25Z", "close_date": "2025-04-11T18:43:55Z", "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-05T18:44:23.854392Z", "edited_at": "2025-04-23T14:35:34.045143Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "viewer", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 32627, "type": "question_series", "name": "Q1 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament", "slug": "aibq1", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/hires-q1.webp", "prize_pool": "30000.00", "start_date": "2025-01-20T01:38:25Z", "close_date": "2025-04-11T18:43:55Z", "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-05T18:44:23.854392Z", "edited_at": "2025-04-23T14:35:34.045143Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "viewer", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false } }, "question": { "id": 35397, "title": "Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-03-10T14:59:36.387102Z", "open_time": "2025-03-12T16:00:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-12T17:00:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-12T17:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T00:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-07T19:27:00Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-04-07T19:29:38.649412Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-12T17:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-03-12T17:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 1.0, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "PEPFAR, the President's Emergency Plan For AIDS Relief, is a United States governmental initiative to address the global HIV/AIDS epidemic. Launched by U.S. President George W. Bush in 2003, [as of April 2024](https://www.kff.org/global-health-policy/fact-sheet/the-u-s-presidents-emergency-plan-for-aids-relief-pepfar/) PEPFAR had provided about \\$120 billion in cumulative funding for HIV/AIDS treatment, prevention, and research since its inception, making it the largest global health program focused on a single disease in history until the COVID-19 pandemic. PEPFAR [has saved](https://theconversation.com/pepfar-funding-to-fight-hiv-aids-has-saved-26-million-lives-since-2003-how-cutting-it-will-hurt-africa-250413) over 26 million lives, primarily in Sub-Saharan Africa.\n\nOn January 20, 2025, President Donald J. Trump [signed](https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/reevaluating-and-realigning-united-states-foreign-aid/) an executive order pausing for 90 days new foreign aid disbursements [including for the PEPFAR program](https://www.kff.org/policy-watch/the-status-of-president-trumps-pause-of-foreign-aid-and-implications-for-pepfar-and-other-global-health-programs/), pending a review of all foreign assistance programs. On February 13, 2025, federal judge Amir Ali [ordered](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/judge-orders-trump-administration-reinstate-foreign-aid-funding-now-rcna192168) the Trump Administration to resume foreign aid programs in place before Trump's inauguration. On February 20, 2025, Judge Ali [ruled](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/trump-administration-not-complying-foreign-aid-amir-ali-rcna193092) that the Trump Administration was not fully in compliance with the order.\n\nAfter a long bipartisan consensus about the program's usefulness, in recent years PEPFAR has faced [increased opposition](https://rollcall.com/2023/09/21/pepfar-reauthorization-debate-highlights-splits-in-gop/) in the US Congress, particularly from members of the Republican Party. In 2024 PEPFAR [received](https://www.kff.org/policy-watch/pepfars-short-term-reauthorization-sets-an-uncertain-course-for-its-long-term-future/) temporary reauthorization from Congress amid the increasing opposition. See for example [this report](https://www.heritage.org/budget-and-spending/report/reassessing-americas-30-billion-global-aids-relief-program) from the Heritage Foundation.\n\nAccording to [The Conversation](https://theconversation.com/pepfar-funding-to-fight-hiv-aids-has-saved-26-million-lives-since-2003-how-cutting-it-will-hurt-africa-250413) on March 4, 2025: \n\n> \\[A]s of this writing, despite a [court order](https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69628254/21/global-health-council-v-donald-j-trump/) to resume funding, it remains entirely frozen, and most programmes are still shut down. The day after the court ordered the government to pay [nearly US\\$2 billion](https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/02/25/usaid-funding-trump-administration-court/) it owes organisations for work already done, the administration revealed that it had terminated the vast majority of foreign assistance awards, [including some for Pepfar](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/26/us/politics/trump-usaid-foreign-aid.html). Details have not been made public. Meanwhile, the [US Supreme Court put a short-term pause](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/26/us/politics/trump-usaid-foreign-aid.html) on the lower court’s order to immediately pay the money already owed.", "resolution_criteria": "This question will resolve as **Yes** if, before April 7, 2025, [credible sources](https://www.metaculus.com/faq/#definitions) report that funding for the United States President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), which is frozen ([NYT](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/24/us/politics/trump-hiv-aids-pepfar.html), [JIAS](https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11851316/), [Politico](https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/03/05/congress/graham-warns-trumps-budget-pick-about-going-too-far-with-funding-freeze-00213662)) at the time of this question, has resumed. If a partial resumption takes place, this question will resolve as **Yes** PEPFAR's funding levels are at least 50% of pre-pause funding.", "fine_print": "An announcement that funding *will* resume will only resolve this question if the date of the resumption is before April 7, 2025 and no credible sources as of that date suggest that funding remains paused. ", "post_id": 35966, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1741798225.019048, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 33, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.3 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.429 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1741798225.019048, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 33, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.25 ], "centers": [ 0.3 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.429 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.7, 0.3 ], "means": [ 0.31892846149203274 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.38723206162456447, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.2950606299171325, 0.7654150283970271, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.9780509491898337, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 1.094123794532491, 0.0, 0.0, 0.31286391742790765, 0.0, 2.537784838941846, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.29823886049968595, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.6356799761664509, 0.0, 0.8379487954001852, 0.0, 0.0, 1.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.029941953078415226, 0.0, 0.0, 0.5778677609141162, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.2501577142572954, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 51.27722963607777, "peer_score": -0.8547139589987824, "coverage": 0.9522731930679745, "relative_legacy_score": 0.0, "weighted_coverage": 0.9522731930679745, "spot_peer_score": -1.6656380628801712, "spot_baseline_score": 48.542682717024164, "baseline_archived_score": 51.27722963607777, "peer_archived_score": -0.8547139589987824, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0, "spot_peer_archived_score": -1.6656380628801712, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 48.542682717024164 }, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "viewer", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 84, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "PEPFAR, the President's Emergency Plan For AIDS Relief, is a United States governmental initiative to address the global HIV/AIDS epidemic. Launched by U.S. President George W. Bush in 2003, [as of April 2024](https://www.kff.org/global-health-policy/fact-sheet/the-u-s-presidents-emergency-plan-for-aids-relief-pepfar/) PEPFAR had provided about \\$120 billion in cumulative funding for HIV/AIDS treatment, prevention, and research since its inception, making it the largest global health program focused on a single disease in history until the COVID-19 pandemic. PEPFAR [has saved](https://theconversation.com/pepfar-funding-to-fight-hiv-aids-has-saved-26-million-lives-since-2003-how-cutting-it-will-hurt-africa-250413) over 26 million lives, primarily in Sub-Saharan Africa.\n\nOn January 20, 2025, President Donald J. Trump [signed](https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/reevaluating-and-realigning-united-states-foreign-aid/) an executive order pausing for 90 days new foreign aid disbursements [including for the PEPFAR program](https://www.kff.org/policy-watch/the-status-of-president-trumps-pause-of-foreign-aid-and-implications-for-pepfar-and-other-global-health-programs/), pending a review of all foreign assistance programs. On February 13, 2025, federal judge Amir Ali [ordered](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/judge-orders-trump-administration-reinstate-foreign-aid-funding-now-rcna192168) the Trump Administration to resume foreign aid programs in place before Trump's inauguration. On February 20, 2025, Judge Ali [ruled](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/trump-administration-not-complying-foreign-aid-amir-ali-rcna193092) that the Trump Administration was not fully in compliance with the order.\n\nAfter a long bipartisan consensus about the program's usefulness, in recent years PEPFAR has faced [increased opposition](https://rollcall.com/2023/09/21/pepfar-reauthorization-debate-highlights-splits-in-gop/) in the US Congress, particularly from members of the Republican Party. In 2024 PEPFAR [received](https://www.kff.org/policy-watch/pepfars-short-term-reauthorization-sets-an-uncertain-course-for-its-long-term-future/) temporary reauthorization from Congress amid the increasing opposition. See for example [this report](https://www.heritage.org/budget-and-spending/report/reassessing-americas-30-billion-global-aids-relief-program) from the Heritage Foundation.\n\nAccording to [The Conversation](https://theconversation.com/pepfar-funding-to-fight-hiv-aids-has-saved-26-million-lives-since-2003-how-cutting-it-will-hurt-africa-250413) on March 4, 2025: \n\n> \\[A]s of this writing, despite a [court order](https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69628254/21/global-health-council-v-donald-j-trump/) to resume funding, it remains entirely frozen, and most programmes are still shut down. The day after the court ordered the government to pay [nearly US\\$2 billion](https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/02/25/usaid-funding-trump-administration-court/) it owes organisations for work already done, the administration revealed that it had terminated the vast majority of foreign assistance awards, [including some for Pepfar](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/26/us/politics/trump-usaid-foreign-aid.html). Details have not been made public. Meanwhile, the [US Supreme Court put a short-term pause](https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/26/us/politics/trump-usaid-foreign-aid.html) on the lower court’s order to immediately pay the money already owed." }, { "id": 35953, "title": "Will the Project 2025 Tracker spreadsheet mark the objective of eliminating the Low-Income Heat and Energy Assistance Program as complete on April 1, 2025?", "short_title": "", "url_title": "", "slug": "will-the-project-2025-tracker-spreadsheet-mark-the-objective-of-eliminating-the-low-income-heat-and-energy-assistance-program-as-complete-on-april-1-2025", "author_id": 115975, "author_username": "johnnycaffeine", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-08T05:18:23.675210Z", "published_at": "2025-03-12T22:00:00Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-03T15:42:41.420671Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": null, "comment_count": 15, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-01T00:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-12T22:00:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 10, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32631, "type": "question_series", "name": "Pro Forecasters - AI Forecasting Benchmark Q1 2025", "slug": "pro-benchmark-q12025", "header_image": "https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/hires-q1_IPFp1SQ.webp", "prize_pool": null, "start_date": "2025-01-17T06:00:00Z", "close_date": "2025-04-08T18:00:00Z", "forecasting_end_date": null, "meta_description": "", "is_ongoing": false, "user_permission": null, "created_at": "2025-01-10T22:19:31.310481Z", "edited_at": "2025-05-12T14:08:22.584970Z", "score_type": "spot_peer_tournament", "default_permission": "viewer", "visibility": "not_in_main_feed", "is_current_content_translated": false } ], "default_project": { "id": 32631, "type": "question_series", "name": "Pro Forecasters - AI Forecasting Benchmark Q1 2025", "slug": 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Otherwise resolves as No.", "fine_print": "Please note that a mere intention to impose a tariff will not count. If a tariff is announced but does not go into effect, [such as happened](https://www.globaltradeandsanctionslaw.com/trump-2-0-u-s-tariffs-on-china-take-effect-mexico-and-canada-granted-30-day-pause/) with Mexico and Canada, it will not count. Tariff must specifically target India in order to count, so a global tariff on a particular good would not count unless India is specifically targeted.", "post_id": 35947, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1741829580.807873, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 10, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.033 ], "centers": [ 0.05 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.05 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1741829580.807873, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 10, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.033 ], "centers": [ 0.05 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.05 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.95, 0.05 ], "means": [ 0.046405714894603496 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.17411067864873367, 1.8502051036716036, 0.11506274851461015, 1.722171411158783, 0.7161608149020564, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.31277297841981777, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0 ] ] }, "score_data": { "baseline_score": 63.884479309065114, "peer_score": 1.2571713436568153, "coverage": 0.7066876954137603, "relative_legacy_score": 0.0, "weighted_coverage": 0.7066876954137603, "spot_peer_score": -0.172035045534039, "spot_baseline_score": 92.5999418556223, "baseline_archived_score": 63.884479309065114, "peer_archived_score": 1.2571713436568153, "relative_legacy_archived_score": 0.0, "spot_peer_archived_score": -0.172035045534039, "spot_baseline_archived_score": 92.5999418556223 }, "movement": null }, "unweighted": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "single_aggregation": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null }, "metaculus_prediction": { "history": [], "latest": null, "score_data": {}, "movement": null } } }, "user_permission": "viewer", "vote": { "score": 0, "user_vote": null }, "forecasts_count": 21, "key_factors": [], "is_current_content_translated": false, "description": "Reuters: [All of Donald Trump's tariff threats](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/all-donald-trumps-tariff-threats-2025-01-28/)" }, { "id": 35946, "title": "Will the US Citizenship and Immigration Services' EB-5 page still be online on March 31, 2025?", "short_title": "EB-5 page still online?", "url_title": "EB-5 page still online?", "slug": "eb-5-page-still-online", "author_id": 115975, "author_username": "johnnycaffeine", "coauthors": [], "created_at": "2025-03-08T05:16:05.958023Z", "published_at": "2025-03-10T21:00:00Z", "edited_at": "2025-07-03T15:41:29.988586Z", "curation_status": "approved", "curation_status_updated_at": null, "comment_count": 13, "status": "resolved", "resolved": true, "actual_close_time": "2025-03-12T22:00:00Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-12T22:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-01T00:00:00Z", "open_time": "2025-03-10T21:00:00Z", "nr_forecasters": 10, "html_metadata_json": null, "projects": { "question_series": [ { "id": 32631, "type": "question_series", "name": "Pro Forecasters - 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", "fine_print": "If the URL has changed, it will still count as long as the specific location listed above redirects to the new location. If there are issues accessing the page unambiguously related to uscis.gov itself being temporarily offline (for example 404 due to maintenance), then resolution will wait until uscis.gov is back online, and then it will be determined whether the specific location listed in the resolution criteria still contains the USCIS EB-5 Immigrant Investor Program information portal.", "post_id": 35946, "aggregations": { "recency_weighted": { "history": [ { "start_time": 1741806670.69613, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 10, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.94 ], "centers": [ 0.94 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.95 ] } ], "latest": { "start_time": 1741806670.69613, "end_time": null, "forecaster_count": 10, "interval_lower_bounds": [ 0.94 ], "centers": [ 0.94 ], "interval_upper_bounds": [ 0.95 ], "forecast_values": [ 0.06000000000000005, 0.94 ], "means": [ 0.938167233187572 ], "histogram": [ [ 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 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"2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-01T00:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-02T01:48:00Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-04-02T01:49:43.380016Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 0.85, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "Yahoo Sports: [5 reasons why the Boston Celtics are the favorites to win the 2025 NBA Championship](https://sports.yahoo.com/article/5-reasons-why-boston-celtics-080027257.html)", 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on April 1, 2025?", "created_at": "2025-03-08T04:57:13.264143Z", "open_time": "2025-03-14T22:00:00Z", "cp_reveal_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "spot_scoring_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "scheduled_resolve_time": "2025-04-01T00:00:00Z", "actual_resolve_time": "2025-04-02T01:52:00Z", "resolution_set_time": "2025-04-02T01:53:18.558509Z", "scheduled_close_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "actual_close_time": "2025-03-14T23:00:00Z", "type": "binary", "options": null, "group_variable": "", "status": "resolved", "possibilities": null, "resolution": "no", "include_bots_in_aggregates": true, "question_weight": 0.85, "default_score_type": "peer", "label": "", "unit": "", "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "scaling": { "range_max": null, "range_min": null, "zero_point": null, "open_upper_bound": false, "open_lower_bound": false, "inbound_outcome_count": null, "continuous_range": null }, "group_rank": null, "description": "At the time of this 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